Santos Laguna vs CF Pachuca Prediction, Tips & Odds
Santos Laguna vs CF Pachuca
Match Preview
The model favours CF Pachuca to win this match against Santos Laguna, projecting a scoreline of 2-0. Pachuca sits in 9th place with 11 points from 8 matches, showcasing a more balanced performance this season compared to their opponents. With 3 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, they have managed to score 13 goals while conceding only 8, resulting in a positive goal difference of 5. Their recent form, with two wins and two draws in the last five matches, indicates a team that is building momentum. On the other hand, Santos Laguna is struggling in 17th place, having yet to secure a win this season. With only 1 point from 7 matches, their record of 0 wins, 1 draw, and 6 losses highlights significant challenges, particularly in their defensive capabilities, having conceded 12 goals. Their last five matches have yielded just one point, and their overall form suggests a team in dire need of improvement. According to the model, Pachuca has a strong win probability, with a projected score of 2-0. However, a potential caveat is Santos Laguna's home advantage, which could impact the match dynamics. For a detailed explanation of how we reached this prediction, please refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section. The Daily Punt Analysis Team employs an in-house model that evaluates fixtures through expected goals and actual results across the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (2.5 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 14.7% probability.
CF Pachuca have been the stronger side, winning 53% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 14.7% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.
Lines averaged across 4 bookmakers. CF Pachuca are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Santos Laguna vs CF Pachuca| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 3.02 | 3.52 | 2.12 | 1.61 | 2.21 | 1.51 | 2.35 | |
| 3.00 | 3.80 | 2.10 | — | — | — | — | |
| 3.11 | 3.63 | 2.20 | 1.64 | 2.27 | — | — | |
| 2.90 | 3.25 | 2.10 | — | — | 1.50 | 2.38 | |
| 3.04 | 3.52 | 2.14 | 1.61 | 2.21 | 1.51 | 2.39 | |
Betano | 3.10 | 3.55 | 2.22 | 1.62 | 2.35 | 1.50 | 2.47 |
BetVictor | 2.90 | 3.60 | 2.15 | 1.59 | 2.17 | 1.50 | 2.40 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 10 Meetings (CF Pachuca leads 6-2)In the last 10 matches between Santos Laguna and CF Pachuca, CF Pachuca has won 6 times, Santos Laguna has won 2, and there have been 2 draws. The scorelines indicate a tendency for Pachuca to dominate, with several matches featuring significant margins, including a 4-2 win and a 4-1 win. The matches have also shown a mix of close contests, such as the 1-0 and 2-1 results, alongside high-scoring draws like the 4-4 encounter. Santos Laguna's last victory over Pachuca was in April 2022, suggesting a challenging history for them in this matchup.
Liga MX Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Guadalajara Chivas | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 17 | WWDWW |
| 2 |  Toluca | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 6 | 11 | 16 | WWWDW |
| 3 |  Club America | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 16 | LWWWW |
| 4 |  Cruz Azul | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 14 | 2 | 15 | WWWLL |
| 5 |  Club Queretaro | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 13 | WWLDW |
| 6 |  Club Tijuana | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 13 | LWLWD |
| 9 | CF Pachuca | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 8 | 5 | 11 | WWDDL |
| 16 |  Atletico San Luis | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 13 | -5 | 6 | LWDLD |
| 17 | Santos Laguna | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 4 | WLDLL |
| 18 |  FC Juarez | 8 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 4 | 23 | -19 | 0 | LLLLL |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonSantos Laguna have won 2 of their last 11 matches at home, drawing 3 and losing 6. Their recent home fixtures include drew with Santos Laguna 0-0 and lost to Santos Laguna 0-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 6W 4D 19L from the last 29 games (21% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
CF Pachuca have won 8 of their last 18 matches on the road, drawing 3 and losing 7. Their recent away fixtures include beat CF Pachuca 0-3 and beat FC Juarez 0-2.
Overall, the wider run reads 17W 6D 9L from the last 32 games (53% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersSantos Laguna
No reported absences
CF Pachuca
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.
Corner Prediction
Santos Laguna have averaged 5.9 corners per match at home; CF Pachuca 4.7 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 6.3 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
CF Pachuca have generated 1.10 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 53% of them. They put 5.0 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. CF Pachuca player to score or assist at 1.55 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
