Portsmouth vs Blackburn Prediction, Tips & Odds
Portsmouth vs Blackburn
Match Preview
The model favours Portsmouth to win against Blackburn, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. Portsmouth currently sits in 14th place, having played five matches this season with two wins and three losses. Their goal difference stands at -1, with seven goals scored and eight conceded. Despite a mixed start, their attacking capabilities have shown some promise, particularly in their recent victories. On the other hand, Blackburn is positioned just below Portsmouth in 16th place, with one win, two draws, and two losses from five matches. Their goal difference is also -1, but they have struggled to find consistent form, recording only one win in their last five matches. The lack of a solid defensive performance may hinder their ability to secure points against a Portsmouth side looking to capitalize on their home advantage. The model output indicates a win probability that leans towards Portsmouth, with a strong chance of them securing the three points. However, Blackburn's potential for an upset should not be overlooked, especially if they can tighten their defense and capitalize on any mistakes made by Portsmouth. For a detailed breakdown of the prediction, please refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section. This analysis is brought to you by The Daily Punt Analysis Team, which utilizes an in-house model that evaluates fixtures through expected goals and actual results across the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Portsmouth manage games at home, conceding just 1.47 goals per match. Blackburn score 1.00 on the road.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 16.5% probability.
Portsmouth have been the stronger side, winning 30% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 16.5% probability. 3 of the top six outcomes feature Portsmouth clean sheets, in line with their 17% clean-sheet rate this season.
Lines averaged across 5 bookmakers. Portsmouth are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Portsmouth vs Blackburn| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 2.11 | 3.32 | 3.34 | 2.05 | 1.72 | 1.81 | 1.87 | |
| 2.10 | 3.40 | 3.40 | 2.00 | 1.80 | 1.80 | 2.00 | |
| 2.20 | 3.44 | 3.48 | 2.14 | 1.76 | — | — | |
| 2.08 | 2.93 | 3.02 | 2.08 | 1.74 | — | — | |
| 2.10 | 3.25 | 3.30 | — | — | 1.80 | 1.91 | |
| 2.15 | 3.50 | 3.40 | 2.10 | 1.73 | 1.83 | 1.83 | |
| 2.13 | 3.32 | 3.34 | 2.05 | 1.72 | 1.81 | 1.90 | |
Betano | 2.15 | 3.35 | 3.45 | 2.10 | 1.78 | 1.83 | 1.91 |
BetVictor | 2.15 | 3.30 | 3.40 | 2.00 | 1.69 | 1.80 | 1.90 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 6 Meetings (Blackburn leads 3-2)In the last six encounters between Portsmouth and Blackburn, Blackburn has won three times, Portsmouth has won twice, and there has been one draw. The scorelines indicate a mix of competitive and one-sided matches, with Blackburn achieving two 3-0 victories and Portsmouth securing narrow wins of 1-0 and 2-1. The presence of a single draw highlights a tendency towards decisive outcomes rather than stalemates. Notably, Portsmouth last defeated Blackburn in 2025, while Blackburn's most recent win was also in that year, suggesting a relatively balanced yet slightly favorable record for Blackburn in recent meetings.
Championship Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  West Ham | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 20 | 9 | 11 | 14 | WWWWD |
| 2 |  West Brom | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 13 | WWDLW |
| 3 |  Swansea | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 11 | LDWWD |
| 4 |  QPR | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 11 | DLWWD |
| 5 |  Charlton | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 11 | DLDWW |
| 6 |  Middlesbrough | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 10 | WDWLW |
| 17 | Portsmouth | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 6 | WLLWL |
| 18 | Blackburn | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 9 | -2 | 5 | LLDLW |
| 22 |  Derby | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 11 | -6 | 4 | LLWLD |
| 23 |  Burnley | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 3 | DLDLL |
| 24 |  Preston | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 12 | -6 | 3 | LWLLL |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonPortsmouth have won 3 of their last 11 matches at home, drawing 3 and losing 5. Their recent home fixtures include beat Cardiff 2-0 and lost to Derby 0-2.
Overall, the wider run reads 9W 8D 13L from the last 30 games (30% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Blackburn have won 6 of their last 16 matches on the road, drawing 4 and losing 6. Their recent away fixtures include lost to Blackburn 2-1 and drew with Lincoln 0-0.
Overall, the wider run reads 10W 9D 11L from the last 30 games (33% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersPortsmouth
No reported absences
Blackburn
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
John Busby has been appointed as the referee for this fixture. We don't yet have enough recent fixtures officiated by John Busby to give a confident card-market projection. Our default lean is under 3.5 yellow cards at 1.95.
Corner Prediction
Portsmouth have averaged 7.2 corners per match at home; Blackburn 6.3 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 7.8 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Portsmouth have generated 1.37 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 30% of them. They put 4.0 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Portsmouth player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
