ST Johnstone vs Hibernian Prediction, Tips & Odds
ST Johnstone vs Hibernian
Match Preview
The model favours St Johnstone to edge out Hibernian with a projected scoreline of 2-1. St Johnstone currently sits in 6th place in the Premiership, having played two matches this season with one win and one loss. They have scored four goals while conceding four, indicating a balanced start to their campaign. Their recent form shows a slight upward trend, with two wins in their last five matches, suggesting they are finding their rhythm. On the other hand, Hibernian is in 7th place, also with one win and one loss from two matches. They have a similar goal tally, scoring three and conceding three. Hibernian's form is notably stronger, as they remain unbeaten in their last five matches, with three wins and two draws. This consistency could play a crucial role as they aim to secure points on the road. The model outputs a win probability of 55% for St Johnstone, with a projected score of 2-1. However, a key caveat is the potential for Hibernian's recent unbeaten form to disrupt St Johnstone's plans, particularly if they can capitalise on any defensive lapses. Detailed analysis from The Daily Punt Analysis Team, which utilises an in-house model focusing on expected goals and actual results, underpins this prediction.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (3.9 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 16.8% probability.
ST Johnstone have been the stronger side, winning 73% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 16.8% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.
Lines averaged across 6 bookmakers. ST Johnstone are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
ST Johnstone vs Hibernian| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 2.66 | 3.40 | 2.50 | 1.83 | 1.95 | 1.65 | 2.15 | |
| 3.04 | 3.22 | 2.31 | 1.87 | 1.90 | 1.65 | 2.08 | |
| 2.88 | 3.00 | 2.60 | 1.87 | 1.90 | — | — | |
| 3.16 | 3.39 | 2.37 | 1.93 | 1.96 | — | — | |
| 3.00 | 3.10 | 2.30 | — | — | 1.67 | 2.10 | |
| 3.10 | 3.30 | 2.30 | 1.91 | 1.91 | 1.67 | 2.10 | |
| 3.05 | 3.22 | 2.33 | 1.87 | 1.90 | 1.65 | 2.11 | |
| 2.63 | 3.30 | 2.45 | 1.81 | 1.93 | 1.62 | 2.14 | |
Betano | 2.92 | 3.35 | 2.47 | 1.93 | 1.93 | 1.67 | 2.12 |
BetVictor | 3.00 | 3.40 | 2.30 | 1.83 | 1.84 | 1.67 | 2.05 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 10 Meetings (Hibernian leads 5-3)In the last 10 matches between St Johnstone and Hibernian, Hibernian has won 5 times, St Johnstone has won 3 times, and there have been 2 draws. The scorelines indicate a competitive rivalry, with a mix of narrow and decisive victories. Hibernian's wins include a notable 3-0 scoreline, while St Johnstone's most significant victory was a 2-1 win. The matches have generally been low-scoring, with only 3 instances of more than two goals. St Johnstone last secured a win against Hibernian in April 2024, indicating a slight edge for Hibernian in recent encounters.
Premiership Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Celtic | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 3 | 11 | 18 | WWWWW |
| 2 |  Rangers | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 13 | WWWWL |
| 3 |  Heart Of Midlothian | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 12 | WWWWL |
| 4 |  ST Mirren | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 10 | LLWDW |
| 5 |  Motherwell | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 8 | LWDDW |
| 6 |  Dundee | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 7 | LDLWW |
| 7 | ST Johnstone | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 7 | LWDLL |
| 8 | Hibernian | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 9 | -2 | 6 | LLWWL |
| 10 |  Aberdeen | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 7 | -5 | 4 | DLLLW |
| 11 |  Falkirk | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 2 | DLLDL |
| 12 |  Kilmarnock | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 14 | -10 | 1 | DLLLL |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonST Johnstone have won 4 of their last 5 matches at home, drawing 1 and losing 0. Their recent home fixtures include beat ST Johnstone 4-3 and drew with ST Johnstone 1-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 11W 2D 2L from the last 15 games (73% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Hibernian have won 8 of their last 18 matches on the road, drawing 3 and losing 7. Their recent away fixtures include beat Hibernian 0-3 and lost to ST Johnstone 2-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 15W 6D 13L from the last 34 games (44% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersST Johnstone
No reported absences
Hibernian
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.
Corner Prediction
ST Johnstone have averaged 6.0 corners per match at home; Hibernian 4.9 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 6.5 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
ST Johnstone have generated 1.42 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 73% of them. They put 4.2 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. ST Johnstone player to score or assist at 1.55 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.