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Tokyo Verdy vs Kawasaki Frontale Prediction, Tips & Odds

Tokyo Verdy vs Kawasaki Frontale

J1 LeagueRegular Season - 1
Tokyo Verdy
#10 · J1 League
LDLWD
1 - 1
Ajinomoto Stadium, Tokyo
Kawasaki Frontale
#11 · J1 League
DLLWD
★ OUR PICK
Both Teams to Score
Both attacks have been productive and both defences leaky — both teams to score carries the edge.
BTTS
1.91
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.87 (implied 53.4%) for Both Teams to Score. Our experts calculate a 55.9% probability (an expert ratio of 1.79). We chose this bet because our experts rate it more likely than the bookmaker price implies (55.9% vs 53.4%), driven by both attacks scoring freely while both defences look leaky. That edge makes it our most confident selection for this match.

Match Preview

The model favours Tokyo Verdy to win against Kawasaki Frontale, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. Tokyo Verdy enters the season with a solid position in the standings, currently placed fourth, although they have yet to play a match this season. Their recent form indicates a mixed performance with one win, two draws, and two losses in their last five games, which may suggest they are looking to build momentum as they begin their campaign. On the other hand, Kawasaki Frontale finds themselves in ninth place, also yet to play this season. Their recent form is slightly better, with one win, two draws, and two losses in their last five matches. However, they will need to improve consistently to climb the standings. Both teams are starting fresh, but the recent form suggests that Verdy may have a slight edge heading into their first match. The model output indicates a win probability leaning towards Tokyo Verdy, but the exact figures are unavailable. One key market percentage could reflect this advantage, but without specific data, it remains uncertain. A potential caveat for Verdy could be their inability to translate pre-season form into results on the pitch. For a deeper understanding of our prediction, please refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, where our in-house model analyzes expected goals and actual results throughout the season.

Betting Predictions

How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.

Match Result
Tokyo Verdy Win37%3.15
Draw25%3.11
Kawasaki Frontale Win39%2.31
BTTS
Both Teams to Score: Yes
1.8753.0%

Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.

Over/Under Goals
Under 2.5 Goals
1.6452.4%

Tokyo Verdy manage games at home, conceding just 1.80 goals per match. Kawasaki Frontale score 1.37 on the road.

Correct Score
Tokyo Verdy 1-1 Kawasaki Frontale
5.7217.6%

The most likely scoreline per our model at 17.6% probability.

Asian Handicap
Kawasaki Frontale -0.0
1.6233%

Kawasaki Frontale have been the stronger side, winning 33% of their matches.

CORRECT SCOREMost likely outcomes
1-1
5.72
17.6%
0-1
6.49
15.5%
0-0
7.42
13.6%
1-0
7.89
12.8%
1-2
8.74
11.6%
0-2
9.91
10.2%

Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 17.6% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.

ASIAN HANDICAPLines & prices
Tokyo Verdy
-0.0
2.25
Kawasaki Frontale
+0.0
1.62
Tokyo Verdy
-0.3
2.70
Kawasaki Frontale
+0.3
1.91
Tokyo Verdy
-0.5
2.98
Kawasaki Frontale
+0.5
2.19
Tokyo Verdy
-1.5
6.50
Kawasaki Frontale
+1.5
5.00

Lines averaged across 6 bookmakers. Kawasaki Frontale are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.

Best Betting Odds

Tokyo Verdy vs Kawasaki Frontale
Bookmaker1X2O/U 2.5BTTS
1X2OverUnderYesNo
10Bet
3.203.102.332.201.651.831.83
Marathonbet
3.153.122.302.211.641.871.81
Betfair
3.003.102.302.301.601.901.87
Pinnacle
3.273.242.362.291.66
SBO
2.822.882.322.281.62
William Hill
3.103.002.301.851.85
Bet365
3.253.002.352.251.621.911.91
1xBet
3.223.202.362.241.661.871.83
Unibet
3.153.152.232.151.601.871.80
888Sport
3.103.002.302.201.621.851.85
Betano
3.253.152.252.181.671.851.85
Superbet
3.203.202.352.201.681.881.85
BetVictor
3.203.252.302.141.601.901.80

Goals Probability

Avg. bookmaker odds
Over 0.5 Goals
87.6%
Over 1.5 Goals
67.4%
Over 2.5 Goals
47.6%
Over 3.5 Goals
23.1%

Double Chance

Bet covers two outcomes
1XTokyo Verdy or Draw
61%1.59
12Tokyo Verdy or Kawasaki Frontale
75%1.33
X2Draw or Kawasaki Frontale
64%1.33

Head to Head

Last 8 Meetings (Kawasaki Frontale leads 4-2)
2 Tokyo Verdy2 Draw4 Kawasaki Frontale
06 May
Kawasaki Frontale
1-0
Tokyo Verdy
J1 League
18 Mar
Tokyo Verdy
0-2
Kawasaki Frontale
J1 League
Jun 25
Tokyo Verdy
1-0
Kawasaki Frontale
J1 League
Apr 25
Kawasaki Frontale
0-0
Tokyo Verdy
J1 League
Nov 24
Tokyo Verdy
4-5
Kawasaki Frontale
J1 League
Apr 24
Kawasaki Frontale
0-0
Tokyo Verdy
J1 League
Jun 22
Kawasaki Frontale
0-1
Tokyo Verdy
Emperor Cup
Oct 13
Kawasaki Frontale
3-0
Tokyo Verdy
Emperor Cup

In the last eight matches between Tokyo Verdy and Kawasaki Frontale, Kawasaki Frontale leads with four wins, while Tokyo Verdy has secured two victories, and there have been two draws. The scorelines indicate a mix of outcomes, with two matches ending in 0-0 draws highlighting a tendency for tight contests. However, Kawasaki Frontale has achieved two significant wins, including a 4-5 match, suggesting they can dominate offensively. Tokyo Verdy's last victory came in June 2022, indicating a struggle to consistently overcome Kawasaki Frontale in recent encounters.

J1 League Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1
Machida Zelvia
11005143
W
2
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
11003033
W
3
Kashima
11004313
W
4
Gamba Osaka
11004313
W
5
Cerezo Osaka
11002113
W
6
Kashiwa Reysol
11002113
W
10
Tokyo Verdy
10101101
D
11
Kawasaki Frontale
10101101
D
18
Nagoya Grampus
100101-10
L
19
JEF United Chiba
100103-30
L
20
FC Tokyo
100115-40
L

Venue Record

Current season at home / on the road
Tokyo VerdyHome
0W1D0L
1 playedGF 1 · GA 11.00 pts/game
Kawasaki FrontaleAway
0W1D0L
1 playedGF 1 · GA 11.00 pts/game

Key Statistics

2027 Season
Tokyo VerdyKawasaki Frontale
1.04Goals p.g.1.37
1.8Goals conceded p.g.1.59
24%Clean sheets15%
28%Win rate33%
2.84Avg goals in match2.96
1.01xG per game1.17
40%Possession %54%
2.9Shots on target / game3.8
4.5Corners per game4.1
Tokyo Verdy
Recent Form

Tokyo Verdy have won 5 of their last 14 matches at home, drawing 2 and losing 7. Their recent home fixtures include lost to Gamba Osaka 2-4 and lost to Yokohama F. Marinos 0-6.

Overall, the wider run reads 7W 5D 13L from the last 25 games (28% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.

Match Results: Tokyo VerdyAll competitions
06 Jun
Tokyo Verdy
2-4
Gamba Osaka
J1 League
30 May
Gamba Osaka
1-1
Tokyo Verdy
J1 League
24 May
Tokyo Verdy
0-6
Yokohama F. Marinos
J1 League
16 May
Mito Hollyhock
0-1
Tokyo Verdy
J1 League
13 May
Machida Zelvia
0-0
Tokyo Verdy
J1 League
10 May
FC Tokyo
2-1
Tokyo Verdy
J1 League
7
Win
28%
5
Draw
20%
13
Lost
52%
Kawasaki Frontale
Recent Form

Kawasaki Frontale have won 3 of their last 12 matches on the road, drawing 2 and losing 7. Their recent away fixtures include lost to Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2-1 and beat Mito Hollyhock 1-3.

Overall, the wider run reads 9W 6D 12L from the last 27 games (33% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.

Match Results: Kawasaki FrontaleAll competitions
16 Jul
Kawasaki Frontale
0-0
Vanraure Hachinohe
Friendlies Clubs
06 Jun
Kawasaki Frontale
0-1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
J1 League
30 May
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
2-1
Kawasaki Frontale
J1 League
24 May
Mito Hollyhock
1-3
Kawasaki Frontale
J1 League
17 May
Kawasaki Frontale
1-1
Machida Zelvia
J1 League
10 May
Kashiwa Reysol
1-0
Kawasaki Frontale
J1 League
9
Win
33%
6
Draw
22%
12
Lost
44%

Lineups

Confirmed

Tokyo Verdy3-4-2-1Confirmed

15Kaito SuzukiDEF
6Kazuya MiyaharaDEF
4Naoki HayashiDEF
9Itsuki SomenoFWD
14Yuya FukudaFWD
7Yuan MatsuhashiFWD
1Matheus VidottoGK
18Shuhei MizoguchiMID
20Soma MeshinoMID
16Rei HirakawaMID
22Yosuke UchidaMID
29Maaya SakoDEF
5Inoue RyotaDEF
27Ryosuke ShiraiFWD
45Shimon TeranumaFWD
25Issei KumatoriyaFWD
21Yuya NagasawaGK
24Shion NakayamaMID
40Yuta AraiMID
28Joi YamamotoMID

Kawasaki Frontale4-2-3-1Confirmed

4Pedro RomanoDEF
13Sota MiuraDEF
3Hiroto TaniguchiDEF
29Reon YamaharaDEF
20Kyosuke MochiyamaFWD
49Svend BrodersenGK
6Yuki YamamotoMID
8Kento TachibanadaMID
17Tatsuya ItoMID
14Yasuto WakizakaMID
18Kazuya KonnoMID
22Filip UremovićDEF
5Asahi SasakiDEF
24Ten MiyagiFWD
9Lazar RomanićFWD
23MarcinhoFWD
1Louis YamaguchiGK
16Yuto OzekiMID
19So KawaharaMID
34Ryuki OsaMID

Unavailable Players

0 players

Tokyo Verdy

No reported absences

Kawasaki Frontale

No reported absences

Betting Strategy

High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.

Value Bets
Tokyo Verdy Win3.15 (36.5%)
Kawasaki Frontale Win2.31 (38.8%)
Over 2.5 Goals2.22 (47.6%)
Under 2.5 Goals1.64 (52.4%)
Both Teams Score1.87 (53%)
BTTS No1.84 (47%)
Speculative
Draw3.11 (24.7%)

Yellow Card Prediction

The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.

Corner Prediction

Tokyo Verdy have averaged 4.5 corners per match at home; Kawasaki Frontale 4.1 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 5.3 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.

Player Stats Bet

Kawasaki Frontale have generated 1.17 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 33% of them. They put 3.8 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Kawasaki Frontale player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.

What's Your Prediction?

Pick the result you expect

OUR PREDICTION
Both Teams to Score Yes

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The Daily Punt Analysis Team

Data-driven football predictions and betting tips

This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.

Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.