QPR vs Preston Prediction, Tips & Odds
QPR vs Preston
Match Preview
The model favours QPR to win against Preston, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. QPR is currently positioned third in the Championship after five matches, with a solid record of three wins, one draw, and one loss. Their attack has been effective, scoring seven goals, while their defence has held strong, conceding only four. This gives them a positive goal difference of three, indicating both offensive capability and defensive resilience. In contrast, Preston finds themselves struggling in 23rd place, having played the same number of matches but achieving only one win and suffering four losses. They have scored five goals but conceded ten, resulting in a goal difference of minus five. This poor form is reflected in their recent results, where they have lost four consecutive matches after their initial win, highlighting significant challenges in both attack and defence. The model projects a win probability of 60% for QPR, indicating a strong expectation of success in this matchup. However, a potential caveat is that if Preston can find their form and capitalize on any defensive lapses from QPR, they could pose a threat. For a detailed explanation of the methodology behind this prediction, please refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section. The Daily Punt Analysis Team employs an in-house model that evaluates fixtures through expected goals and actual results across the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (2.6 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 14.4% probability.
QPR have been the stronger side, winning 41% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 14.4% probability. 3 of the top six outcomes feature QPR clean sheets, in line with their 21% clean-sheet rate this season.
Lines averaged across 5 bookmakers. QPR are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
QPR vs Preston| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 1.71 | 3.80 | 4.40 | 1.79 | 1.95 | 1.73 | 1.97 | |
| 1.75 | 3.80 | 4.60 | 1.80 | 2.00 | 1.73 | 2.10 | |
| 1.76 | 3.96 | 4.64 | 1.85 | 2.04 | — | — | |
| 1.75 | 3.21 | 3.79 | 1.84 | 1.98 | — | — | |
| 1.75 | 3.60 | 4.20 | — | — | 1.75 | 2.00 | |
| 1.73 | 3.75 | 4.75 | 1.80 | 2.00 | 1.73 | 2.00 | |
| 1.72 | 3.82 | 4.42 | 1.79 | 1.95 | 1.73 | 2.00 | |
Betano | 1.78 | 4.00 | 4.65 | 1.85 | 2.00 | 1.78 | 1.98 |
BetVictor | 1.73 | 3.80 | 4.60 | 1.76 | 1.91 | 1.70 | 2.00 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 10 Meetings (QPR leads 6-2)In the last ten encounters between QPR and Preston, QPR has won 6 times, with 2 draws and Preston securing 2 victories. The scorelines indicate a competitive rivalry, with several matches being closely contested; four of the fixtures ended with a one-goal margin. There have been two draws, both ending 1-1, showcasing a tendency for tight results. Notably, Preston's last win against QPR was in April 2023, suggesting a recent struggle to overcome QPR in their subsequent meetings. Overall, while QPR has the upper hand, the matches have often been closely fought.
Championship Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  West Ham | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 20 | 9 | 11 | 14 | WWWWD |
| 2 |  West Brom | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 13 | WWDLW |
| 3 |  Swansea | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 11 | LDWWD |
| 4 | QPR | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 11 | DLWWD |
| 5 |  Charlton | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 11 | DLDWW |
| 6 |  Middlesbrough | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 10 | WDWLW |
| 22 |  Derby | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 11 | -6 | 4 | LLWLD |
| 23 |  Burnley | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 3 | DLDLL |
| 24 | Preston | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 12 | -6 | 3 | LWLLL |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonQPR have won 6 of their last 15 matches at home, drawing 2 and losing 7. Their recent home fixtures include lost to Middlesbrough 0-1 and beat Cardiff 2-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 12W 6D 11L from the last 29 games (41% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Preston have won 1 of their last 14 matches on the road, drawing 3 and losing 10. Their recent away fixtures include lost to Charlton 1-0 and lost to Stockport County 1-0.
Overall, the wider run reads 5W 6D 18L from the last 29 games (17% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Lineups
ConfirmedQPR4-4-2Confirmed
Preston5-3-2Confirmed
Unavailable Players
0 playersQPR
No reported absences
Preston
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
Thomas Parsons has been appointed as the referee for this fixture. We don't yet have enough recent fixtures officiated by Thomas Parsons to give a confident card-market projection. Our default lean is under 3.5 yellow cards at 1.95.
Corner Prediction
QPR have averaged 3.0 corners per match at home; Preston 3.0 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 4.0 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
QPR have generated 1.69 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 41% of them. They put 5.0 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. QPR player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
