Kristiansund BK vs Start Prediction, Tips & Odds
Kristiansund BK vs Start
Match Preview
The model favours Kristiansund BK to win against Start, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. Kristiansund currently sits in 15th place in the Eliteserien, having earned 11 points from 12 matches. Their season has been marked by a struggling attack, scoring only 11 goals while conceding 21, resulting in a goal difference of -10. Recent form shows some improvement, with two wins in their last five matches, suggesting they are starting to find their footing. On the other hand, Start is in a more precarious position, sitting at the bottom of the standings in 16th place with just 7 points from 13 matches. Their season has been challenging, with only one win to show for their efforts and a goal difference of -16, having scored 14 goals but conceded 30. Their last five matches have resulted in one win and four losses, indicating a lack of consistency and resilience. The model indicates a win probability of 60% for Kristiansund BK, with a projected score of 2-1. A key market percentage suggests that Kristiansund is likely to cover the spread. However, if Kristiansund fails to convert their chances or Start manages to capitalize on defensive errors, the outcome could shift. For a detailed explanation of our prediction methodology, please refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section. This analysis is brought to you by The Daily Punt Analysis Team, using an in-house model that evaluates expected goals and actual results throughout the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (2.1 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 15.8% probability.
Kristiansund BK have been the stronger side, winning 27% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 15.8% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.
Lines averaged across 6 bookmakers. Kristiansund BK are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Kristiansund BK vs Start| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 2.15 | 3.55 | 3.10 | 1.73 | 2.10 | 1.57 | 2.20 | |
| 2.10 | 3.50 | 3.22 | 1.73 | 2.07 | 1.59 | 2.18 | |
| 2.10 | 3.50 | 3.20 | 1.65 | 2.10 | 1.57 | 2.25 | |
| 2.15 | 3.68 | 3.38 | 1.77 | 2.13 | — | — | |
| 2.12 | 3.35 | 3.12 | 1.74 | 2.13 | — | — | |
| 2.10 | 3.40 | 3.10 | — | — | 1.60 | 2.25 | |
| 2.15 | 3.50 | 3.25 | 1.70 | 2.10 | 1.57 | 2.25 | |
| 2.15 | 3.58 | 3.30 | 1.75 | 2.10 | 1.59 | 2.21 | |
| 2.17 | 3.45 | 3.00 | 1.63 | 2.08 | 1.53 | 2.28 | |
Betano | 2.15 | 3.40 | 3.20 | 1.72 | 2.07 | 1.57 | 2.25 |
Superbet | 2.17 | 3.45 | 3.15 | 1.70 | 2.07 | 1.58 | 2.25 |
BetVictor | 2.05 | 3.50 | 3.10 | 1.70 | 1.99 | 1.57 | 2.25 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 6 Meetings (evenly matched 2-2)The head-to-head record between Kristiansund BK and Start stands at 2 wins for each team, with 2 matches ending in draws over the last 6 encounters. This indicates a balanced rivalry, with no side dominating the other. The scorelines highlight a mix of tight contests, such as the 1-1 draws and a narrow 3-2 victory, alongside a significant 4-0 win for Start, which suggests that while some matches have been closely contested, there have also been instances of heavier defeats. The most recent victory for Start came in April 2023, indicating a competitive dynamic between the two teams.
Eliteserien Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Bodo/Glimt | 17 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 43 | 12 | 31 | 41 | WWWWW |
| 2 |  Viking | 17 | 13 | 1 | 3 | 40 | 17 | 23 | 40 | LWWDW |
| 3 |  Tromso | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 34 | 20 | 14 | 34 | LWWWD |
| 4 |  Molde | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 32 | 26 | 6 | 27 | WLDWL |
| 5 |  Lillestrom | 17 | 8 | 2 | 7 | 23 | 21 | 2 | 26 | DLLLW |
| 6 |  Brann | 17 | 8 | 1 | 8 | 36 | 27 | 9 | 25 | WWLWW |
| 14 | Kristiansund BK | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 15 | 27 | -12 | 15 | LWLLD |
| 15 |  Aalesund | 17 | 2 | 9 | 6 | 27 | 41 | -14 | 15 | DDLDL |
| 16 | Start | 17 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 16 | 38 | -22 | 10 | LLWLL |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonKristiansund BK have won 6 of their last 17 matches at home, drawing 5 and losing 6. Their recent home fixtures include beat Kristiansund BK 2-1 and lost to Kristiansund BK 1-2.
Overall, the wider run reads 8W 7D 15L from the last 30 games (27% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Start have won 3 of their last 18 matches on the road, drawing 3 and losing 12. Their recent away fixtures include beat Kristiansund BK 1-2 and lost to Brann 2-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 7W 6D 16L from the last 29 games (24% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Lineups
ConfirmedKristiansund BK4-4-2Confirmed
Start3-4-1-2Confirmed
Unavailable Players
7 playersKristiansund BK2
Start5
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.
Corner Prediction
Kristiansund BK have averaged 5.0 corners per match at home; Start 3.1 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 5.0 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Kristiansund BK have generated 1.02 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 27% of them. They put 3.6 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Kristiansund BK player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
