Nashville SC vs CF Montreal Prediction, Tips & Odds
Nashville SC vs CF Montreal
Match Preview
Nashville SC is favoured to win against CF Montreal, with a projected scoreline of 2-0. Nashville currently sits at the top of the league table, having played 14 matches with an impressive record of 10 wins, 3 draws, and just 1 loss. They have scored 31 goals while conceding only 11, resulting in a goal difference of +20. This strong defensive record is complemented by their recent form, which includes three wins, one draw, and one loss in their last five matches. In contrast, CF Montreal finds itself in 11th place, with a record of 4 wins, 2 draws, and 8 losses from 14 matches. They have struggled significantly this season, scoring 22 goals but conceding 31, leading to a goal difference of -9. Their recent form shows some signs of improvement with two wins, two draws, and one loss in their last five matches, but they remain inconsistent overall. The model suggests a win probability of approximately 66% for Nashville SC, with a projected score of 2-0. However, one caveat to consider is the potential for Montreal to capitalize on any defensive lapses from Nashville. For a detailed breakdown of how we reached this prediction, please refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section. This analysis is provided by The Daily Punt Analysis Team, which employs an in-house model that evaluates fixtures through expected goals and actual results across the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (3.2 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 13.6% probability.
Nashville SC have been the stronger side, winning 55% of their matches.
Our model projects a 2-1 Nashville SC win as the most likely scoreline at 13.6% probability. 3 of the top six outcomes feature Nashville SC clean sheets, in line with their 48% clean-sheet rate this season.
Lines averaged across 3 bookmakers. Nashville SC are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Nashville SC vs CF Montreal| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 1.47 | 4.50 | 6.00 | 1.57 | 2.38 | 1.62 | 2.15 | |
| 1.47 | 4.40 | 6.05 | 1.54 | 2.21 | 1.70 | 2.01 | |
| 1.44 | 4.60 | 6.00 | 1.57 | 2.38 | 1.75 | 2.05 | |
| 1.53 | 4.55 | 6.03 | 1.62 | 2.38 | — | — | |
| 1.47 | 4.32 | 5.80 | — | — | — | — | |
| 1.44 | 4.20 | 5.50 | — | — | 1.73 | 2.00 | |
| 1.55 | 4.10 | 6.00 | 1.60 | 2.30 | 1.67 | 2.10 | |
| 1.49 | 4.10 | 6.75 | 1.58 | 2.30 | 1.68 | 2.07 | |
Betano | 1.55 | 4.60 | 6.20 | 1.65 | 2.32 | 1.72 | 2.05 |
Superbet | 1.49 | 4.60 | 6.10 | 1.62 | 2.32 | 1.74 | 2.02 |
BetVictor | 1.50 | 4.33 | 5.75 | 1.57 | 2.20 | 1.65 | 2.10 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 10 Meetings (Nashville SC leads 5-1)In the last 10 matches between Nashville SC and CF Montreal, Nashville SC has won 5 times, there have been 4 draws, and CF Montreal has won once. The scorelines indicate a generally favorable trend for Nashville SC, with several decisive victories, including a 4-1 win and a 3-0 win. The only win for CF Montreal came in June 2023, suggesting that they have struggled in recent encounters. The matches have often been competitive, with 4 draws, but overall, Nashville SC has demonstrated a stronger performance historically against CF Montreal.
Major League Soccer Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 18 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 35 | 14 | 21 | 40 | DLWWW |
| 1 |  Vancouver Whitecaps | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 38 | 17 | 21 | 34 | DDLWL |
| 2 |  Los Angeles FC | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 35 | 19 | 16 | 34 | DWWWW |
| 2 |  Inter Miami | 18 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 45 | 32 | 13 | 38 | DWWWW |
| 3 |  New England Revolution | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 28 | 23 | 5 | 30 | LDWDL |
| 3 |  San Jose Earthquakes | 18 | 10 | 3 | 5 | 37 | 24 | 13 | 33 | LDLWL |
| 14 | CF Montreal | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 24 | 35 | -11 | 16 | DLLDD |
| 15 |  Atlanta United FC | 18 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 19 | 33 | -14 | 12 | LLDLL |
| 15 |  Sporting Kansas City | 18 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 18 | 46 | -28 | 14 | LLWLL |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonNashville SC have won 10 of their last 15 matches at home, drawing 3 and losing 2. Their recent home fixtures include beat Nashville SC 1-0 and beat Nashville SC 1-0.
Overall, the wider run reads 16W 8D 5L from the last 29 games (55% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
CF Montreal have won 4 of their last 16 matches on the road, drawing 1 and losing 11. Their recent away fixtures include lost to Nashville SC 1-0 and beat Vancouver FC 1-2.
Overall, the wider run reads 9W 5D 14L from the last 28 games (32% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Lineups
ConfirmedNashville SC4-3-3Confirmed
CF Montreal4-3-3Confirmed
Unavailable Players
8 playersNashville SC5
CF Montreal3
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.
Corner Prediction
Nashville SC have averaged 4.4 corners per match at home; CF Montreal 6.0 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 6.2 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Nashville SC have generated 0.91 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 55% of them. They put 2.9 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Nashville SC player to score or assist at 1.55 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
