Platense vs Lanus Prediction, Tips & Odds
Platense vs Lanus
Match Preview
The model favours Lanus to win this match against Platense, projecting a scoreline of 1-0. Lanus is currently positioned 6th in the league with 24 points from 16 matches, showcasing a solid season with 6 wins, 6 draws, and only 4 losses. Their goal difference of +3 indicates a slightly stronger offensive capability compared to Platense, who has struggled to find the net consistently, scoring only 10 goals so far. On the other hand, Platense sits in 12th place with 16 points, having recorded just 3 wins this season. Their form has been inconsistent, with only 2 wins in their last 5 matches, and they have conceded 15 goals while scoring only 10. This suggests they are struggling to convert chances and maintain defensive solidity, which could be problematic against a more balanced Lanus side. According to the model, Lanus has a win probability of approximately 50%, indicating a competitive match is expected. While they are favoured to win, one caveat is that if Platense can improve their scoring efficiency and tighten their defence, they could challenge Lanus more effectively. The full method behind this prediction is detailed in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, as it is based on expected goals and actual results throughout the season, conducted by The Daily Punt Analysis Team.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Platense have kept a clean sheet in 28% of matches. Lanus average 1.0 goals per game.
Platense manage games at home, conceding just 1.07 goals per match. Lanus score 1.00 on the road.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 18.6% probability.
Platense have been the stronger side, winning 25% of their matches.
Our model projects a 0-0 draw as the most likely scoreline at 18.6% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.
Lines averaged across 5 bookmakers. Platense are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Platense vs Lanus| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 2.79 | 2.84 | 2.74 | 2.74 | 1.35 | 2.24 | 1.56 | |
| 2.75 | 2.88 | 2.75 | 2.88 | 1.40 | — | — | |
| 2.88 | 2.99 | 2.81 | 2.97 | 1.41 | — | — | |
| 2.56 | 2.65 | 2.61 | — | — | — | — | |
| 2.75 | 2.75 | 2.70 | — | — | 2.25 | 1.60 | |
| 2.88 | 2.80 | 2.88 | 2.88 | 1.40 | 2.25 | 1.57 | |
| 2.85 | 2.90 | 2.80 | 2.74 | 1.35 | 2.24 | 1.58 | |
Betano | 2.80 | 2.92 | 2.87 | 3.00 | 1.42 | 2.30 | 1.57 |
BetVictor | 2.80 | 2.80 | 2.75 | 2.88 | 1.36 | 2.25 | 1.57 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 9 Meetings (Lanus leads 3-1)In the last nine matches between Platense and Lanus, Platense has won 1 time, with 5 draws and Lanus winning 3 times. The scorelines indicate a relatively balanced rivalry, with several low-scoring draws, including four matches that ended 0-0. Lanus's victories include a notable 3-0 win, while Platense's sole win was a narrow 2-1. The frequency of draws suggests that matches between these teams tend to be competitive, with neither side able to dominate consistently. The last time Platense won was in September 2023, indicating a recent competitive edge for them.
Liga Profesional Argentina Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Independ. Rivadavia | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 29 | 15 | 14 | 34 | LDWWL |
| 1 |  Estudiantes L.P. | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 31 | DWLWL |
| 2 |  Boca Juniors | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 22 | 9 | 13 | 30 | DWWWD |
| 2 |  River Plate | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 12 | 10 | 29 | WLWWW |
| 3 |  Velez Sarsfield | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 18 | 12 | 6 | 28 | DWDWD |
| 3 |  Argentinos JRS | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 17 | 13 | 4 | 29 | DWLDD |
| 6 | Lanus | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 18 | 15 | 3 | 24 | DWWWL |
| 12 | Platense | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 16 | DDLLD |
| 14 |  Newells Old Boys | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 27 | -12 | 15 | DWDDD |
| 15 |  Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto | 16 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 5 | 24 | -19 | 5 | LLLLL |
| 15 |  Deportivo Riestra | 16 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 12 | -7 | 11 | LDDLD |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonPlatense have won 6 of their last 23 matches at home, drawing 10 and losing 7. Their recent home fixtures include drew with Argentinos JRS 1-1 and beat Estudiantes L.P. 1-0.
Overall, the wider run reads 10W 17D 13L from the last 40 games (25% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Lanus have won 5 of their last 19 matches on the road, drawing 3 and losing 11. Their recent away fixtures include drew with Lanus 0-0 and lost to Boca Juniors 1-0.
Overall, the wider run reads 15W 8D 14L from the last 37 games (41% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersPlatense
No reported absences
Lanus
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
Leandro Rey Hilfer has averaged 7.0 yellow cards per match across 1 recent fixtures we have data for. Our pick is over 4.5 yellow cards at 1.85.
Corner Prediction
Platense have averaged 5.9 corners per match at home; Lanus 4.9 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 6.4 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Platense have generated 1.43 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 25% of them. They put 4.4 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Platense player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
