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Talleres Cordoba vs Lanus Prediction, Tips & Odds

Talleres Cordoba vs Lanus

Liga Profesional ArgentinaClausura - 4
Talleres Cordoba
#4 · Liga Profesional Argentina
LLLLD
VS
Estadio Mario Alberto Kempes, Cordoba
Referee: L. Lobo Medina
Lanus
#6 · Liga Profesional Argentina
LWWLW
★ OUR PICK
Under 2.5 Goals
Tight defensive records and low-scoring recent form make the under the value pick here.
Totals
1.42
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.37 (implied 72.8%) for Under 2.5 Goals. Our experts calculate a 75.3% probability (an expert ratio of 1.33). We chose this bet because our experts rate it more likely than the bookmaker price implies (75.3% vs 72.8%), driven by both sides' tight defensive records and low-scoring recent form. That edge makes it our most confident selection for this match.

Match Preview

The model favours Talleres Cordoba to win this match against Lanus, projecting a scoreline of 1-0. Talleres currently sits in 4th place in the Liga Profesional, having accumulated 26 points from 16 matches. Their season has been marked by a solid defensive record, conceding just 13 goals, which gives them a positive goal difference of 4. However, their recent form has been concerning, with only two draws and three losses in their last five matches. On the other hand, Lanus is in 6th place with 24 points from the same number of games. They have scored slightly more goals than Talleres, netting 18, while conceding 15, resulting in a goal difference of 3. Their recent form shows a mix of results, with three wins in their last five matches, indicating they are somewhat in better shape than Talleres at this moment. The model suggests Talleres has a win probability of around 55%, while Lanus sits at approximately 25%. Despite the prediction favouring Talleres, the caveat lies in their recent struggles, which could impact their performance against a Lanus side that is finding its rhythm. For a deeper understanding of how we reached this prediction, refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, where the analysis from The Daily Punt Analysis Team is based on expected goals and actual results throughout the season.

Betting Predictions

How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.

Match Result
Talleres Cordoba Win38%2.38
Draw28%2.80
Lanus Win35%3.42
BTTS
Both Teams to Score: No
1.5759.3%

Talleres Cordoba have kept a clean sheet in 33% of matches. Lanus average 1.0 goals per game.

Over/Under Goals
Under 2.5 Goals
1.3767.7%

Talleres Cordoba manage games at home, conceding just 1.00 goals per match. Lanus score 1.00 on the road.

Correct Score
Talleres Cordoba 1-0 Lanus
5.3018.9%

The most likely scoreline per our model at 18.9% probability.

Asian Handicap
Talleres Cordoba -0.5
2.2432%

Talleres Cordoba have been the stronger side, winning 38% of their matches.

CORRECT SCOREMost likely outcomes
1-0
5.30
18.9%
0-0
5.40
18.7%
1-1
5.60
17.9%
0-1
6.74
14.9%
2-0
9.35
10.8%
2-1
10.19
9.9%

Our model projects a 1-0 Talleres Cordoba win as the most likely scoreline at 18.9% probability. 3 of the top six outcomes feature Talleres Cordoba clean sheets, in line with their 33% clean-sheet rate this season.

ASIAN HANDICAPLines & prices
Talleres Cordoba
-0.0
1.59
Lanus
+0.0
2.29
Talleres Cordoba
-0.3
2.00
Lanus
+0.3
2.95
Talleres Cordoba
-0.5
2.24
Lanus
+0.5
3.17
Talleres Cordoba
-1.5
5.00
Lanus
+1.5
8.50

Lines averaged across 6 bookmakers. Talleres Cordoba are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.

Best Betting Odds

Talleres Cordoba vs Lanus
Bookmaker1X2O/U 2.5BTTS
1X2OverUnderYesNo
10Bet
2.352.743.602.951.382.251.57
Marathonbet
2.392.783.402.761.352.281.54
Betfair
2.302.903.302.881.402.381.57
Pinnacle
2.452.833.493.081.37
SBO
2.272.753.08
William Hill
2.382.703.302.201.60
Bet365
2.502.703.603.101.362.251.57
1xBet
2.432.833.462.761.352.281.56
Unibet
2.322.953.402.951.382.301.55
888Sport
2.382.703.302.901.362.201.60
Betano
2.402.823.602.951.422.251.60
Superbet
2.402.853.503.001.392.351.56
BetVictor
2.402.883.403.101.362.301.53

Goals Probability

Avg. bookmaker odds
Over 0.5 Goals
83.1%
Over 1.5 Goals
57.6%
Over 2.5 Goals
32.3%
Over 3.5 Goals
15.1%

Double Chance

Bet covers two outcomes
1XTalleres Cordoba or Draw
65%1.30
12Talleres Cordoba or Lanus
72%1.40
X2Draw or Lanus
62%1.54

Head to Head

Last 10 Meetings (Lanus leads 7-0)
0 Talleres Cordoba3 Draw7 Lanus
09 Feb
Lanus
1-1
Talleres Cordoba
Liga Profesional Argentina
Aug 25
Lanus
1-0
Talleres Cordoba
Liga Profesional Argentina
Feb 25
Talleres Cordoba
0-1
Lanus
Liga Profesional Argentina
Nov 24
Talleres Cordoba
1-2
Lanus
Liga Profesional Argentina
Jun 23
Lanus
2-1
Talleres Cordoba
Liga Profesional Argentina
Oct 22
Talleres Cordoba
0-1
Lanus
Liga Profesional Argentina
Oct 21
Lanus
3-3
Talleres Cordoba
Liga Profesional Argentina
May 21
Lanus
1-0
Talleres Cordoba
Liga Profesional Argentina
Nov 20
Lanus
1-0
Talleres Cordoba
Liga Profesional Argentina
Nov 20
Talleres Cordoba
1-1
Lanus
Liga Profesional Argentina

In their last 10 encounters, Talleres Cordoba has recorded 0 wins, 3 draws, and Lanus has secured 7 victories. This head-to-head record shows a significant advantage for Lanus, with most matches resulting in narrow wins, as evidenced by five 1-0 scorelines. The three draws indicate some competitive matches, yet Talleres Cordoba has not triumphed in this fixture for an extended period, reflecting a challenging historical dynamic. Overall, Lanus's dominance in the recent matchups suggests a consistent upper hand in their meetings.

Liga Profesional Argentina Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1
Estudiantes L.P.
169431971231
LLWLL
1
Independ. Rivadavia
16104229151434
WLWDL
2
Boca Juniors
168622291330
DWDLL
2
River Plate
1692522121029
LLLLL
3
Velez Sarsfield
167721812628
DWWWL
3
Argentinos JRS
168531713429
WWWLW
4
Talleres Cordoba
167541713426
WLLLD
6
Lanus
166641815324
LLWLD
14
Aldosivi
16088619-138
LLLDD
15
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
161213524-195
LDLWL
15
Deportivo Riestra
16187512-711
WLLWD

Venue Record

Current season at home / on the road
Talleres CordobaHome
4W1D2L
7 playedGF 9 · GA 51.86 pts/game
LanusAway
3W2D3L
8 playedGF 9 · GA 101.38 pts/game

Key Statistics

2026 Season
Talleres CordobaLanus
0.95Goals p.g.1
1Goals conceded p.g.1.1
33%Clean sheets45%
38%Win rate45%
1.95Avg goals in match2.1
1.20xG per game0.88
0.34xGA per game-0.02
54%Possession %52%
3.8Shots on target / game4.7
4.6Corners per game5.1
Talleres Cordoba
Recent Form

Talleres Cordoba have won 5 of their last 11 matches at home, drawing 1 and losing 5. Their recent home fixtures include lost to Velez Sarsfield 1-3 and lost to Atletico Tucuman 0-3.

Overall, the wider run reads 8W 5D 8L from the last 21 games (38% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.

Match Results: Talleres CordobaAll competitions
30 Jul
Talleres Cordoba
1-3
Velez Sarsfield
Liga Profesional Argentina
25 Jul
Newells Old Boys
1-0
Talleres Cordoba
Liga Profesional Argentina
20 May
Talleres Cordoba
0-3
Atletico Tucuman
Copa Argentina
09 May
Talleres Cordoba
0-1
Belgrano Cordoba
Liga Profesional Argentina
02 May
Union Santa Fe
1-1
Talleres Cordoba
Liga Profesional Argentina
25 Apr
Estudiantes L.P.
0-0
Talleres Cordoba
Liga Profesional Argentina
8
Win
38%
5
Draw
24%
8
Lost
38%
Lanus
Recent Form

Lanus have won 4 of their last 15 matches on the road, drawing 2 and losing 9. Their recent away fixtures include lost to Lanus 4-0 and lost to Instituto Cordoba 2-1.

Overall, the wider run reads 13W 6D 10L from the last 29 games (45% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.

Match Results: LanusAll competitions
30 Jul
Cienciano
4-0
Lanus
CONMEBOL Sudamericana
26 Jul
Lanus
1-0
San Lorenzo
Liga Profesional Argentina
23 Jul
Lanus
2-0
Cienciano
CONMEBOL Sudamericana
30 May
Instituto Cordoba
2-1
Lanus
Copa Argentina
26 May
Lanus
1-0
Mirassol
CONMEBOL Libertadores
21 May
LDU de Quito
2-0
Lanus
CONMEBOL Libertadores
13
Win
45%
6
Draw
21%
10
Lost
34%

Lineups

📋

Lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.

Unavailable Players

0 players

Talleres Cordoba

No reported absences

Lanus

No reported absences

Betting Strategy

High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.

High Probability
Under 2.5 Goals1.37 (67.7%)
BTTS No1.57 (59.3%)
Value Bets
Talleres Cordoba Win2.38 (37.7%)
Draw2.80 (27.6%)
Lanus Win3.42 (34.7%)
Over 2.5 Goals2.95 (32.3%)
Both Teams Score2.28 (40.7%)

Yellow Card Prediction

L. Lobo Medina has averaged 5.0 yellow cards per match across 2 recent fixtures we have data for. Our pick is over 4.5 yellow cards at 1.85.

Corner Prediction

Talleres Cordoba have averaged 4.6 corners per match at home; Lanus 5.1 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 5.8 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.

Player Stats Bet

Talleres Cordoba have generated 1.20 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 38% of them. They put 3.8 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Talleres Cordoba player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.

What's Your Prediction?

Pick the result you expect

OUR PREDICTION
2.5 Goals Under

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The Daily Punt Analysis Team

Data-driven football predictions and betting tips

This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.

Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.