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Talleres Cordoba vs Lanus Prediction, Tips & Odds

Talleres Cordoba vs Lanus

Liga Profesional ArgentinaClausura - 4
Talleres Cordoba
#4 · Liga Profesional Argentina
LWLLL
0 - 3
Estadio Mario Alberto Kempes, Cordoba
Referee: L. Lobo Medina
Lanus
#6 · Liga Profesional Argentina
WLLLW
★ OUR PICK
Under 2.5 Goals
Tight defensive records and low-scoring recent form make the under the value pick here.
Totals
1.47
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.43 (implied 69.8%) for Under 2.5 Goals. Our experts calculate a 72.3% probability (an expert ratio of 1.38). We chose this bet because our experts rate it more likely than the bookmaker price implies (72.3% vs 69.8%), driven by both sides' tight defensive records and low-scoring recent form. That edge makes it our most confident selection for this match.

Match Preview

The model favours Talleres Cordoba to win this match against Lanus, projecting a scoreline of 1-0. Talleres currently sits in 4th place in the Liga Profesional, having accumulated 26 points from 16 matches. Their season has been marked by a solid defensive record, conceding just 13 goals, which gives them a positive goal difference of 4. However, their recent form has been concerning, with only two draws and three losses in their last five matches. On the other hand, Lanus is in 6th place with 24 points from the same number of games. They have scored slightly more goals than Talleres, netting 18, while conceding 15, resulting in a goal difference of 3. Their recent form shows a mix of results, with three wins in their last five matches, indicating they are somewhat in better shape than Talleres at this moment. The model suggests Talleres has a win probability of around 55%, while Lanus sits at approximately 25%. Despite the prediction favouring Talleres, the caveat lies in their recent struggles, which could impact their performance against a Lanus side that is finding its rhythm. For a deeper understanding of how we reached this prediction, refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, where the analysis from The Daily Punt Analysis Team is based on expected goals and actual results throughout the season.

Betting Predictions

How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.

Match Result
Talleres Cordoba Win42%2.39
Draw27%2.89
Lanus Win31%3.32
BTTS
Both Teams to Score: No
1.6457.2%

Talleres Cordoba have kept a clean sheet in 35% of matches. Lanus average 1.0 goals per game.

Over/Under Goals
Under 2.5 Goals
1.4365.2%

Talleres Cordoba manage games at home, conceding just 1.04 goals per match. Lanus score 1.03 on the road.

Correct Score
Talleres Cordoba 1-1 Lanus
5.4818.3%

The most likely scoreline per our model at 18.3% probability.

Asian Handicap
Talleres Cordoba -0.5
2.3236%

Talleres Cordoba have been the stronger side, winning 39% of their matches.

CORRECT SCOREMost likely outcomes
1-1
5.48
18.3%
1-0
5.52
18.2%
0-0
5.91
17.0%
0-1
6.87
14.6%
2-0
9.71
10.4%
2-1
9.74
10.4%

Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 18.3% probability. 3 of the top six outcomes feature Talleres Cordoba clean sheets, in line with their 35% clean-sheet rate this season.

ASIAN HANDICAPLines & prices
Talleres Cordoba
-0.0
1.61
Lanus
+0.0
2.28
Talleres Cordoba
-0.3
2.05
Lanus
+0.3
2.80
Talleres Cordoba
-0.5
2.32
Lanus
+0.5
3.10
Talleres Cordoba
-1.5
5.00
Lanus
+1.5
8.00

Lines averaged across 6 bookmakers. Talleres Cordoba are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.

Best Betting Odds

Talleres Cordoba vs Lanus
Bookmaker1X2O/U 2.5BTTS
1X2OverUnderYesNo
10Bet
2.322.903.402.701.452.101.65
Marathonbet
2.362.893.302.511.422.111.63
Betfair
2.303.003.302.701.442.201.65
Pinnacle
2.423.013.482.811.47
SBO
2.322.853.02
William Hill
2.382.803.252.101.67
Bet365
2.402.903.402.701.442.101.67
1xBet
2.402.943.362.511.422.111.65
Unibet
2.452.753.352.901.402.201.60
888Sport
2.382.703.302.901.362.201.60
Betano
2.452.903.352.871.452.201.62
Superbet
2.452.903.352.771.452.201.63
BetVictor
2.383.003.252.501.452.151.62

Goals Probability

Avg. bookmaker odds
Over 0.5 Goals
84.3%
Over 1.5 Goals
60.1%
Over 2.5 Goals
34.8%
Over 3.5 Goals
17.1%

Double Chance

Bet covers two outcomes
1XTalleres Cordoba or Draw
69%1.31
12Talleres Cordoba or Lanus
73%1.38
X2Draw or Lanus
58%1.55

Head to Head

Last 10 Meetings (Lanus leads 7-0)
0 Talleres Cordoba3 Draw7 Lanus
09 Feb
Lanus
1-1
Talleres Cordoba
Liga Profesional Argentina
Aug 25
Lanus
1-0
Talleres Cordoba
Liga Profesional Argentina
Feb 25
Talleres Cordoba
0-1
Lanus
Liga Profesional Argentina
Nov 24
Talleres Cordoba
1-2
Lanus
Liga Profesional Argentina
Jun 23
Lanus
2-1
Talleres Cordoba
Liga Profesional Argentina
Oct 22
Talleres Cordoba
0-1
Lanus
Liga Profesional Argentina
Oct 21
Lanus
3-3
Talleres Cordoba
Liga Profesional Argentina
May 21
Lanus
1-0
Talleres Cordoba
Liga Profesional Argentina
Nov 20
Lanus
1-0
Talleres Cordoba
Liga Profesional Argentina
Nov 20
Talleres Cordoba
1-1
Lanus
Liga Profesional Argentina

In their last 10 encounters, Talleres Cordoba has recorded 0 wins, 3 draws, and Lanus has secured 7 victories. This head-to-head record shows a significant advantage for Lanus, with most matches resulting in narrow wins, as evidenced by five 1-0 scorelines. The three draws indicate some competitive matches, yet Talleres Cordoba has not triumphed in this fixture for an extended period, reflecting a challenging historical dynamic. Overall, Lanus's dominance in the recent matchups suggests a consistent upper hand in their meetings.

Liga Profesional Argentina Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1
Independ. Rivadavia
16104229151434
LWLWD
1
Estudiantes L.P.
169431971231
WLLWL
2
River Plate
1692522121029
WLLLL
2
Boca Juniors
168622291330
DDWDL
3
Argentinos JRS
168531713429
LWWWW
3
Velez Sarsfield
167721812628
DDWWW
4
Talleres Cordoba
167541713426
LLWLL
6
Lanus
166641815324
LWLLW
14
Newells Old Boys
163671527-1215
WLDLW
15
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
161213524-195
LLDLW
15
Deportivo Riestra
16187512-711
LWLLW

Venue Record

Current season at home / on the road
Talleres CordobaHome
4W1D2L
7 playedGF 9 · GA 51.86 pts/game
LanusAway
3W2D3L
8 playedGF 9 · GA 101.38 pts/game

Key Statistics

2026 Season
Talleres CordobaLanus
1.04Goals p.g.1.03
1.04Goals conceded p.g.1.09
35%Clean sheets44%
39%Win rate44%
2.09Avg goals in match2.12
1.35xG per game1.03
0.41xGA per game-0.16
55%Possession %49%
4.6Shots on target / game4.2
4.3Corners per game5.0
Talleres Cordoba
Recent Form

Talleres Cordoba have won 5 of their last 12 matches at home, drawing 1 and losing 6. Their recent home fixtures include lost to Lanus 0-3 and lost to Velez Sarsfield 1-3.

Overall, the wider run reads 9W 5D 9L from the last 23 games (39% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.

Match Results: Talleres CordobaAll competitions
12 Aug
Talleres Cordoba
0-3
Lanus
Liga Profesional Argentina
03 Aug
Platense
0-4
Talleres Cordoba
Liga Profesional Argentina
30 Jul
Talleres Cordoba
1-3
Velez Sarsfield
Liga Profesional Argentina
25 Jul
Newells Old Boys
1-0
Talleres Cordoba
Liga Profesional Argentina
20 May
Talleres Cordoba
0-3
Atletico Tucuman
Copa Argentina
09 May
Talleres Cordoba
0-1
Belgrano Cordoba
Liga Profesional Argentina
9
Win
39%
5
Draw
22%
9
Lost
39%
Lanus
Recent Form

Lanus have won 5 of their last 17 matches on the road, drawing 2 and losing 10. Their recent away fixtures include beat Lanus 0-3 and lost to Union Santa Fe 2-1.

Overall, the wider run reads 14W 6D 12L from the last 32 games (44% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.

Match Results: LanusAll competitions
12 Aug
Talleres Cordoba
0-3
Lanus
Liga Profesional Argentina
06 Aug
Union Santa Fe
2-1
Lanus
Liga Profesional Argentina
03 Aug
Lanus
0-1
Instituto Cordoba
Liga Profesional Argentina
30 Jul
Cienciano
4-0
Lanus
CONMEBOL Sudamericana
26 Jul
Lanus
1-0
San Lorenzo
Liga Profesional Argentina
23 Jul
Lanus
2-0
Cienciano
CONMEBOL Sudamericana
14
Win
44%
6
Draw
19%
12
Lost
38%

Lineups

Confirmed

Talleres Cordoba3-4-3Confirmed

6Román RiquelmeDEF
44Santiago FernandezDEF
20Augusto SchottDEF
37RickFWD
77Ronaldo MartinezFWD
19Franco CristaldoFWD
32Ezequiel UnsaínGK
5Matias GalarzaMID
2Timoteo ChamorroMID
3Alexandro MaidanaMID
8Federico FattoriMID
35Gonzalo NuccioDEF
23Gabriel BáezDEF
13Valentín FascendiniDEF
36Emiliano ChiavassaFWD
99Bruno BarticciottoFWD
11Valentin DepietriFWD
49Valentin DavilaFWD
1Santino BarbiGK
10Giovanni BaroniMID
39Lautaro OrtizMID
31Bruno TreyMID
25Thiago BaroniMID

Lanus4-2-3-1Confirmed

33Tomás GuidaraDEF
6Sasha MarcichDEF
35Ronaldo De JesusDEF
24Carlos IzquierdozDEF
20Allan WlkFWD
26Nahuel LosadaGK
30Agustín CardozoMID
5Felipe Peña BiaforeMID
11Eduardo SalvioMID
23Ramiro CarreraMID
25Dylan AquinoMID
27Facundo SánchezDEF
3Nicolás MorgantiniDEF
2Luciano RomeroDEF
4Gonzalo PerezDEF
77Lucas BesozziFWD
19Yoshan ValoisFWD
9Walter BouFWD
38Benjamin AcostaFWD
1Franco PetroliGK
16Matías SepúlvedaMID
39Thiago LaplaceMID
8Franco WatsonMID

Unavailable Players

0 players

Talleres Cordoba

No reported absences

Lanus

No reported absences

Betting Strategy

High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.

High Probability
Under 2.5 Goals1.43 (65.2%)
BTTS No1.64 (57.2%)
Value Bets
Talleres Cordoba Win2.39 (42%)
Draw2.89 (27%)
Lanus Win3.32 (31%)
Over 2.5 Goals2.72 (34.8%)
Both Teams Score2.15 (42.8%)

Yellow Card Prediction

L. Lobo Medina has averaged 4.7 yellow cards per match across 3 recent fixtures we have data for. Our pick is over 4.5 yellow cards at 1.85.

Corner Prediction

Talleres Cordoba have averaged 4.3 corners per match at home; Lanus 5.0 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 5.7 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.

Player Stats Bet

Talleres Cordoba have generated 1.35 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 39% of them. They put 4.6 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Talleres Cordoba player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.

What's Your Prediction?

Pick the result you expect

OUR PREDICTION
2.5 Goals Under

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The Daily Punt Analysis Team

Data-driven football predictions and betting tips

This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.

Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.