Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Ham-Kam Prediction, Tips & Odds

Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Ham-Kam

EliteserienRegular Season - 15
Sarpsborg 08 FF
#8 · Eliteserien
WLWWL
VS
Sarpsborg Stadion, Sarpsborg (8,022)
Ham-Kam
#7 · Eliteserien
DWDDW

Match Preview

The model favours Ham-Kam to win this match, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. Currently sitting in 6th place, Ham-Kam has shown solid form throughout the season with five wins, three draws, and three losses from 11 matches. Their goal-scoring ability is evident, having netted 19 goals, which gives them a slight edge in attacking prowess compared to Sarpsborg 08 FF. Sarpsborg 08 FF finds itself in 7th position with a mixed record of five wins, two draws, and five losses from 12 games. While they have managed to score 14 goals, their defensive record of 16 goals conceded highlights some vulnerabilities. Their recent form also reflects inconsistency, with three wins and two losses in their last five matches. The model indicates a win probability of around 48% for Ham-Kam, suggesting a closely contested match. One key market percentage to note is that Ham-Kam is likely to see a significant share of the betting action. However, Sarpsborg 08 FF could surprise if they manage to tighten their defence and convert their chances effectively. For a complete understanding of how we reached this prediction, please refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section. The Daily Punt Analysis Team employs an in-house model that evaluates fixtures through expected goals and actual results across the season.

Head to Head

Last 10 Meetings (Sarpsborg 08 FF leads 5-2)
5 Sarpsborg 08 FF3 Draw2 Ham-Kam
26 Mar
Sarpsborg 08 FF
2-2
Ham-Kam
Friendlies Clubs
13 Feb
Sarpsborg 08 FF
3-2
Ham-Kam
Friendlies Clubs
Aug 25
Ham-Kam
1-3
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Eliteserien
May 25
Sarpsborg 08 FF
4-0
Ham-Kam
Eliteserien
Mar 25
Sarpsborg 08 FF
2-1
Ham-Kam
Friendlies Clubs
Oct 24
Ham-Kam
0-2
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Eliteserien
May 24
Sarpsborg 08 FF
1-7
Ham-Kam
Eliteserien
Mar 24
Ham-Kam
0-0
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Friendlies Clubs
Sept 23
Ham-Kam
1-1
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Eliteserien
Jul 23
Sarpsborg 08 FF
2-3
Ham-Kam
Eliteserien

Sarpsborg 08 FF hold the edge in this fixture, winning 5 of the last 10 meetings with 3 draws and 2 Ham-Kam wins. The record points to a tie Sarpsborg 08 FF have controlled for years, though the draws show Ham-Kam have at times kept it tight.

Eliteserien Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1
Tromso
1594226151131
WWDDL
2
Viking
12100231121930
WLWWW
3
Bodo/Glimt
1392231112029
WWDWW
4
Lillestrom
138142112925
WWLLW
5
Molde
136252117420
LDWLW
6
Brann
146172822619
WWLLL
7
Ham-Kam
125342022-218
LDDWL
8
Sarpsborg 08 FF
135351416-218
DWWWL
14
Aalesund
132651828-1012
LDDDW
15
Kristiansund BK
133371121-1012
DLLLW
16
Start
141491433-197
LLLWL

Venue Record

Current season at home / on the road
Sarpsborg 08 FFHome
3W2D1L
6 playedGF 7 · GA 51.83 pts/game
Ham-KamAway
0W3D2L
5 playedGF 7 · GA 110.60 pts/game

Key Statistics

2026 Season
Sarpsborg 08 FFHam-Kam
1.57Goals p.g.1.71
1.3Goals conceded p.g.1.5
26%Clean sheets29%
52%Win rate42%
2.87Avg goals in match3.21
1.38xG per game1.40
-0.15xGA per game-0.82
43%Possession %48%
4.2Shots on target / game4.7
4.4Corners per game4.4
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Recent Form

Sarpsborg 08 FF have won 8 of their last 12 matches at home, drawing 3 and losing 1. Their recent home fixtures include beat Viking 1-0 and beat Molde 2-1.

Overall, the wider run reads 12W 3D 8L from the last 23 games (52% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.

Match Results: Sarpsborg 08 FFAll competitions
12 Jul
Sarpsborg 08 FF
1-0
Viking
Eliteserien
03 Jul
Lillestrom
3-1
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Friendlies Clubs
29 May
Brann
1-2
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Eliteserien
25 May
Sarpsborg 08 FF
2-1
Molde
Eliteserien
16 May
Valerenga
3-2
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Eliteserien
09 May
Sarpsborg 08 FF
2-1
Fredrikstad
Eliteserien
12
Win
52%
3
Draw
13%
8
Lost
35%
Ham-Kam
Recent Form

Ham-Kam have won 2 of their last 14 matches on the road, drawing 5 and losing 7. Their recent away fixtures include drew with Ham-Kam 2-2 and beat IFK Goteborg 1-2.

Overall, the wider run reads 10W 5D 9L from the last 24 games (42% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.

Match Results: Ham-KamAll competitions
12 Jul
Sandefjord
2-2
Ham-Kam
Eliteserien
27 Jun
IFK Goteborg
1-2
Ham-Kam
Friendlies Clubs
20 Jun
Fredrikstad
1-1
Ham-Kam
Friendlies Clubs
29 May
Aalesund
2-2
Ham-Kam
Eliteserien
25 May
Ham-Kam
2-0
Lillestrom
Eliteserien
16 May
Fredrikstad
2-1
Ham-Kam
Eliteserien
10
Win
42%
5
Draw
21%
9
Lost
38%

Lineups

📋

Lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.

Unavailable Players

0 players

Sarpsborg 08 FF

No reported absences

Ham-Kam

No reported absences

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The Daily Punt Analysis Team

Data-driven football predictions and betting tips

This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.

Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.

Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Ham-Kam Predictions, Stats, H2H - 26 Jul 2026 | The Daily Punt