Preston vs Lincoln Prediction, Tips & Odds
Preston vs Lincoln
Match Preview
The model favours Lincoln to win with a projected scoreline of 2-1 against Preston. Lincoln currently sits in 17th place in the Championship, having secured 3 points from their first three matches this season. Their form shows some promise, with two wins in their last five matches, suggesting they are gradually finding their rhythm. The team has scored 3 goals while conceding 5, indicating a relatively balanced attack and defence. On the other hand, Preston is struggling significantly, sitting at the bottom of the league in 23rd place with no points from their opening three games. Their form has been disappointing, with four losses and one draw in their last five matches, resulting in only 2 goals scored and 6 conceded. This poor start to the season has raised concerns about their ability to bounce back. According to the model, Lincoln has a higher win probability, projected at 60%, compared to Preston's 20%. A key market percentage to watch is Lincoln's odds of winning, which reflect their current momentum. However, a caveat exists: if Preston can harness their home advantage at Deepdale, they may surprise Lincoln. The full method behind this prediction is detailed in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section. The Daily Punt Analysis Team employs an in-house model that evaluates fixtures through expected goals and actual results across the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (2.4 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 15.9% probability.
Lincoln have been the stronger side, winning 47% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 15.9% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.
Lines averaged across 6 bookmakers. Lincoln are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Preston vs Lincoln| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 2.30 | 3.45 | 2.90 | 1.83 | 1.95 | 1.67 | 2.15 | |
| 2.30 | 3.42 | 2.90 | 1.82 | 1.95 | 1.64 | 2.10 | |
| 2.30 | 3.50 | 2.90 | 1.87 | 1.90 | 1.67 | 2.15 | |
| 2.39 | 3.55 | 3.00 | 1.87 | 2.03 | — | — | |
| 2.30 | 3.20 | 2.77 | 1.86 | 1.98 | — | — | |
| 2.30 | 3.30 | 2.90 | — | — | 1.65 | 2.15 | |
| 2.35 | 3.40 | 2.90 | 1.80 | 2.00 | 1.67 | 2.10 | |
| 2.32 | 3.42 | 2.91 | 1.82 | 1.95 | 1.64 | 2.13 | |
| 2.15 | 3.45 | 3.15 | 1.78 | 1.95 | 1.64 | 2.12 | |
| 2.25 | 3.40 | 2.90 | 1.83 | 1.91 | 1.65 | 2.15 | |
Betano | 2.35 | 3.45 | 3.00 | 1.87 | 1.98 | 1.65 | 2.15 |
BetVictor | 2.30 | 3.50 | 2.90 | 1.78 | 1.90 | 1.62 | 2.15 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 1 Meetings (Lincoln leads 1-0)In the head-to-head record between Preston and Lincoln, Lincoln has won 1 match, while Preston has not secured any wins or draws. The only fixture recorded ended with Lincoln winning 1-0, indicating a narrow victory. This solitary result suggests that the encounters between these two teams have been tightly contested, with Lincoln managing to edge out Preston without a significant margin. As it stands, Preston will be looking to break their winless streak against Lincoln in future matchups.
Championship Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  West Ham | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 20 | 9 | 11 | 14 | WWWWD |
| 2 |  West Brom | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 13 | WWDLW |
| 3 |  Swansea | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 11 | LDWWD |
| 4 |  QPR | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 11 | DLWWD |
| 5 |  Charlton | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 11 | DLDWW |
| 6 |  Middlesbrough | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 10 | WDWLW |
| 19 | Lincoln | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 5 | DDWLL |
| 22 |  Derby | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 11 | -6 | 4 | LLWLD |
| 23 |  Burnley | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 3 | DLDLL |
| 24 | Preston | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 12 | -6 | 3 | LWLLL |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonPreston have won 4 of their last 15 matches at home, drawing 3 and losing 8. Their recent home fixtures include beat Blackburn 2-1 and lost to Bristol City 1-3.
Overall, the wider run reads 5W 6D 18L from the last 29 games (17% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Lincoln have won 7 of their last 12 matches on the road, drawing 1 and losing 4. Their recent away fixtures include lost to Lincoln 4-0 and beat Bolton 0-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 8W 3D 6L from the last 17 games (47% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
ConfirmedPreston4-4-2Confirmed
Lincoln3-4-2-1Confirmed
Unavailable Players
6 playersPreston4
Lincoln2
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.
Corner Prediction
Preston have averaged 3.0 corners per match at home; Lincoln 4.3 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 4.7 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Preston have generated 2.19 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 17% of them. They put 3.0 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Preston player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
