Tianjin Teda vs Shenyang Urban Prediction, Tips & Odds
Tianjin Teda vs Shenyang Urban
Match Preview
The model favours Tianjin Teda to win this match against Shenyang Urban, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. Currently positioned 14th in the Super League standings, Tianjin Teda has accumulated 19 points from 24 matches, with a season record of 7 wins, 8 draws, and 9 losses. Their goal difference of +2 reflects a relatively balanced performance, with 33 goals scored and 31 conceded. Despite their mixed form recently, with just one win in their last five matches, they remain competitive in this mid-table clash. Shenyang Urban sits just above Tianjin in 13th place, having recorded 25 points from the same number of matches. Their season has been challenging, with 7 wins but 13 losses, leading to a goal difference of -7. They have scored 34 goals but conceded 41, indicating defensive vulnerabilities. Their recent form has not been encouraging, with only one win in their last five games and three losses, which may impact their confidence heading into this fixture. The model suggests a win probability of around 50% for Tianjin Teda, with a projected score of 2-1. A key market indicator shows a slight edge for the home side in betting odds. However, one caveat is that Tianjin's inconsistency could lead to an unexpected result. The full methodology, which utilizes expected goals and actual results throughout the season, is detailed in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section. The Daily Punt Analysis Team employs this in-house model to provide insights.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (2.7 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 15.8% probability.
Tianjin Teda have been the stronger side, winning 29% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 15.8% probability. 3 of the top six outcomes feature Tianjin Teda clean sheets, in line with their 32% clean-sheet rate this season.
Lines averaged across 5 bookmakers. Tianjin Teda are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Tianjin Teda vs Shenyang Urban| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 1.88 | 3.45 | 3.75 | 1.80 | 1.95 | 1.65 | 2.05 | |
| 1.89 | 3.54 | 3.74 | 1.77 | 2.00 | 1.66 | 2.06 | |
| 1.90 | 3.60 | 3.80 | 1.80 | 2.00 | 1.65 | 2.20 | |
| 1.95 | 3.68 | 3.90 | 1.81 | 2.04 | — | — | |
| 1.94 | 3.08 | 3.24 | 1.85 | 1.97 | — | — | |
| 1.85 | 3.40 | 3.75 | — | — | 1.67 | 2.10 | |
| 1.90 | 3.60 | 3.80 | 1.75 | 2.05 | 1.70 | 2.05 | |
| 1.95 | 3.64 | 3.85 | 1.80 | 2.03 | 1.66 | 2.09 | |
| 1.83 | 3.70 | 3.95 | 1.64 | 2.10 | 1.58 | 2.16 | |
| 1.91 | 3.40 | 3.70 | 1.80 | 1.91 | 1.67 | 2.10 | |
Betano | 1.88 | 3.50 | 3.80 | 1.78 | 1.98 | 1.67 | 2.07 |
Superbet | 1.95 | 3.45 | 3.60 | 1.77 | 1.95 | 1.68 | 2.07 |
BetVictor | 1.87 | 3.50 | 3.70 | 1.73 | 1.95 | 1.65 | 2.10 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 1 Meetings (Shenyang Urban leads 1-0)In their only past encounter, Shenyang Urban defeated Tianjin Teda with a score of 3-0. This result indicates a decisive victory for Shenyang Urban, suggesting a one-sided match rather than a closely contested fixture. Since there is only one match in their head-to-head record, it is difficult to establish patterns or trends. However, the absence of draws and the significant margin of victory highlight Shenyang Urban's dominance in this particular meeting.
Super League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Chengdu Better City | 25 | 15 | 6 | 4 | 51 | 30 | 21 | 51 | WLWLD |
| 2 |  Beijing Guoan | 25 | 11 | 9 | 5 | 49 | 33 | 16 | 37 | DDWWW |
| 3 |  Qingdao Youth Island | 25 | 8 | 13 | 4 | 29 | 30 | -1 | 37 | DWDDW |
| 4 |  Dalian Zhixing | 25 | 11 | 4 | 10 | 36 | 41 | -5 | 37 | DWDLW |
| 5 |  Shandong Luneng | 25 | 13 | 3 | 9 | 45 | 42 | 3 | 36 | WLWWW |
| 6 |  Yunnan Yukun | 25 | 10 | 5 | 10 | 49 | 51 | -2 | 35 | LDWWL |
| 13 | Shenyang Urban | 24 | 7 | 4 | 13 | 34 | 41 | -7 | 25 | LDLLW |
| 14 | Tianjin Teda | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 33 | 31 | 2 | 19 | DDLLW |
| 15 |  Wuhan Three Towns | 23 | 5 | 9 | 9 | 35 | 39 | -4 | 19 | WDLDW |
| 16 |  Qingdao Jonoon | 25 | 6 | 3 | 16 | 33 | 51 | -18 | 14 | LLLLL |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonTianjin Teda have won 5 of their last 15 matches at home, drawing 5 and losing 5. Their recent home fixtures include drew with Qingdao Youth Island 1-1 and beat Sichuan Jiuniu 3-0.
Overall, the wider run reads 9W 11D 11L from the last 31 games (29% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Shenyang Urban have won 3 of their last 16 matches on the road, drawing 5 and losing 8. Their recent away fixtures include lost to Shenyang Urban 2-1 and drew with Beijing Guoan 1-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 11W 7D 13L from the last 31 games (35% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersTianjin Teda
No reported absences
Shenyang Urban
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
Jin Jingyuan has been appointed as the referee for this fixture. We don't yet have enough recent fixtures officiated by Jin Jingyuan to give a confident card-market projection. Our default lean is under 3.5 yellow cards at 1.95.
Corner Prediction
Tianjin Teda have averaged 4.3 corners per match at home; Shenyang Urban 4.2 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 5.3 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Tianjin Teda have generated 1.16 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 29% of them. They put 3.5 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Tianjin Teda player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.