West Brom vs QPR Prediction, Tips & Odds
West Brom vs QPR
Match Preview
The model favours QPR to win this match against West Brom with a projected scoreline of 2-1. QPR currently sits in 4th place in the Championship standings, boasting an unbeaten record this season with two wins and one draw from their first three matches. Their strong goal difference of +3, with five goals scored and just two conceded, highlights their solid defensive capabilities coupled with an effective attack. West Brom, on the other hand, is positioned 6th in the league after three matches, having recorded two wins and one loss. While they have found the net six times, their defensive vulnerabilities are evident, as they have conceded five goals, resulting in a goal difference of +1. Their recent form shows a mixed bag, with three wins and two losses in their last five matches, indicating inconsistency that could be a concern heading into this fixture. The model predicts a win probability of 55% for QPR, with a projected score of 2-1. However, a potential pitfall for QPR could be complacency, as West Brom will be keen to capitalize on home advantage. For a deeper understanding of how we reached this prediction, refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, where the analysis is based on an in-house model that evaluates fixtures through expected goals and actual results across the season. This analysis is provided by The Daily Punt Analysis Team.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (3.0 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 15.9% probability.
West Brom have been the stronger side, winning 38% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 15.9% probability. 3 of the top six outcomes feature West Brom clean sheets, in line with their 41% clean-sheet rate this season.
Lines averaged across 6 bookmakers. West Brom are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
West Brom vs QPR| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 1.90 | 3.60 | 3.75 | 1.80 | 2.00 | 1.70 | 2.10 | |
| 2.03 | 3.36 | 3.54 | 1.81 | 1.97 | 1.65 | 2.08 | |
| 2.00 | 3.40 | 3.60 | 1.80 | 2.00 | 1.65 | 2.20 | |
| 2.21 | 3.40 | 3.49 | 1.88 | 2.01 | — | — | |
| 2.06 | 3.22 | 3.19 | 1.86 | 1.98 | — | — | |
| 2.05 | 3.25 | 3.50 | — | — | 1.67 | 2.10 | |
| 2.10 | 3.30 | 3.50 | 1.80 | 2.00 | 1.67 | 2.10 | |
| 2.13 | 3.32 | 3.36 | 1.82 | 1.95 | 1.65 | 2.11 | |
| 1.90 | 3.60 | 3.70 | 1.76 | 1.97 | 1.66 | 2.08 | |
| 1.91 | 3.50 | 3.60 | 1.75 | 1.95 | 1.67 | 2.10 | |
Betano | 2.12 | 3.50 | 3.40 | 1.83 | 2.02 | 1.65 | 2.15 |
BetVictor | 2.00 | 3.40 | 3.75 | 1.77 | 1.90 | 1.62 | 2.15 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 10 Meetings (West Brom leads 6-2)In the last 10 matches between West Brom and QPR, West Brom has won 6 times, QPR has won 2 times, and there have been 2 draws. The scorelines indicate a tendency for West Brom to secure narrow victories, with five matches decided by a single goal. QPR's two wins also reflect a competitive nature, with one being a 3-1 victory. Overall, while West Brom has had the upper hand historically, the matches have often been closely contested, particularly in recent fixtures. The last time QPR won was in January 2022, suggesting a challenge in overcoming West Brom in their encounters.
Championship Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  West Ham | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 20 | 9 | 11 | 14 | WWWWD |
| 2 | West Brom | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 13 | WWDLW |
| 3 |  Swansea | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 11 | LDWWD |
| 4 | QPR | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 11 | DLWWD |
| 5 |  Charlton | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 11 | DLDWW |
| 6 |  Middlesbrough | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 10 | WDWLW |
| 22 |  Derby | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 11 | -6 | 4 | LLWLD |
| 23 |  Burnley | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 3 | DLDLL |
| 24 |  Preston | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 12 | -6 | 3 | LWLLL |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonWest Brom have won 5 of their last 13 matches at home, drawing 7 and losing 1. Their recent home fixtures include beat Watford 1-0 and drew with Charlton 1-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 11W 11D 7L from the last 29 games (38% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
QPR have won 6 of their last 14 matches on the road, drawing 4 and losing 4. Their recent away fixtures include beat Blackburn 1-2 and beat AFC Wimbledon 2-3.
Overall, the wider run reads 12W 6D 11L from the last 29 games (41% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
6 playersWest Brom2
QPR4
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.
Corner Prediction
West Brom have averaged 4.8 corners per match at home; QPR 3.0 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 4.9 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
West Brom have generated 1.17 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 38% of them. They put 4.2 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. West Brom player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
