Today's top picks and bookie offers, free on TelegramToday's top picks, free on TelegramJoin

Tromso vs CFR 1907 Cluj Prediction, Tips & Odds

Tromso vs CFR 1907 Cluj

UEFA Europa Conference League3rd Qualifying Round
Tromso
WDLWW
2 - 1
Romssa Arena
Referee: D. Dickinson
CFR 1907 Cluj
WWLLW
★ OUR PICK
Tromso to Win
Solid home form and superior underlying numbers over CFR 1907 Cluj make Tromso the value pick here.
Moneyline
1.45
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.40 (implied 71.5%) for Tromso to Win. Our experts calculate a 74.0% probability (an expert ratio of 1.35). We chose this bet because our experts rate it more likely than the bookmaker price implies (74.0% vs 71.5%), driven by Tromso's stronger form and superior underlying numbers. That edge makes it our most confident selection for this match.

Match Preview

The model favours Tromso to win against CFR 1907 Cluj, with a projected scoreline of 2-1. Tromso has shown a positive trend in their recent form, securing three wins in their last five matches. This momentum could be crucial as they look to establish dominance in the UEFA Europa Conference League. Their ability to bounce back after two losses indicates resilience, and it suggests they have the potential to perform well under pressure. In contrast, CFR 1907 Cluj has struggled recently, managing only two wins in their last five matches. Their form includes two losses and a draw, indicating inconsistency that could hinder their chances in this crucial fixture. The team's recent performances may raise concerns about their ability to compete effectively, especially away from home. The model gives Tromso a strong win probability in this matchup, projecting them to secure a victory with a score of 2-1. However, one caveat to consider is that Cluj could exploit any defensive lapses from Tromso, especially if they are able to counter quickly. The full prediction method is detailed in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, where the analysis is based on expected goals and actual results throughout the season, as conducted by The Daily Punt Analysis Team.

Betting Predictions

How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.

Match Result
Tromso Win59%1.40
Draw19%4.48
CFR 1907 Cluj Win22%6.62
BTTS
Both Teams to Score: No
1.8150.9%

Tromso have kept a clean sheet in 49% of matches. CFR 1907 Cluj average 1.4 goals per game.

Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 Goals
1.6751.1%

Combined goal output is high (3.2 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.

Correct Score
Tromso 2-0 CFR 1907 Cluj
6.2216.2%

The most likely scoreline per our model at 16.2% probability.

Asian Handicap
Tromso -1.5
2.2539%

Tromso have been the stronger side, winning 57% of their matches.

CORRECT SCOREMost likely outcomes
2-0
6.22
16.2%
1-0
6.31
15.9%
2-1
7.48
13.5%
1-1
8.00
12.7%
3-0
8.64
11.7%
3-1
10.36
9.8%

Our model projects a 2-0 Tromso win as the most likely scoreline at 16.2% probability. 3 of the top six outcomes feature Tromso clean sheets, in line with their 49% clean-sheet rate this season.

ASIAN HANDICAPLines & prices
Tromso
-0.0
1.15
CFR 1907 Cluj
+0.0
4.79
Tromso
-0.5
1.36
CFR 1907 Cluj
+0.5
5.85
Tromso
-1.5
2.25
CFR 1907 Cluj
+1.5
12.00

Lines averaged across 5 bookmakers. Tromso are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.

Best Betting Odds

Tromso vs CFR 1907 Cluj
Bookmaker1X2O/U 2.5BTTS
1X2OverUnderYesNo
10Bet
1.364.707.101.702.101.951.70
Marathonbet
1.404.457.101.702.091.881.80
Betfair
1.364.206.501.652.101.871.87
Pinnacle
1.384.246.181.682.06
SBO
1.363.966.181.682.11
William Hill
1.404.606.001.911.80
Bet365
1.454.335.751.702.102.001.73
1xBet
1.454.647.391.742.141.881.82
Unibet
1.354.907.501.572.201.841.83
Betano
1.454.556.401.702.121.881.83
Superbet
1.424.656.301.612.201.821.88
BetVictor
1.404.507.001.692.001.901.80

Goals Probability

Avg. bookmaker odds
Over 0.5 Goals
91.4%
Over 1.5 Goals
77.2%
Over 2.5 Goals
51.1%
Over 3.5 Goals
35.1%

Double Chance

Bet covers two outcomes
1XTromso or Draw
78%1.08
12Tromso or CFR 1907 Cluj
81%1.16
X2Draw or CFR 1907 Cluj
41%2.78

Head to Head

Last 1 Meetings (Tromso leads 1-0)
1 Tromso0 Draw0 CFR 1907 Cluj
06 Aug
CFR 1907 Cluj
0-3
Tromso
UEFA Europa Conference League

In their only past encounter, Tromso has won against CFR 1907 Cluj with a score of 3-0. This result indicates a clear advantage for Tromso, showcasing a one-sided match where they secured a comfortable win without conceding any goals. The absence of draws in their head-to-head record emphasizes Tromso's dominance in this fixture. Given that CFR 1907 Cluj has yet to win in this matchup, it highlights the challenge they face in overcoming Tromso's historical edge.

Key Statistics

2026 Season
TromsoCFR 1907 Cluj
1.83Goals p.g.1.38
0.97Goals conceded p.g.0.69
49%Clean sheets46%
57%Win rate46%
2.8Avg goals in match2.08
1.38xG per game1.46
-0.40xGA per game
49%Possession %44%
5.0Shots on target / game3.0
4.8Corners per game5.0
Tromso
Recent Form

Tromso have won 12 of their last 19 matches at home, drawing 5 and losing 2. Their recent home fixtures include drew with Tromso 0-0 and beat Tromso 2-1.

Overall, the wider run reads 20W 7D 8L from the last 35 games (57% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.

Match Results: TromsoAll competitions
22 Aug
Ulfstind
0-5
Tromso
NM Cupen
20 Aug
Tromso
0-0
Brighton
UEFA Europa Conference League
16 Aug
Molde
3-2
Tromso
Eliteserien
13 Aug
Tromso
2-1
CFR 1907 Cluj
UEFA Europa Conference League
06 Aug
CFR 1907 Cluj
0-5
Tromso
UEFA Europa Conference League
02 Aug
Aalesund
2-6
Tromso
Eliteserien
20
Win
57%
7
Draw
20%
8
Lost
23%
CFR 1907 Cluj
Recent Form

CFR 1907 Cluj have won 2 of their last 5 matches on the road, drawing 2 and losing 1. Their recent away fixtures include lost to Oţelul 2-1 and drew with Olimpija Ljubljana 1-1.

Overall, the wider run reads 6W 5D 2L from the last 13 games (46% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.

Match Results: CFR 1907 ClujAll competitions
30 Jul
CFR 1907 Cluj
3-0
Alashkert
UEFA Europa Conference League
27 Jul
CFR 1907 Cluj
5-0
FC Voluntari
Liga I
18 Jul
Oţelul
2-1
CFR 1907 Cluj
Liga I
14 Jul
CFR 1907 Cluj
0-2
Gloria Bistriţa
Friendlies Clubs
09 Jul
CFR 1907 Cluj
1-0
Karpaty
Friendlies Clubs
07 Jul
CFR 1907 Cluj
1-1
FC Noah
Friendlies Clubs
6
Win
46%
5
Draw
38%
2
Lost
15%

Lineups

Confirmed

Tromso5-3-2Confirmed

30Isak VadebuDEF
21Leon HienDEF
3Mathias TonnessenDEF
20Ieltsin CamõesFWD
7Lars Olden LarsenFWD
1Jakob HaugaardGK
37Sander InnværMID
8Jesper Andreas GrundtMID
5David EdvardssonMID
17Isak DahlqvistMID
10Troy NyhammerMID
29Alexander WarnerydDEF
25Casper ÖyvannDEF
27Mads MikkelsenDEF
19Aleksander Lilletun ElvebuFWD
22Heine Asen LarsenFWD
9Daniel BrautFWD
32Abderrahmane SarrGK
12Ole LauvliGK
11Ruben JenssenMID

CFR 1907 Cluj4-3-3Confirmed

45Mário CamoraDEF
3Aly AbeidDEF
47Christopher BraunDEF
42Renato PantalonDEF
17Lorenzo BilibocFWD
77Andres ȘfaițFWD
31Octavian VâlceanuGK
88Damjan ĐokovićMID
8Alin FicăMID
10Adrian PăunMID
11Andrei CordeaMID
86Viktor KunDEF
14Simão RochaDEF
2Marian HujaDEF
7Meriton KorenicaFWD
98Nicolae SulaFWD
1Rareș GalGK
99André MoreiraGK
5Francisco BarriosMID
6Ovidiu PerianuMID
22Mateo MiclăușMID
28Bruno CostaMID
26Răzvan GligorMID

Unavailable Players

0 players

Tromso

No reported absences

CFR 1907 Cluj

No reported absences

Betting Strategy

High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.

High Probability
Tromso Win1.40 (59%)
Value Bets
Over 2.5 Goals1.67 (51.1%)
Under 2.5 Goals2.11 (48.9%)
Both Teams Score1.89 (49.1%)
BTTS No1.81 (50.9%)
Speculative
Draw4.48 (19.4%)
CFR 1907 Cluj Win6.62 (21.6%)

Yellow Card Prediction

D. Dickinson has averaged 5.0 yellow cards per match across 1 recent fixtures we have data for. Our pick is over 4.5 yellow cards at 1.85.

Corner Prediction

Tromso have averaged 4.8 corners per match at home; CFR 1907 Cluj 5.0 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 5.9 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.

Player Stats Bet

Tromso have generated 1.38 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 57% of them. They put 5.0 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Tromso player to score or assist at 1.55 looks well supported by the data.

What's Your Prediction?

Pick the result you expect

OUR PREDICTION
Tromso to Win

Do you agree with this prediction?

The Daily Punt Analysis Team

Data-driven football predictions and betting tips

This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.

Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.