Preston vs Wolves Prediction, Tips & Odds
Preston vs Wolves
Match Preview
The model favours Wolves to win this match with a projected scoreline of 2-1. Wolves enter this season after finishing in a stronger position last year, and they carry over good form from their previous matches, winning four out of their last five. This momentum could be crucial as they aim to build on their past successes and establish a solid start to the new campaign. In contrast, Preston is looking to shake off a disappointing end to the last season, having managed just one draw and four losses in their last five matches. This recent form may weigh heavily on their confidence as they prepare for the opening fixture. With no points on the board yet this season, they will be eager to turn their fortunes around against a team that has shown more resilience. The model indicates a win probability of 60% in favour of Wolves, while Preston has a 25% chance of victory. One key market percentage to note is that Wolves are favoured by the betting lines to win. However, a potential concern for Wolves is the risk of carrying over any complacency from last season’s performance, which could lead to an unexpected challenge. For a detailed explanation of how we reached this prediction, please refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section. This analysis is brought to you by The Daily Punt Analysis Team, utilizing an in-house model that evaluates expected goals and actual results across the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (2.4 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 15.8% probability.
Wolves have been the stronger side, winning 36% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 15.8% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.
Lines averaged across 6 bookmakers. Wolves are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Preston vs Wolves| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 4.10 | 3.55 | 1.84 | 1.80 | 2.00 | 1.67 | 2.15 | |
| 3.64 | 3.42 | 1.98 | 1.83 | 1.94 | 1.67 | 2.05 | |
| 3.75 | 3.40 | 2.00 | 1.80 | 1.95 | 1.65 | 2.20 | |
| 3.70 | 3.55 | 2.07 | 1.88 | 2.01 | — | — | |
| 3.29 | 3.21 | 2.03 | 1.91 | 1.93 | — | — | |
| 3.50 | 3.30 | 2.00 | — | — | 1.67 | 2.10 | |
| 3.90 | 3.25 | 2.00 | 1.80 | 2.00 | 1.67 | 2.10 | |
| 3.64 | 3.42 | 2.00 | 1.83 | 1.94 | 1.67 | 2.08 | |
| 3.75 | 3.55 | 1.91 | 1.78 | 1.98 | 1.66 | 2.08 | |
| 3.90 | 3.40 | 1.85 | 1.75 | 1.95 | 1.67 | 2.10 | |
Betano | 3.85 | 3.40 | 2.02 | 1.83 | 2.02 | 1.65 | 2.15 |
Superbet | 3.70 | 3.45 | 2.02 | 1.85 | 1.97 | 1.69 | 2.10 |
BetVictor | 3.50 | 3.50 | 2.05 | 1.79 | 1.89 | 1.65 | 2.10 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 9 Meetings (Wolves leads 4-1)In the last nine matches between Preston and Wolves, the record stands at 1 win for Preston, 4 draws, and 4 wins for Wolves. The scorelines indicate that matches have often been closely contested, with several draws and only a few games featuring more than two goals. Notably, Preston's sole victory came in February 2016, while Wolves have been more successful in recent encounters, including a 2-1 win in the League Cup in August 2022. Overall, this head-to-head record suggests a competitive rivalry, with Wolves holding a slight edge in wins.
Championship Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  West Ham | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 20 | 9 | 11 | 14 | WWWWD |
| 2 |  West Brom | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 13 | WWDLW |
| 3 |  Swansea | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 11 | LDWWD |
| 4 |  QPR | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 11 | DLWWD |
| 5 |  Charlton | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 11 | DLDWW |
| 6 |  Middlesbrough | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 10 | WDWLW |
| 11 | Wolves | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 10 | 3 | 8 | DLWWD |
| 22 |  Derby | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 11 | -6 | 4 | LLWLD |
| 23 |  Burnley | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 3 | DLDLL |
| 24 | Preston | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 12 | -6 | 3 | LWLLL |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonPreston have won 4 of their last 15 matches at home, drawing 3 and losing 8. Their recent home fixtures include beat Blackburn 2-1 and lost to Bristol City 1-3.
Overall, the wider run reads 5W 6D 18L from the last 29 games (17% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Wolves have won 5 of their last 15 matches on the road, drawing 4 and losing 6. Their recent away fixtures include drew with Wolves 2-2 and lost to West Ham 4-2.
Overall, the wider run reads 10W 7D 11L from the last 28 games (36% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
10 playersPreston4
Wolves6
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
E. Bell has averaged 7.0 yellow cards per match across 1 recent fixtures we have data for. Our pick is over 4.5 yellow cards at 1.85.
Corner Prediction
Preston have averaged 3.0 corners per match at home; Wolves 5.5 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 5.3 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Wolves have generated 2.31 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 36% of them. They put 6.0 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Wolves player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
