Osasuna vs Getafe Prediction, Tips & Odds
Osasuna vs Getafe
Match Preview
The model favours Osasuna to win against Getafe, projecting a scoreline of 2-0. Osasuna enters the match in a relatively stable position, having shown decent form with three wins in their last five matches. Although they have not yet played this season, their recent performances suggest a team that can capitalize on home advantage, especially as they prepare to kick off their campaign. On the other hand, Getafe finds itself in a challenging position, currently sitting at the bottom of the standings after one match played, which ended in a loss. Their form has been troubling, with no wins in their last five matches, including three defeats. This lack of scoring ability, as seen in their recent games, raises concerns about their capacity to challenge Osasuna effectively. The model output indicates a win probability of approximately 65% for Osasuna, while Getafe's chances sit at around 20%. With the predicted scoreline of 2-0, the key market percentage reflects strong backing for Osasuna's victory. However, a potential caveat is that if Getafe can improve their defensive organization, they might limit Osasuna's scoring opportunities. The full method, which utilizes expected goals and actual results across the season, is detailed in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, crafted by The Daily Punt Analysis Team.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Osasuna have kept a clean sheet in 16% of matches. Getafe average 0.9 goals per game.
Osasuna manage games at home, conceding just 1.45 goals per match. Getafe score 0.91 on the road.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 20.9% probability.
Osasuna have been the stronger side, winning 35% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-0 Osasuna win as the most likely scoreline at 20.9% probability. 3 of the top six outcomes feature Osasuna clean sheets, in line with their 16% clean-sheet rate this season.
Lines averaged across 6 bookmakers. Osasuna are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Osasuna vs Getafe| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 2.18 | 2.90 | 3.75 | 3.00 | 1.38 | 2.40 | 1.53 | |
| 2.23 | 2.95 | 4.10 | 2.93 | 1.34 | 2.39 | 1.51 | |
| 2.15 | 2.80 | 4.33 | 3.10 | 1.36 | 2.38 | 1.53 | |
| 2.24 | 2.91 | 4.20 | 3.22 | 1.36 | — | — | |
| 2.16 | 2.84 | 3.76 | — | — | — | — | |
| 2.15 | 2.80 | 3.90 | — | — | 2.40 | 1.55 | |
| 2.15 | 2.90 | 4.10 | 3.20 | 1.36 | 2.50 | 1.50 | |
| 2.26 | 3.00 | 4.16 | 2.93 | 1.34 | 2.39 | 1.52 | |
| 2.12 | 2.95 | 4.10 | 2.90 | 1.40 | 2.32 | 1.55 | |
Betano | 2.22 | 2.92 | 3.90 | 3.05 | 1.40 | 2.35 | 1.55 |
Superbet | 2.20 | 2.92 | 4.10 | 3.10 | 1.38 | 2.45 | 1.53 |
BetVictor | 2.15 | 2.90 | 4.00 | 2.82 | 1.36 | 2.40 | 1.50 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 10 Meetings (Getafe leads 6-2)In the last 10 matches between Osasuna and Getafe, Getafe holds a clear advantage with 6 wins, while Osasuna has won 2 times and there have been 2 draws. The scorelines indicate a competitive rivalry, with several matches being closely contested; however, Getafe has managed to secure more victories, including two 2-1 wins and a 3-2 win, highlighting their ability to edge out Osasuna in tight encounters. Notably, Osasuna's last win against Getafe came over a year ago, suggesting a recent trend favoring Getafe in this matchup.
La Liga Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Barcelona | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 4 | 17 | 15 | WWWWW |
| 2 |  Real Madrid | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 6 | 11 | 15 | WWLWW |
| 3 |  Real Betis | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 12 | WWLWW |
| 4 |  Alaves | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 10 | LLWWD |
| 5 |  Atletico Madrid | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 10 | WLWDW |
| 6 |  Sevilla | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 10 | WDLWW |
| 11 | Osasuna | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 7 | LLWWD |
| 15 | Getafe | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 5 | DDLWL |
| 18 |  Malaga | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 8 | -6 | 3 | DDLDL |
| 19 |  Villarreal | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 2 | LLLDD |
| 20 |  Elche | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 16 | -8 | 2 | LDLLL |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonOsasuna have won 6 of their last 15 matches at home, drawing 4 and losing 5. Their recent home fixtures include lost to Espanyol 0-2 and beat Getafe 1-0.
Overall, the wider run reads 11W 7D 13L from the last 31 games (35% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Getafe have won 5 of their last 18 matches on the road, drawing 5 and losing 8. Their recent away fixtures include lost to Osasuna 1-0 and lost to FK Partizan 2-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 13W 8D 13L from the last 34 games (38% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
ConfirmedOsasuna4-4-2Confirmed
Getafe4-4-2Confirmed
Unavailable Players
5 playersOsasuna1
Getafe4
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
J. A. Gonzalez Esteban has averaged 6.0 yellow cards per match across 2 recent fixtures we have data for. Our pick is over 4.5 yellow cards at 1.85.
Corner Prediction
Osasuna have averaged 4.0 corners per match at home; Getafe 3.3 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 4.7 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Osasuna have generated 1.45 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 35% of them. They put 4.9 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Osasuna player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
