Preston vs Bristol City Prediction, Tips & Odds
Preston vs Bristol City
Match Preview
The model favours Preston in this matchup, projecting a scoreline of 1-0 against Bristol City. Despite their current position in the standings, Preston has shown slightly better form than their opponents. They sit 19th in the league after one match, having scored one goal and conceded two. Their recent form includes one draw and four losses, but they will aim to leverage home advantage at Deepdale. Bristol City, on the other hand, is struggling at 23rd place with no points from their opening match. They have yet to score this season and have conceded two goals. Their last five matches reflect a challenging run of form, with only one win, two draws, and two losses. This lack of offensive output may hinder their chances against a Preston side eager to improve. The model indicates a win probability of around 60% for Preston, with a projected score of 1-0. However, a potential caveat could be Preston's inability to convert chances into goals, which has been a recurring issue in their recent matches. For a deeper understanding of this prediction, refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, where The Daily Punt Analysis Team employs an in-house model that evaluates fixtures based on expected goals and actual results throughout the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (2.3 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 16.7% probability.
Bristol City have been the stronger side, winning 38% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 16.7% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.
Lines averaged across 6 bookmakers. Bristol City are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Preston vs Bristol City| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 2.74 | 3.35 | 2.46 | 1.85 | 1.90 | 1.70 | 2.10 | |
| 2.83 | 3.34 | 2.39 | 1.89 | 1.89 | 1.68 | 2.03 | |
| 2.90 | 3.30 | 2.40 | 1.90 | 1.87 | 1.65 | 2.20 | |
| 2.94 | 3.46 | 2.48 | 1.94 | 1.94 | — | — | |
| 2.68 | 3.11 | 2.41 | 1.96 | 1.88 | — | — | |
| 2.90 | 3.25 | 2.38 | — | — | 1.67 | 2.10 | |
| 2.88 | 3.40 | 2.38 | 1.91 | 1.91 | 1.67 | 2.10 | |
| 2.84 | 3.34 | 2.41 | 1.89 | 1.89 | 1.68 | 2.06 | |
| 2.75 | 3.30 | 2.48 | 1.91 | 1.81 | 1.68 | 2.05 | |
Betano | 2.95 | 3.35 | 2.42 | 1.91 | 1.93 | 1.67 | 2.12 |
Superbet | 2.87 | 3.35 | 2.47 | 1.92 | 1.88 | 1.72 | 2.05 |
BetVictor | 2.90 | 3.40 | 2.38 | 1.84 | 1.82 | 1.67 | 2.05 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 10 Meetings (Bristol City leads 3-2)In the last 10 matches between Preston and Bristol City, Preston has won 2 times, there have been 5 draws, and Bristol City has won 3 times. The scorelines indicate a relatively balanced rivalry, with several matches ending in draws and a mix of narrow results. Notably, the most recent encounter ended in a 2-0 victory for Preston, while Bristol City has secured wins by scores of 3-1 and 2-1 in earlier fixtures. The frequency of draws suggests competitive matches, with neither side consistently dominating the other in recent history.
Championship Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  West Ham | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 20 | 9 | 11 | 14 | WWWWD |
| 2 |  West Brom | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 13 | WWDLW |
| 3 |  Swansea | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 11 | LDWWD |
| 4 |  QPR | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 11 | DLWWD |
| 5 |  Charlton | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 11 | DLDWW |
| 6 |  Middlesbrough | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 10 | WDWLW |
| 7 | Bristol City | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 10 | WWWDL |
| 22 |  Derby | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 11 | -6 | 4 | LLWLD |
| 23 |  Burnley | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 3 | DLDLL |
| 24 | Preston | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 12 | -6 | 3 | LWLLL |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonPreston have won 4 of their last 15 matches at home, drawing 3 and losing 8. Their recent home fixtures include beat Blackburn 2-1 and lost to Bristol City 1-3.
Overall, the wider run reads 5W 6D 18L from the last 29 games (17% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Bristol City have won 6 of their last 17 matches on the road, drawing 5 and losing 6. Their recent away fixtures include beat Bristol City 1-2 and beat Preston 1-3.
Overall, the wider run reads 11W 7D 11L from the last 29 games (38% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
8 playersPreston4
Bristol City4
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
R. Ricardo has averaged 6.0 yellow cards per match across 1 recent fixtures we have data for. Our pick is over 4.5 yellow cards at 1.85.
Corner Prediction
Preston have averaged 3.0 corners per match at home; Bristol City 3.0 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 4.0 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Bristol City have generated 1.02 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 38% of them. They put 4.5 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Bristol City player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
