KFUM Oslo vs Molde Prediction, Tips & Odds
KFUM Oslo vs Molde
Match Preview
The model favours Molde to win this match against KFUM Oslo, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. Currently, Molde sits in a strong fifth position in the league, having accumulated 20 points from 12 matches. Their season has been marked by a solid offensive display, scoring 20 goals, while their defensive record shows room for improvement with 15 goals conceded. Despite some inconsistency, their two recent wins indicate a team finding its rhythm. On the other hand, KFUM Oslo is struggling in 14th place, with only 12 points from their 12 matches. Their goal difference of -7 reflects a challenging season, as they have conceded more goals than they have scored. Recent form shows a mixed bag with just one win in their last five matches, which could impact their confidence going into this fixture. The model suggests a win probability of around 65% for Molde, with a projected score of 2-1. However, a key caveat is that if KFUM Oslo manages to capitalize on set pieces or if Molde's defensive issues resurface, the match could become more competitive than expected. For a deeper understanding of this prediction, please refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, where The Daily Punt Analysis Team outlines their in-house model that evaluates fixtures through expected goals and actual results across the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (3.0 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 15.2% probability.
Molde have been the stronger side, winning 39% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 15.2% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.
Lines averaged across 6 bookmakers. Molde are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
KFUM Oslo vs Molde| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 3.00 | 3.60 | 2.20 | 1.67 | 2.15 | 1.53 | 2.30 | |
| 2.93 | 3.70 | 2.17 | 1.68 | 2.14 | 1.56 | 2.24 | |
| 3.00 | 3.60 | 2.15 | 1.60 | 2.20 | 1.50 | 2.40 | |
| 3.08 | 3.76 | 2.26 | 1.72 | 2.19 | — | — | |
| 2.92 | 3.36 | 2.23 | 1.72 | 2.16 | — | — | |
| 2.90 | 3.50 | 2.15 | — | — | 1.57 | 2.25 | |
| 3.10 | 3.50 | 2.20 | 1.70 | 2.10 | 1.57 | 2.25 | |
| 3.00 | 3.78 | 2.22 | 1.70 | 2.17 | 1.56 | 2.28 | |
| 3.00 | 3.45 | 2.15 | 1.65 | 2.06 | 1.54 | 2.25 | |
Betano | 3.05 | 3.50 | 2.20 | 1.70 | 2.12 | 1.57 | 2.27 |
Superbet | 3.05 | 3.50 | 2.20 | 1.67 | 2.12 | 1.57 | 2.27 |
BetVictor | 2.90 | 3.50 | 2.15 | 1.66 | 2.05 | 1.53 | 2.30 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 5 Meetings (KFUM Oslo leads 2-1)The head-to-head record between KFUM Oslo and Molde stands at 2 wins for KFUM Oslo, 2 draws, and 1 win for Molde over the last five matches. This record indicates a relatively balanced rivalry, with KFUM Oslo having the slight edge. The scorelines reflect a mix of outcomes, including a heavy 5-1 loss for KFUM Oslo in a friendly, while the Eliteserien encounters have been more competitive, featuring two draws and close contests, including a 3-2 victory for KFUM Oslo on two occasions. The last win for Molde in this matchup was in 2026, suggesting a recent struggle for them against KFUM Oslo.
Eliteserien Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Bodo/Glimt | 17 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 43 | 12 | 31 | 41 | WWWWW |
| 2 |  Viking | 17 | 13 | 1 | 3 | 40 | 17 | 23 | 40 | LWWDW |
| 3 |  Tromso | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 34 | 20 | 14 | 34 | LWWWD |
| 4 | Molde | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 32 | 26 | 6 | 27 | WLDWL |
| 5 |  Lillestrom | 17 | 8 | 2 | 7 | 23 | 21 | 2 | 26 | DLLLW |
| 6 |  Brann | 17 | 8 | 1 | 8 | 36 | 27 | 9 | 25 | WWLWW |
| 12 | KFUM Oslo | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 19 | 27 | -8 | 19 | DWWLL |
| 14 |  Kristiansund BK | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 15 | 27 | -12 | 15 | LWLLD |
| 15 |  Aalesund | 17 | 2 | 9 | 6 | 27 | 41 | -14 | 15 | DDLDL |
| 16 |  Start | 17 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 16 | 38 | -22 | 10 | LLWLL |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonKFUM Oslo have won 7 of their last 16 matches at home, drawing 4 and losing 5. Their recent home fixtures include drew with Lillestrom 1-1 and beat Kristiansund BK 2-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 8W 8D 15L from the last 31 games (26% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Molde have won 2 of their last 10 matches on the road, drawing 2 and losing 6. Their recent away fixtures include lost to Molde 2-1 and beat KFUM Oslo 2-4.
Overall, the wider run reads 11W 6D 11L from the last 28 games (39% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
11 playersKFUM Oslo5
Molde6
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.
Corner Prediction
KFUM Oslo have averaged 3.6 corners per match at home; Molde 5.2 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 5.4 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Molde have generated 1.75 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 39% of them. They put 4.8 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Molde player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
