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Shooting Stars vs Inter Lagos Prediction, Tips & Odds

Shooting Stars vs Inter Lagos

NPFLRegular Season - 1
Shooting Stars
#12 · NPFL
LWWDL
2 - 1
Lekan Salami Stadium, Ibadan
Inter Lagos
#20 · NPFL
LLL
★ OUR PICK
Shooting Stars to Win
Strong home form and superior underlying numbers over Inter Lagos make Shooting Stars the value pick here.
Moneyline
1.45
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.42 (implied 70.3%) for Shooting Stars to Win. Our experts calculate a 72.8% probability (an expert ratio of 1.37). We chose this bet because our experts rate it more likely than the bookmaker price implies (72.8% vs 70.3%), driven by Shooting Stars's stronger form and superior underlying numbers. That edge makes it our most confident selection for this match.

Match Preview

The model favours Shooting Stars to win against Inter Lagos, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. Shooting Stars enter the season with a solid foundation, having ended last season with three wins in their last five matches. They finished in 9th position and will look to build on that momentum. Although the current season statistics are not available, their recent form suggests a team capable of scoring and competing effectively. On the other hand, Inter Lagos finds themselves at the bottom of the standings, positioned 18th. With no recent form data available, it is difficult to gauge their readiness for the new season. The lack of wins, draws, or losses in the standings indicates that they have yet to kick off their campaign, which could mean they are starting from scratch without any recent competitive edge. The model output shows that Shooting Stars have a considerable win probability, reflecting their recent form and league position. However, the caveat is that both teams are entering the season without any competitive matches played, which adds an element of uncertainty. The full method behind this prediction is detailed in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, where our in-house model evaluates expected goals and actual results across the season. The Daily Punt Analysis Team relies on this data-driven approach to provide insights into upcoming fixtures.

Betting Predictions

How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.

Match Result
Shooting Stars Win71%1.42
Draw21%3.68
Inter Lagos Win8%7.33
BTTS
Both Teams to Score: No
1.4360.9%

Shooting Stars have kept a clean sheet in 22% of matches. Inter Lagos average 0.3 goals per game.

Over/Under Goals
Under 2.5 Goals
1.5358.7%

Shooting Stars manage games at home, conceding just 1.22 goals per match. Inter Lagos score 0.33 on the road.

Correct Score
Shooting Stars 1-0 Inter Lagos
4.2324.0%

The most likely scoreline per our model at 24.0% probability.

Asian Handicap
Shooting Stars -0.0
1.0765%

Shooting Stars have been the stronger side, winning 52% of their matches.

CORRECT SCOREMost likely outcomes
1-0
4.23
24.0%
2-0
4.92
20.3%
0-0
6.30
16.0%
1-1
7.33
13.7%
2-1
8.00
12.6%
3-0
8.17
12.3%

Our model projects a 1-0 Shooting Stars win as the most likely scoreline at 24.0% probability. 4 of the top six outcomes feature Shooting Stars clean sheets, in line with their 22% clean-sheet rate this season.

ASIAN HANDICAPLines & prices
Shooting Stars
-0.0
1.07
Inter Lagos
+0.0
5.78

Lines averaged across 2 bookmakers. Shooting Stars are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.

Best Betting Odds

Shooting Stars vs Inter Lagos
Bookmaker1X2O/U 2.5BTTS
1X2OverUnderYesNo
Marathonbet
1.383.847.802.311.532.561.41
Pinnacle
1.423.656.802.301.51
William Hill
1.443.507.002.501.44
Bet365
1.453.507.002.351.57
1xBet
1.403.827.952.311.532.531.44
Betano
1.453.757.402.221.522.471.42

Goals Probability

Avg. bookmaker odds
Over 0.5 Goals
85.6%
Over 1.5 Goals
64.1%
Over 2.5 Goals
41.3%
Over 3.5 Goals
21.8%

Double Chance

Bet covers two outcomes
1XShooting Stars or Draw
92%1.05
12Shooting Stars or Inter Lagos
79%1.21
X2Draw or Inter Lagos
29%2.54

Head to Head

Last 1 Meetings (Shooting Stars leads 1-0)
1 Shooting Stars0 Draw0 Inter Lagos
28 Aug
Shooting Stars
2-1
Inter Lagos
NPFL

In their only past encounter, Shooting Stars won against Inter Lagos with a score of 2-1. This result indicates a competitive match, with a narrow margin separating the two teams. Since there has only been one match, it is difficult to draw broader conclusions about their rivalry or any consistent patterns. However, with Shooting Stars taking the victory, Inter Lagos will be looking to improve in future meetings to change this outcome.

NPFL Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1
Doma United
33005059
WWW
2
Barau FC
32106247
WDW
3
Rivers United
22004046
WW
4
Bendel Insurance
32016426
WLW
5
Kwara United
31115324
WLD
6
Ikorodu City
21105324
DW
12
Shooting Stars
11002113
W
18
Enyimba
200214-30
LL
19
Warri Wolves
200214-30
LL
20
Inter Lagos
300316-50
LLL

Venue Record

Current season at home / on the road
Shooting StarsHome
1W0D0L
1 playedGF 2 · GA 13.00 pts/game
Inter LagosAway
0W0D1L
1 playedGF 1 · GA 20.00 pts/game

Key Statistics

2027 Season
Shooting StarsInter Lagos
1.26Goals p.g.0.33
1.22Goals conceded p.g.2
22%Clean sheets0%
52%Win rate0%
2.48Avg goals in match2.33
Shooting Stars
Recent Form

Shooting Stars have won 11 of their last 13 matches at home, drawing 2 and losing 0. Their recent home fixtures include beat Shooting Stars 1-0 and beat Shooting Stars 2-1.

Overall, the wider run reads 12W 2D 9L from the last 23 games (52% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.

Match Results: Shooting StarsAll competitions
13 Sept
CS Sfaxien
2-0
Shooting Stars
CAF Confederation Cup
05 Sept
Shooting Stars
1-0
CS Sfaxien
CAF Confederation Cup
28 Aug
Shooting Stars
2-1
Inter Lagos
NPFL
01 Jun
Shooting Stars
1-1
Kada Warriors
Federation Cup
24 May
Niger Tornadoes
1-0
Shooting Stars
NPFL
10 May
Shooting Stars
1-0
Barau FC
NPFL
12
Win
52%
2
Draw
9%
9
Lost
39%
Inter Lagos
Recent Form

Inter Lagos have won 0 of their last 3 matches, drawing 0 and losing 3.

Overall, the wider run reads 0W 0D 3L from the last 3 games (0% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.

Match Results: Inter LagosAll competitions
13 Sept
Inter Lagos
0-3
Sporting Lagos
NPFL
05 Sept
Inter Lagos
0-1
Doma United
NPFL
28 Aug
Shooting Stars
2-1
Inter Lagos
NPFL
0
Win
0%
0
Draw
0%
3
Lost
100%

Lineups

📋

Lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.

Unavailable Players

0 players

Shooting Stars

No reported absences

Inter Lagos

No reported absences

Betting Strategy

High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.

High Probability
Shooting Stars Win1.42 (70.6%)
Under 2.5 Goals1.53 (58.7%)
BTTS No1.43 (60.9%)
Value Bets
Over 2.5 Goals2.30 (41.3%)
Both Teams Score2.52 (39.1%)
Speculative
Draw3.68 (21.4%)
Inter Lagos Win7.33 (8%)

Yellow Card Prediction

The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.

Corner Prediction

Shooting Stars average 1.3 goals per match at home; Inter Lagos 0.3 on the road. Open, attack-leaning sides tend to produce more corners; tight, low-event games tend to produce fewer. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.

Player Stats Bet

Shooting Stars have been the stronger side on attack across the season, winning 52% of their matches and averaging 1.3 goals per game. Shooting Stars player to score or assist at 1.55 looks well supported by the data.

What's Your Prediction?

Pick the result you expect

OUR PREDICTION
Shooting Stars to Win

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The Daily Punt Analysis Team

Data-driven football predictions and betting tips

This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.

Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.