Tianjin Teda vs Hangzhou Greentown Prediction, Tips & Odds
Tianjin Teda vs Hangzhou Greentown
Match Preview
The model favours Tianjin Teda to win this match against Hangzhou Greentown, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. Tianjin Teda currently sits in 14th place in the league with 18 points from 23 games, having won 7, drawn 7, and lost 9. Their recent form shows some improvement, with two wins in their last five matches, highlighting a positive trend as they look to climb the standings. Notably, they have a goal difference of +2, which suggests they have been competitive in matches. In contrast, Hangzhou Greentown is positioned 11th with 25 points, having secured 8 wins, 6 draws, and 9 losses. Their last five matches have been less impressive, with only one victory and two draws, indicating a struggle to find consistent form. Their goal difference of -6 reflects defensive vulnerabilities, as they have conceded 40 goals while scoring 34. The model assigns Tianjin Teda a win probability of around 45%, suggesting a closely contested match. While they have shown some recent improvement, the caveat lies in their inconsistency throughout the season, which could allow Hangzhou Greentown to capitalize on any defensive lapses. The full method for this prediction can be found in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, as our in-house model analyzes expected goals and actual results across the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (3.0 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 15.2% probability.
Tianjin Teda have been the stronger side, winning 29% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 15.2% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.
Lines averaged across 6 bookmakers. Tianjin Teda are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Tianjin Teda vs Hangzhou Greentown| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 2.50 | 3.45 | 2.50 | 1.62 | 2.20 | 1.48 | 2.35 | |
| 2.57 | 3.46 | 2.49 | 1.61 | 2.25 | 1.49 | 2.40 | |
| 2.55 | 3.75 | 2.50 | 1.60 | 2.30 | 1.53 | 2.45 | |
| 2.67 | 3.70 | 2.54 | 1.64 | 2.31 | — | — | |
| 2.31 | 3.10 | 2.35 | — | — | — | — | |
| 2.50 | 3.40 | 2.50 | — | — | 1.53 | 2.40 | |
| 2.55 | 3.60 | 2.45 | 1.60 | 2.30 | 1.50 | 2.50 | |
| 2.65 | 3.56 | 2.57 | 1.64 | 2.29 | 1.49 | 2.44 | |
| 2.35 | 3.55 | 2.75 | 1.61 | 2.15 | 1.50 | 2.33 | |
Betano | 2.50 | 3.45 | 2.57 | 1.62 | 2.20 | 1.52 | 2.37 |
Superbet | 2.50 | 3.45 | 2.57 | 1.60 | 2.20 | 1.51 | 2.40 |
BetVictor | 2.55 | 3.60 | 2.40 | 1.58 | 2.19 | 1.47 | 2.45 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 10 Meetings (Hangzhou Greentown leads 5-4)The head-to-head record between Tianjin Teda and Hangzhou Greentown shows Hangzhou winning 5 times, Tianjin winning 4 times, with no draws in their last 10 encounters. The scorelines indicate a mix of tight contests and narrow victories, with several matches decided by a single goal. Notably, Hangzhou has secured back-to-back wins in their most recent encounters, including a 2-0 victory in their latest fixture. Overall, while the competition has been relatively balanced, Hangzhou's recent form against Tianjin highlights a slight edge in their performances.
Super League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Chengdu Better City | 25 | 15 | 6 | 4 | 51 | 30 | 21 | 51 | WLWLD |
| 2 |  Beijing Guoan | 25 | 11 | 9 | 5 | 49 | 33 | 16 | 37 | DDWWW |
| 3 |  Qingdao Youth Island | 25 | 8 | 13 | 4 | 29 | 30 | -1 | 37 | DWDDW |
| 4 |  Dalian Zhixing | 25 | 11 | 4 | 10 | 36 | 41 | -5 | 37 | DWDLW |
| 5 |  Shandong Luneng | 25 | 13 | 3 | 9 | 45 | 42 | 3 | 36 | WLWWW |
| 6 |  Yunnan Yukun | 25 | 10 | 5 | 10 | 49 | 51 | -2 | 35 | LDWWL |
| 10 | Hangzhou Greentown | 24 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 40 | 40 | 0 | 28 | WDLLW |
| 14 | Tianjin Teda | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 33 | 31 | 2 | 19 | DDLLW |
| 15 |  Wuhan Three Towns | 23 | 5 | 9 | 9 | 35 | 39 | -4 | 19 | WDLDW |
| 16 |  Qingdao Jonoon | 25 | 6 | 3 | 16 | 33 | 51 | -18 | 14 | LLLLL |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonTianjin Teda have won 5 of their last 15 matches at home, drawing 5 and losing 5. Their recent home fixtures include drew with Qingdao Youth Island 1-1 and beat Sichuan Jiuniu 3-0.
Overall, the wider run reads 9W 11D 11L from the last 31 games (29% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Hangzhou Greentown have won 4 of their last 18 matches on the road, drawing 6 and losing 8. Their recent away fixtures include drew with Sichuan Jiuniu 1-1 and lost to Beijing Guoan 2-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 10W 13D 10L from the last 33 games (30% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
ConfirmedTianjin Teda4-4-2Confirmed
Hangzhou Greentown4-3-3Confirmed
Unavailable Players
0 playersTianjin Teda
No reported absences
Hangzhou Greentown
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.
Corner Prediction
Tianjin Teda have averaged 4.3 corners per match at home; Hangzhou Greentown 5.2 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 5.8 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Tianjin Teda have generated 1.16 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 29% of them. They put 3.5 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Tianjin Teda player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.
What's Your Prediction?
Pick the result you expect
Do you agree with this prediction?
The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.