PAOK vs Brann Prediction, Tips & Odds
PAOK vs Brann
Match Preview
The model favours PAOK to win this matchup against Brann, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. PAOK's recent form shows two wins and three losses in their last five matches, indicating a challenging period for the team. Despite this, their home advantage at Toumba Stadium could play a critical role in boosting their performance. The team will need to leverage their strengths and improve consistency to secure a vital win in this playoff round. On the other hand, Brann has shown slightly better form with three wins and two losses in their last five matches. Their recent results suggest they are capable of competing fiercely, but they will need to overcome the challenge of playing away. Brann's ability to adapt to the conditions at Toumba Stadium will be crucial, as they seek to capitalize on any weaknesses in PAOK's game. The model indicates a win probability of 60% for PAOK, reflecting their home advantage and overall potential. However, an honest caveat is that if PAOK's recent struggles continue, they could find it difficult to secure the win against a resilient Brann side. The full method behind this prediction can be found in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, as the analysis is conducted by The Daily Punt Analysis Team using an in-house model that evaluates expected goals and actual results throughout the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (3.5 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 16.6% probability.
PAOK have been the stronger side, winning 39% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-0 PAOK win as the most likely scoreline at 16.6% probability. 4 of the top six outcomes feature PAOK clean sheets, in line with their 36% clean-sheet rate this season.
Lines averaged across 5 bookmakers. PAOK are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
PAOK vs Brann| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 1.69 | 3.70 | 4.80 | 1.91 | 1.85 | 1.83 | 1.85 | |
| 1.55 | 3.75 | 5.95 | 1.87 | 1.88 | 1.88 | 1.80 | |
| 1.55 | 3.70 | 5.50 | 1.85 | 1.85 | 1.91 | 1.83 | |
| 1.57 | 3.84 | 6.02 | 1.91 | 1.93 | — | — | |
| 1.67 | 3.26 | 4.12 | 1.97 | 1.81 | — | — | |
| 1.62 | 3.50 | 5.00 | — | — | 1.91 | 1.83 | |
| 1.55 | 3.80 | 6.00 | 1.95 | 1.85 | 1.83 | 1.83 | |
| 1.61 | 3.88 | 6.16 | 1.92 | 1.92 | 1.88 | 1.82 | |
| 1.63 | 3.80 | 4.80 | 1.68 | 2.00 | 1.70 | 1.98 | |
| 1.62 | 3.50 | 5.00 | 1.91 | 1.83 | 1.91 | 1.83 | |
Betano | 1.67 | 3.80 | 5.30 | 1.98 | 1.87 | 1.91 | 1.83 |
Superbet | 1.63 | 3.90 | 5.40 | 1.92 | 1.88 | 1.90 | 1.83 |
BetVictor | 1.57 | 3.90 | 5.50 | 1.84 | 1.83 | 1.87 | 1.83 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 1 Meetings (evenly matched 0-0)The head-to-head record between PAOK and Brann stands at one draw, with each team having won none of their encounters. The only match played ended in a 1-1 draw, indicating a tightly contested game. With just one fixture to analyze, there is no indication of a dominant side or a trend in scoring patterns. Both teams have yet to secure a victory against one another, suggesting an evenly matched historical rivalry thus far.
Key Statistics
2026 SeasonPAOK have won 8 of their last 16 matches at home, drawing 4 and losing 4. Their recent home fixtures include drew with Brann 1-1 and lost to Anderlecht 0-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 11W 9D 8L from the last 28 games (39% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Brann have won 7 of their last 18 matches on the road, drawing 4 and losing 7. Their recent away fixtures include drew with Brann 1-1 and beat Apollon Limassol 2-4.
Overall, the wider run reads 15W 7D 15L from the last 37 games (41% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersPAOK
No reported absences
Brann
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
D. Siebert has averaged 6.0 yellow cards per match across 2 recent fixtures we have data for. Our pick is over 4.5 yellow cards at 1.85.
Corner Prediction
PAOK have averaged 4.6 corners per match at home; Brann 5.3 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 5.9 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
PAOK have generated 1.44 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 39% of them. They put 3.2 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. PAOK player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.
What's Your Prediction?
Pick the result you expect
Do you agree with this prediction?
The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
