Sonderjyske vs Viborg Prediction, Tips & Odds
Sonderjyske vs Viborg
Match Preview
The model favours Viborg to win against Sonderjyske, with a projected scoreline of 1-0. Viborg currently sits at the top of the Superliga table, having secured a victory in their opening match of the season. With a strong goal difference of +1, they have demonstrated solid defensive capabilities by not conceding any goals so far. This early season form, combined with their recent performances, suggests they are in a good position to maintain their momentum. On the other hand, Sonderjyske is starting their season with no matches played yet, which presents a challenge as they look to find their rhythm. Their recent form shows a mixed bag, with two wins, one draw, and two losses in their last five matches. This inconsistency may hinder their ability to start strong in this new campaign, especially against a team like Viborg that has already found success. The model gives Viborg a win probability of approximately 60%, reflecting their current form and standings. However, it's important to note that Sonderjyske could benefit from home advantage, which may play a critical role in the match outcome. For a detailed breakdown of how we reached this prediction, please refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, developed by The Daily Punt Analysis Team, which employs an in-house model analyzing expected goals and actual results throughout the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (2.6 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 13.6% probability.
Viborg have been the stronger side, winning 39% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 13.6% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.
Lines averaged across 6 bookmakers. Viborg are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Sonderjyske vs Viborg| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 3.50 | 3.90 | 1.90 | 1.55 | 2.40 | 1.48 | 2.40 | |
| 3.72 | 4.05 | 1.80 | 1.48 | 2.34 | 1.50 | 2.38 | |
| 3.80 | 4.00 | 1.80 | 1.50 | 2.55 | 1.53 | 2.45 | |
| 3.82 | 4.28 | 1.85 | 1.59 | 2.46 | — | — | |
| 2.94 | 3.30 | 2.06 | — | — | — | — | |
| 3.60 | 3.90 | 1.80 | — | — | 1.53 | 2.38 | |
| 3.90 | 3.90 | 1.80 | 1.60 | 2.30 | 1.53 | 2.38 | |
| 3.70 | 4.05 | 1.82 | 1.48 | 2.34 | 1.50 | 2.42 | |
| 3.95 | 3.90 | 1.78 | 1.58 | 2.33 | 1.52 | 2.35 | |
| 3.60 | 3.90 | 1.80 | 1.53 | 2.40 | 1.53 | 2.38 | |
Betano | 3.90 | 4.00 | 1.83 | 1.60 | 2.42 | 1.55 | 2.37 |
Superbet | 3.85 | 4.00 | 1.85 | 1.55 | 2.47 | 1.52 | 2.42 |
BetVictor | 3.70 | 3.75 | 1.80 | 1.52 | 2.31 | 1.47 | 2.45 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 10 Meetings (Viborg leads 6-1)In the last 10 matches between Sonderjyske and Viborg, Viborg has won 6 times, Sonderjyske has won once, and there have been 3 draws. The scorelines indicate a competitive but somewhat lopsided rivalry, with Viborg achieving several convincing victories, including a notable 4-2 win. While there have been a few draws, the majority of the matches have favored Viborg, reflecting their dominance in this matchup. Sonderjyske's last victory over Viborg came in May 2026, suggesting that they have struggled to find success against them in recent encounters.
Superliga Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Viborg | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 10 | WWDLW |
| 2 |  FC Nordsjaelland | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 10 | WWWD |
| 3 |  Brondby | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 10 | WWWD |
| 4 |  FC Midtjylland | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 10 | WDWW |
| 5 |  FC Copenhagen | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 9 | LWWW |
| 6 |  AC Horsens | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 7 | WWLLD |
| 10 |  Aarhus | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 3 | DLDD |
| 11 |  Lyngby | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 2 | LDLDL |
| 12 | Sonderjyske | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 10 | -6 | 1 | LLDLL |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonSonderjyske have won 5 of their last 16 matches at home, drawing 5 and losing 6. Their recent home fixtures include lost to FC Nordsjaelland 0-3 and drew with Viborg 0-0.
Overall, the wider run reads 8W 7D 14L from the last 29 games (28% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Viborg have won 3 of their last 15 matches on the road, drawing 4 and losing 8. Their recent away fixtures include drew with Sonderjyske 0-0 and lost to Brondby 1-0.
Overall, the wider run reads 11W 5D 12L from the last 28 games (39% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Lineups
ConfirmedSonderjyske4-4-2Confirmed
Viborg4-4-2Confirmed
Unavailable Players
9 playersSonderjyske5
Viborg4
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
M. Tykgaard has averaged 1.0 yellow cards per match across 1 recent fixtures we have data for. Our pick is under 3.5 yellow cards at 1.95.
Corner Prediction
Sonderjyske have averaged 3.9 corners per match at home; Viborg 4.1 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 5.0 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Viborg have generated 1.65 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 39% of them. They put 5.0 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Viborg player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
