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OFI vs 1899 Hoffenheim Prediction, Tips & Odds

OFI vs 1899 Hoffenheim

UEFA Europa LeagueLeague Stage - 1
OFI
#25 · UEFA Europa League
DLWWW
2 - 0
Pankritio Stadium, Heraklion
Referee: J. Alberola
1899 Hoffenheim
#14 · UEFA Europa League
LLWDL
★ OUR PICK
Over 2.5 Goals
Both sides average plenty of goals and trend toward open games — the over is the value pick here.
Totals
1.50
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.45 (implied 69.0%) for Over 2.5 Goals. Our experts calculate a 71.5% probability (an expert ratio of 1.40). We chose this bet because our experts rate it more likely than the bookmaker price implies (71.5% vs 69.0%), driven by both sides' high goal output and tendency toward open games. That edge makes it our most confident selection for this match.

Match Preview

The model favours OFI to win against 1899 Hoffenheim, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. OFI enters this match with a solid recent form, having won three of their last five matches, which indicates a level of confidence and momentum as they start their European campaign. Although they have not played any league matches this season, their recent performances suggest they can build on this momentum. Conversely, Hoffenheim has struggled recently, managing only one win in their last five matches, with three losses. This inconsistent form may affect their confidence as they step onto the pitch for their first competitive match of the season. Despite their higher league position, the lack of recent positive results could hinder their performance against a motivated OFI side. The model indicates a win probability of approximately 55% for OFI, with a projected score of 2-1. However, it is essential to note the uncertainty surrounding the first match of the season for both teams, as performance can be unpredictable at this stage. The full method behind this prediction, which combines expected goals and actual results across the season, is detailed in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section. The Daily Punt Analysis Team employs this in-house model to provide insights for match outcomes.

Betting Predictions

How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.

Match Result
OFI Win24%8.99
Draw17%5.50
1899 Hoffenheim Win59%1.32
BTTS
Both Teams to Score: Yes
1.7558.6%

Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.

Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 Goals
1.4565.1%

Combined goal output is high (3.6 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.

Correct Score
OFI 0-2 1899 Hoffenheim
7.4413.5%

The most likely scoreline per our model at 13.5% probability.

Asian Handicap
1899 Hoffenheim -0.0
1.0753%

1899 Hoffenheim have been the stronger side, winning 50% of their matches.

CORRECT SCOREMost likely outcomes
0-2
7.44
13.5%
1-2
8.27
12.1%
0-1
8.89
11.3%
0-3
8.90
11.3%
1-3
9.94
10.1%
1-1
10.10
10.0%

Our model projects a 0-2 1899 Hoffenheim win as the most likely scoreline at 13.5% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.

ASIAN HANDICAPLines & prices
OFI
-0.0
6.57
1899 Hoffenheim
+0.0
1.07
OFI
-1.5
13.00
1899 Hoffenheim
+1.5
1.67

Lines averaged across 3 bookmakers. 1899 Hoffenheim are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.

Best Betting Odds

OFI vs 1899 Hoffenheim
Bookmaker1X2O/U 2.5BTTS
1X2OverUnderYesNo
Marathonbet
9.605.601.311.422.591.751.96
Betfair
9.005.501.301.442.701.732.10
Pinnacle
9.225.641.331.462.76
SBO
7.435.321.32
William Hill
9.005.001.301.752.05
Bet365
9.005.251.331.502.621.801.95
1xBet
9.705.681.331.422.591.751.98
Betano
9.006.001.341.472.751.781.98
BetVictor
9.005.501.291.432.541.702.00

Goals Probability

Avg. bookmaker odds
Over 0.5 Goals
94.1%
Over 1.5 Goals
83.6%
Over 2.5 Goals
65.1%
Over 3.5 Goals
44%

Double Chance

Bet covers two outcomes
1XOFI or Draw
41%3.37
12OFI or 1899 Hoffenheim
83%1.13
X2Draw or 1899 Hoffenheim
76%1.07

Head to Head

Last 1 Meetings (OFI leads 1-0)
1 OFI0 Draw0 1899 Hoffenheim
17 Sept
OFI
1-0
1899 Hoffenheim
UEFA Europa League

In their only recorded head-to-head match, OFI has a 1-0 victory over 1899 Hoffenheim. This narrow win suggests a tightly contested encounter, with OFI managing to secure the result with a single goal. There have been no draws or heavy defeats in their meetings, indicating that the match was competitive and closely fought. As it stands, 1899 Hoffenheim has yet to find the back of the net against OFI in this fixture.

UEFA Europa League Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1
Anderlecht
00000000
WWWWW
2
Ararat-Armenia
00000000
WD
3
AZ Alkmaar
00000000
4
Benfica
00000000
WWDWW
5
Beşiktaş
00000000
LWWWW
6
Bournemouth
00000000
14
1899 Hoffenheim
00000000
25
OFI
00000000
WW
34
Torreense
00000000
35
Union St. Gilloise
00000000
36
Plzen
00000000
WL

Venue Record

Current season at home / on the road
OFIHome
0W0D0L
0 playedGF 0 · GA 0 pts/game
1899 HoffenheimAway
0W0D0L
0 playedGF 0 · GA 0 pts/game

Key Statistics

2026 Season
OFI1899 Hoffenheim
1.5Goals p.g.2.07
1.46Goals conceded p.g.1.75
32%Clean sheets25%
43%Win rate50%
2.96Avg goals in match3.82
0.88xG per game1.88
0.18xGA per game-0.16
44%Possession %62%
3.1Shots on target / game8.0
1.4Corners per game11.0
OFI
Recent Form

OFI have won 7 of their last 11 matches at home, drawing 1 and losing 3. Their recent home fixtures include beat OFI 2-0 and beat OFI 3-0.

Overall, the wider run reads 12W 6D 10L from the last 28 games (43% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.

Match Results: OFIAll competitions
02 Sept
PAOK
0-0
OFI
Cup
30 Aug
Aris Thessalonikis
2-1
OFI
Super League 1
27 Aug
CSKA Sofia
0-2
OFI
UEFA Europa League
23 Aug
OFI
2-0
Volos NFC
Super League 1
20 Aug
OFI
3-0
CSKA Sofia
UEFA Europa League
12 Aug
AEK Athens FC
2-2
OFI
Super Cup
12
Win
43%
6
Draw
21%
10
Lost
36%
1899 Hoffenheim
Recent Form

1899 Hoffenheim have won 6 of their last 14 matches on the road, drawing 3 and losing 5. Their recent away fixtures include lost to 1. FC Köln 3-2 and beat Erzgebirge Aue 0-4.

Overall, the wider run reads 14W 5D 9L from the last 28 games (50% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.

Match Results: 1899 HoffenheimAll competitions
05 Sept
1899 Hoffenheim
2-3
Borussia Dortmund
Bundesliga
29 Aug
1. FC Köln
3-2
1899 Hoffenheim
Bundesliga
22 Aug
Erzgebirge Aue
0-4
1899 Hoffenheim
DFB Pokal
16 Aug
Tottenham
2-2
1899 Hoffenheim
Friendlies Clubs
15 Aug
Tottenham
3-0
1899 Hoffenheim
Friendlies Clubs
01 Aug
1899 Hoffenheim
3-0
Karlsruher SC
Friendlies Clubs
14
Win
50%
5
Draw
18%
9
Lost
32%

Lineups

Confirmed

OFI3-4-3Confirmed

5K. KostoulasDEF
15A. PoungourasDEF
2K. KrizmanićDEF
10Aitor CantalapiedraFWD
19K. KodroFWD
11T. FountasFWD
31N. ChristogeorgosGK
41A. BouchalakisMID
24L. DickmannMID
14T. AndroutsosMID
3N. AthanasiouMID
16C. SielisDEF
90Pavlos KenourgiakisDEF
17Borja GonzálezDEF
46G. TheodosoulakisFWD
9A. LeyaFWD
18T. NussFWD
30T. RomanoFWD
13P. KatsikasGK
1K. LiloGK
6Z. KarachaliosMID
21G. ApostolakisMID
8G. KanellópoulosMID

1899 Hoffenheim4-2-3-1Confirmed

34V. CoufalDEF
39M. RotsDEF
21A. HajdariDEF
5O. KabakDEF
19T. LemperleFWD
1O. BaumannGK
7L. AvdullahuMID
18W. BurgerMID
17Nathan De CatMID
10A. HložekMID
8P. WimmerMID
22A. PrassDEF
15V. GendreyDEF
2R. HranáčDEF
28K. MachidaDEF
27A. KramarićFWD
9Max MoerstedtFWD
11F. AsllaniFWD
14A. DaghimFWD
37L. PhilippGK
36L. PeterssonGK
32Cajetan Benjamin LenzMID
20B. ContéMID

Unavailable Players

0 players

OFI

No reported absences

1899 Hoffenheim

No reported absences

Betting Strategy

High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.

High Probability
1899 Hoffenheim Win1.32 (59.3%)
Over 2.5 Goals1.45 (65.1%)
Both Teams Score1.75 (58.6%)
Value Bets
Under 2.5 Goals2.65 (34.9%)
BTTS No2.00 (41.4%)
Speculative
OFI Win8.99 (23.9%)
Draw5.50 (16.8%)

Yellow Card Prediction

J. Alberola has averaged 3.0 yellow cards per match across 1 recent fixtures we have data for. Our pick is under 3.5 yellow cards at 1.95.

Corner Prediction

OFI have averaged 1.4 corners per match at home; 1899 Hoffenheim 11.0 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 7.2 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.

Player Stats Bet

1899 Hoffenheim have generated 1.88 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 50% of them. They put 8.0 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. 1899 Hoffenheim player to score or assist at 1.55 looks well supported by the data.

What's Your Prediction?

Pick the result you expect

OUR PREDICTION
2.5 Goals Over

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The Daily Punt Analysis Team

Data-driven football predictions and betting tips

This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.

Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.