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Bohemians vs Ballkani Prediction, Tips & Odds

Bohemians vs Ballkani

UEFA Europa Conference League2nd Qualifying Round
Bohemians
DLWDW
2 - 1
Dalymount Park, Dublin
Referee: J. Semler
Ballkani
LWDLL
★ OUR PICK
Bohemians to Win
Solid home form and superior underlying numbers over Ballkani make Bohemians the value pick here.
Moneyline
1.87
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.67 (implied 60.0%) for Bohemians to Win. Our experts calculate a 62.5% probability (an expert ratio of 1.60). We chose this bet because our experts rate it more likely than the bookmaker price implies (62.5% vs 60.0%), driven by Bohemians's stronger form and superior underlying numbers. That edge makes it our most confident selection for this match.

Match Preview

The model favours Bohemians to win against Ballkani, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. Bohemians are in strong form, having secured four wins and one draw in their last five matches. This consistent performance suggests a solid foundation as they approach this fixture, likely giving them an advantage at home. In contrast, Ballkani has had a mixed run, recording two wins, one draw, and two losses in their last five outings. This inconsistency could hinder their ability to compete effectively against a confident Bohemians side. The disparity in form indicates that Ballkani may struggle to maintain momentum and capitalize on scoring opportunities. The model output indicates a higher win probability for Bohemians, reflecting their recent strong performances. However, it is important to note that if Ballkani can find their rhythm and exploit any defensive weaknesses, they could pose a threat. The full method used to arrive at this prediction is detailed in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, developed by The Daily Punt Analysis Team, which employs an in-house model analyzing expected goals and actual results throughout the season.

Betting Predictions

How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.

Match Result
Bohemians Win56%1.67
Draw22%3.57
Ballkani Win23%4.81
BTTS
Both Teams to Score: Yes
1.8552.7%

Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.

Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 Goals
1.9251.6%

Combined goal output is high (3.1 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.

Correct Score
Bohemians 1-0 Ballkani
5.9117.0%

The most likely scoreline per our model at 17.0% probability.

Asian Handicap
Bohemians -1.5
3.0036%

Bohemians have been the stronger side, winning 60% of their matches.

CORRECT SCOREMost likely outcomes
1-0
5.91
17.0%
1-1
6.30
16.0%
2-0
6.94
14.4%
2-1
7.34
13.8%
0-0
8.73
11.5%
0-1
11.33
9.0%

Our model projects a 1-0 Bohemians win as the most likely scoreline at 17.0% probability. 3 of the top six outcomes feature Bohemians clean sheets, in line with their 33% clean-sheet rate this season.

ASIAN HANDICAPLines & prices
Bohemians
-0.0
1.24
Ballkani
+0.0
3.69
Bohemians
-0.5
1.82
Ballkani
+0.5
3.75
Bohemians
-1.5
3.00
Ballkani
+1.5
10.50

Lines averaged across 5 bookmakers. Bohemians are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.

Best Betting Odds

Bohemians vs Ballkani
Bookmaker1X2O/U 2.5BTTS
1X2OverUnderYesNo
10Bet
1.673.604.701.931.801.831.80
Marathonbet
1.653.704.951.941.821.871.81
Betfair
1.623.505.001.951.751.871.87
Pinnacle
1.623.594.731.951.81
SBO
1.663.264.211.941.84
William Hill
1.673.405.001.851.85
Bet365
1.573.705.501.951.851.911.80
1xBet
1.673.704.911.941.821.871.83
Unibet
1.723.604.501.761.921.701.98
Betano
1.653.655.101.931.801.901.80
Superbet
1.873.453.901.901.801.821.90
BetVictor
1.623.755.251.891.791.901.80

Goals Probability

Avg. bookmaker odds
Over 0.5 Goals
89.2%
Over 1.5 Goals
72%
Over 2.5 Goals
51.6%
Over 3.5 Goals
28.7%

Double Chance

Bet covers two outcomes
1XBohemians or Draw
78%1.15
12Bohemians or Ballkani
78%1.24
X2Draw or Ballkani
45%2.09

Head to Head

Last 1 Meetings (evenly matched 0-0)
0 Bohemians1 Draw0 Ballkani
22 Jul
Bohemians
1-1
Ballkani
UEFA Europa Conference League

The head-to-head record between Bohemians and Ballkani shows 0 wins for Bohemians, 1 draw, and 0 wins for Ballkani. Their only encounter ended in a 1-1 draw, indicating a balanced matchup with neither team securing a victory. The scoreline suggests a competitive and closely contested match, with both sides managing to find the net. Since there has only been one meeting, it is difficult to identify any clear patterns or trends in their historical encounters.

Key Statistics

2026 Season
BohemiansBallkani
1.93Goals p.g.1.14
1.2Goals conceded p.g.1.57
33%Clean sheets21%
60%Win rate36%
3.13Avg goals in match2.71
1.83xG per game
-0.10xGA per game
55%Possession %
4.2Shots on target / game
5.6Corners per game
Bohemians
Recent Form

Bohemians have won 4 of their last 7 matches at home, drawing 1 and losing 2. Their recent home fixtures include drew with Galway United 1-1 and beat Ballkani 2-1.

Overall, the wider run reads 9W 2D 4L from the last 15 games (60% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.

Match Results: BohemiansAll competitions
02 Aug
Bohemians
1-1
Galway United
Premier Division
30 Jul
Ballkani
3-2
Bohemians
UEFA Europa Conference League
22 Jul
Bohemians
2-1
Ballkani
UEFA Europa Conference League
16 Jul
St Joseph S Fc
0-0
Bohemians
UEFA Europa Conference League
09 Jul
Bohemians
2-0
St Joseph S Fc
UEFA Europa Conference League
03 Jul
Drogheda United
0-2
Bohemians
Premier Division
9
Win
60%
2
Draw
13%
4
Lost
27%
Ballkani
Recent Form

Ballkani have won 2 of their last 9 matches on the road, drawing 1 and losing 6. Their recent away fixtures include lost to Ballkani 2-1 and drew with GAP Connah S Quay FC 0-0.

Overall, the wider run reads 5W 1D 8L from the last 14 games (36% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.

Match Results: BallkaniAll competitions
22 Jul
Bohemians
2-1
Ballkani
UEFA Europa Conference League
16 Jul
Ballkani
3-2
GAP Connah S Quay FC
UEFA Europa Conference League
08 Jul
GAP Connah S Quay FC
0-0
Ballkani
UEFA Europa Conference League
02 Jul
Sileks
4-0
Ballkani
Friendlies Clubs
27 Jun
Botev Plovdiv
2-0
Ballkani
Friendlies Clubs
24 Jun
Hebar 1918
0-1
Ballkani
Friendlies Clubs
5
Win
36%
1
Draw
7%
8
Lost
57%

Lineups

Confirmed

Bohemians5-3-2Confirmed

22Sam ToddDEF
16Darragh PowerDEF
6Jordan FloresDEF
12Patrick HickeyDEF
9Colm WhelanFWD
25Paul WaltersGK
10Dawson DevoyMID
32Markuss StrodsMID
26Ross TierneyMID
17Adam McDonnellMID
5Sadou DialloMID
4Niall MorahanDEF
3Ryan BurkeDEF
24Cian ByrneDEF
15Senan MullenDEF
29Josh HarpurFWD
18Douglas James-TaylorFWD
30Finn McDonnellGK
1Kacper ChorążkaGK
8Harry VaughanMID
7Connor ParsonsMID
23Zane MyersMID
11Dayle RooneyMID

Ballkani4-3-3Confirmed

12Abou DossoDEF
6Diar VokrriDEF
28Ivica BatareloDEF
4Gentrit HaliliDEF
9Valentin SerebeFWD
25Adnan GolubovićGK
20Edvin KučMID
8Toni DomgjoniMID
10GiovanniMID
14Marsel IsmajlgeciMID
5Anel ŠabanadžovićMID
92Elmando GjiniDEF
22Elvis LetajDEF
15Redon ZekajDEF
32Bajram JashanicaDEF
7Laorent ShabaniFWD
1Ardit NikaGK
30Almedin KlinakuMID
23Lorik DobratiqiMID
29Albert DièneMID
21Ardit DeliuMID
19Engjell AjazajMID

Unavailable Players

0 players

Bohemians

No reported absences

Ballkani

No reported absences

Betting Strategy

High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.

High Probability
Bohemians Win1.67 (55.5%)
Value Bets
Over 2.5 Goals1.92 (51.6%)
Under 2.5 Goals1.82 (48.4%)
Both Teams Score1.85 (52.7%)
BTTS No1.84 (47.3%)
Speculative
Draw3.57 (22%)
Ballkani Win4.81 (22.5%)

Yellow Card Prediction

J. Semler has averaged 2.0 yellow cards per match across 1 recent fixtures we have data for. Our pick is under 3.5 yellow cards at 1.95.

Corner Prediction

Bohemians average 1.9 goals per match at home; Ballkani 1.1 on the road. Open, attack-leaning sides tend to produce more corners; tight, low-event games tend to produce fewer. Our pick is over 9.5 corners at 1.72.

Player Stats Bet

Bohemians have generated 1.83 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 60% of them. They put 4.2 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Bohemians player to score or assist at 1.55 looks well supported by the data.

What's Your Prediction?

Pick the result you expect

OUR PREDICTION
Bohemians to Win

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The Daily Punt Analysis Team

Data-driven football predictions and betting tips

This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.

Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.