Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Ham-Kam Prediction, Tips & Odds
Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Ham-Kam


Match Preview
The model favours Ham-Kam to win this match, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. Currently sitting in 6th place, Ham-Kam has shown solid form throughout the season with five wins, three draws, and three losses from 11 matches. Their goal-scoring ability is evident, having netted 19 goals, which gives them a slight edge in attacking prowess compared to Sarpsborg 08 FF. Sarpsborg 08 FF finds itself in 7th position with a mixed record of five wins, two draws, and five losses from 12 games. While they have managed to score 14 goals, their defensive record of 16 goals conceded highlights some vulnerabilities. Their recent form also reflects inconsistency, with three wins and two losses in their last five matches. The model indicates a win probability of around 48% for Ham-Kam, suggesting a closely contested match. One key market percentage to note is that Ham-Kam is likely to see a significant share of the betting action. However, Sarpsborg 08 FF could surprise if they manage to tighten their defence and convert their chances effectively. For a complete understanding of how we reached this prediction, please refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section. The Daily Punt Analysis Team employs an in-house model that evaluates fixtures through expected goals and actual results across the season.
Head to Head
Last 10 Meetings (Sarpsborg 08 FF leads 5-2)



















Sarpsborg 08 FF hold the edge in this fixture, winning 5 of the last 10 meetings with 3 draws and 2 Ham-Kam wins. The record points to a tie Sarpsborg 08 FF have controlled for years, though the draws show Ham-Kam have at times kept it tight.
Eliteserien Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 26 | 15 | 11 | 31 | WWDDL | |
| 2 | 12 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 31 | 12 | 19 | 30 | WLWWW | |
| 3 | 13 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 31 | 11 | 20 | 29 | WWDWW | |
| 4 | 13 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 21 | 12 | 9 | 25 | WWLLW | |
| 5 | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 20 | LDWLW | |
| 6 | 14 | 6 | 1 | 7 | 28 | 22 | 6 | 19 | WWLLL | |
| 7 | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 18 | LDDWL | |
| 8 | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 18 | DWWWL | |
| 14 | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 12 | LDDDW | |
| 15 | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 21 | -10 | 12 | DLLLW | |
| 16 | 14 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 33 | -19 | 7 | LLLWL |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 Season
Sarpsborg 08 FF have won 8 of their last 12 matches at home, drawing 3 and losing 1. Their recent home fixtures include beat Viking 1-0 and beat Molde 2-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 12W 3D 8L from the last 23 games (52% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.













Ham-Kam have won 2 of their last 14 matches on the road, drawing 5 and losing 7. Their recent away fixtures include drew with Ham-Kam 2-2 and beat IFK Goteborg 1-2.
Overall, the wider run reads 10W 5D 9L from the last 24 games (42% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.












Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 players
Sarpsborg 08 FF
No reported absences
Ham-Kam
No reported absences
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.


