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Real Betis vs Getafe Prediction, Tips & Odds

Real Betis vs Getafe

La LigaRegular Season - 6
Real Betis
#3 · La Liga
WWWLW
1 - 0
Estadio de La Cartuja, Sevilla
Referee: J. Sanchez
Getafe
#15 · La Liga
DDLLW
★ OUR PICK
Real Betis to Win
Strong home form and superior underlying numbers over Getafe make Real Betis the value pick here.
Moneyline
1.67
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.62 (implied 61.8%) for Real Betis to Win. Our experts calculate a 64.3% probability (an expert ratio of 1.55). We chose this bet because our experts rate it more likely than the bookmaker price implies (64.3% vs 61.8%), driven by Real Betis's stronger form and superior underlying numbers. That edge makes it our most confident selection for this match.

Match Preview

The model favours Real Betis to win against Getafe, projecting a scoreline of 2-0. Currently sitting in 4th place in La Liga, Real Betis has had a solid start to the season with three wins from their first four matches. Although they have scored five goals and conceded five, their goal difference stands at zero, reflecting a balanced attack and defence. Their form shows three wins and two losses in the last five matches, indicating they have the capability to perform consistently. On the other hand, Getafe is struggling in 15th place, having played three matches with only one win. They have scored just one goal while conceding four, resulting in a goal difference of minus three. Their recent form is concerning, with only two wins in the last five matches, and they will need to find a way to tighten their defence and improve their attacking output if they hope to challenge Betis. The model indicates a strong probability of a Real Betis victory, with a projected score of 2-0. However, a potential caveat is that if Getafe can unexpectedly improve their performance, they might disrupt Betis's plans. For a deeper understanding of how this prediction was reached, please refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, which details the analysis conducted by The Daily Punt Analysis Team, focusing on expected goals and actual results across the season.

Betting Predictions

How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.

Match Result
Real Betis Win60%1.62
Draw22%3.86
Getafe Win18%6.00
BTTS
Both Teams to Score: No
1.7853.0%

Real Betis have kept a clean sheet in 26% of matches. Getafe average 0.8 goals per game.

Over/Under Goals
Under 2.5 Goals
1.8355.3%

Real Betis manage games at home, conceding just 1.32 goals per match. Getafe score 0.85 on the road.

Correct Score
Real Betis 1-0 Getafe
5.9416.9%

The most likely scoreline per our model at 16.9% probability.

Asian Handicap
Real Betis -1.5
3.5040%

Real Betis have been the stronger side, winning 47% of their matches.

CORRECT SCOREMost likely outcomes
1-0
5.94
16.9%
2-0
6.86
14.6%
1-1
6.94
14.4%
2-1
7.79
12.9%
0-0
9.74
10.4%
3-0
11.40
8.8%

Our model projects a 1-0 Real Betis win as the most likely scoreline at 16.9% probability. 4 of the top six outcomes feature Real Betis clean sheets, in line with their 26% clean-sheet rate this season.

ASIAN HANDICAPLines & prices
Real Betis
-0.0
1.19
Getafe
+0.0
4.42
Real Betis
-1.5
3.50
Getafe
+1.5
12.00

Lines averaged across 5 bookmakers. Real Betis are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.

Best Betting Odds

Real Betis vs Getafe
Bookmaker1X2O/U 2.5BTTS
1X2OverUnderYesNo
Marathonbet
1.633.886.252.001.831.961.75
Betfair
1.623.906.002.001.801.911.83
Pinnacle
1.623.836.412.051.87
SBO
1.583.765.612.031.85
William Hill
1.623.605.502.001.80
Bet365
1.603.906.002.001.802.001.75
1xBet
1.673.916.252.051.891.951.78
Betano
1.653.956.002.021.831.981.78
BetVictor
1.574.006.001.911.771.951.75

Goals Probability

Avg. bookmaker odds
Over 0.5 Goals
90.3%
Over 1.5 Goals
71.8%
Over 2.5 Goals
44.7%
Over 3.5 Goals
27.5%

Double Chance

Bet covers two outcomes
1XReal Betis or Draw
83%1.14
12Real Betis or Getafe
78%1.25
X2Draw or Getafe
40%2.32

Head to Head

Last 10 Meetings (Real Betis leads 5-2)
5 Real Betis3 Draw2 Getafe
08 Mar
Getafe
2-0
Real Betis
La Liga
Dec 25
Real Betis
4-0
Getafe
La Liga
Feb 25
Getafe
1-2
Real Betis
La Liga
Sept 24
Real Betis
2-1
Getafe
La Liga
Feb 24
Real Betis
1-1
Getafe
La Liga
Oct 23
Getafe
1-1
Real Betis
La Liga
May 23
Real Betis
0-1
Getafe
La Liga
Jan 23
Getafe
0-1
Real Betis
La Liga
May 22
Getafe
0-0
Real Betis
La Liga
Sept 21
Real Betis
2-0
Getafe
La Liga

In the last 10 matches between Real Betis and Getafe, Real Betis has won 5 times, drawn 3 times, and lost 2 matches. The scorelines indicate a competitive rivalry, with several closely contested games, including three draws and a mix of narrow and more decisive victories. Notably, Real Betis has secured two heavy wins, including a 4-0 result, while Getafe's victories have been by a single goal margin. The last time Getafe defeated Real Betis was in May 2023, suggesting that Betis has had the upper hand in recent encounters.

La Liga Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1
Barcelona
55002141715
WWWWW
2
Real Madrid
65011761115
WWLWW
3
Real Betis
540176112
WWLWW
4
Alaves
6312116510
LLWWD
5
Atletico Madrid
5311106410
WLWDW
6
Sevilla
531186210
WDLWW
15
Getafe
512236-35
DDLWL
18
Malaga
503228-63
DDLDL
19
Villarreal
5023710-32
LLLDD
20
Elche
6024816-82
LDLLL

Venue Record

Current season at home / on the road
Real BetisHome
2W0D0L
2 playedGF 2 · GA 03.00 pts/game
GetafeAway
0W0D2L
2 playedGF 0 · GA 40.00 pts/game

Key Statistics

2026 Season
Real BetisGetafe
1.47Goals p.g.0.85
1.32Goals conceded p.g.0.94
26%Clean sheets33%
47%Win rate36%
2.79Avg goals in match1.79
1.32xG per game0.69
0.29xGA per game0.29
51%Possession %44%
5.1Shots on target / game2.2
4.8Corners per game3.6
Real Betis
Recent Form

Real Betis have won 9 of their last 17 matches at home, drawing 6 and losing 2. Their recent home fixtures include beat Real Betis 1-0 and beat Real Betis 1-0.

Overall, the wider run reads 18W 9D 11L from the last 38 games (47% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.

Match Results: Real BetisAll competitions
14 Sept
Villarreal
1-2
Real Betis
La Liga
08 Sept
Lille
2-3
Real Betis
UEFA Champions League
04 Sept
Real Betis
1-0
Real Madrid
La Liga
29 Aug
Levante
5-2
Real Betis
La Liga
25 Aug
Valencia
0-1
Real Betis
La Liga
21 Aug
Real Betis
1-0
Real Sociedad
La Liga
18
Win
47%
9
Draw
24%
11
Lost
29%
Getafe
Recent Form

Getafe have won 5 of their last 18 matches on the road, drawing 5 and losing 8. Their recent away fixtures include lost to Osasuna 1-0 and lost to FK Partizan 2-1.

Overall, the wider run reads 12W 8D 13L from the last 33 games (36% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.

Match Results: GetafeAll competitions
13 Sept
Getafe
1-1
Deportivo La Coruna
La Liga
07 Sept
Getafe
1-1
Celta Vigo
La Liga
31 Aug
Osasuna
1-0
Getafe
La Liga
27 Aug
FK Partizan
2-1
Getafe
UEFA Europa Conference League
23 Aug
Getafe
1-0
Racing Santander
La Liga
15 Aug
Alaves
3-0
Getafe
La Liga
12
Win
36%
8
Draw
24%
13
Lost
39%

Lineups

Confirmed

Real Betis4-2-3-1Confirmed

12Ángel OrtizDEF
4NatanDEF
16V. GómezDEF
23Junior FirpoDEF
19T. ParrottFWD
1Álvaro VallésGK
10A. EzzalzouliMID
22IscoMID
7AntonyMID
18N. DeossaMID
6F. BernalMID
5Marc BartraDEF
2Héctor BellerínDEF
11Fran GarcíaDEF
14Iker LosadaFWD
9C. HernándezFWD
31Manu GonzálezGK
15Álvaro FidalgoMID
25Dani CeballosMID
21Marc RocaMID
17Rodrigo RiquelmeMID
20G. Lo CelsoMID
8Pablo FornalsMID

Getafe5-3-2Confirmed

24Z. RomeroDEF
3DavinchiDEF
21Andrés GarcíaDEF
8N. GudeljDEF
2D. DakonamDEF
20Iván AzónFWD
10M. SatrianoFWD
13David SoriaGK
23O. MangalaMID
16Francho SerranoMID
6Mario MartínMID
15S. BoselliDEF
4S. SazonovDEF
22J. MojicaDEF
26J. ValouDEF
31M. HamdouneDEF
32JoseluFWD
19E. ÜnalFWD
1J. LetáčekGK
35Diego FerrerGK
30Óscar LópezMID
28Alberto RiscoMID

Unavailable Players

8 players

Real Betis3

A. Ruibal
Missing FixtureKnee Injury
D. Llorente
Missing FixtureBroken nose
J. Morante
QuestionableCoach's decision

Getafe5

A. Abqar
QuestionableMuscle Injury
A. Garcia
QuestionableInjury
C. Uche
Missing FixtureKnee Injury
Juanmi
Missing FixtureInjury
Kiko Femenia
Missing FixtureHamstring Injury

Betting Strategy

High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.

High Probability
Real Betis Win1.62 (60.4%)
Under 2.5 Goals1.83 (55.3%)
Value Bets
Over 2.5 Goals2.01 (44.7%)
Both Teams Score1.96 (47%)
BTTS No1.78 (53%)
Speculative
Draw3.86 (22.1%)
Getafe Win6.00 (17.5%)

Yellow Card Prediction

J. Sanchez has been appointed as the referee for this fixture. We don't yet have enough recent fixtures officiated by J. Sanchez to give a confident card-market projection. Our default lean is under 3.5 yellow cards at 1.95.

Corner Prediction

Real Betis have averaged 4.8 corners per match at home; Getafe 3.6 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 5.2 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.

Player Stats Bet

Real Betis have generated 1.32 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 47% of them. They put 5.1 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Real Betis player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.

What's Your Prediction?

Pick the result you expect

OUR PREDICTION
Real Betis to Win

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The Daily Punt Analysis Team

Data-driven football predictions and betting tips

This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.

Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.