Wuhan Three Towns vs Henan Jianye Prediction, Tips & Odds
Wuhan Three Towns vs Henan Jianye
Match Preview
The model favours Henan Jianye to win this match with a projected scoreline of 2-1. Currently positioned 12th in the league, Henan Jianye has gathered 25 points from 24 matches, boasting 8 wins and a slightly better goal difference than their opponents. Their recent form shows one win, three draws, and one loss in the last five matches, indicating a stable performance despite some inconsistency. Wuhan Three Towns, sitting at 15th place with 19 points from 23 games, has recorded 5 wins but has struggled defensively, conceding 39 goals. Their last five matches have yielded two wins, two draws, and one loss, showing a potential upward trend. However, their overall goal difference of -4 suggests that they have faced challenges in both attack and defense throughout the season. The model output indicates a win probability of 34.6% for Wuhan Three Towns, compared to 39.6% for Henan Jianye. The likelihood of over 2.5 goals is at 58.3%, and both teams to score stands at 61.6%. A significant caveat is that if Wuhan can leverage home advantage effectively, they could surprise the model’s expectations. For a detailed explanation of the prediction, refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, where The Daily Punt Analysis Team employs an in-house model based on expected goals and actual results across the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (2.8 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 14.3% probability.
Henan Jianye have been the stronger side, winning 39% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 14.3% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.
Lines averaged across 6 bookmakers. Henan Jianye are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Wuhan Three Towns vs Henan Jianye| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 2.56 | 3.50 | 2.40 | 1.62 | 2.20 | 1.48 | 2.35 | |
| 2.81 | 3.70 | 2.21 | 1.55 | 2.38 | 1.47 | 2.46 | |
| 2.80 | 3.80 | 2.20 | 1.50 | 2.40 | 1.44 | 2.60 | |
| 2.89 | 3.94 | 2.27 | 1.57 | 2.47 | — | — | |
| 2.56 | 3.24 | 2.21 | — | — | — | — | |
| 2.80 | 3.60 | 2.15 | — | — | 1.44 | 2.50 | |
| 2.90 | 3.80 | 2.20 | 1.53 | 2.40 | 1.50 | 2.50 | |
| 2.89 | 3.81 | 2.28 | 1.55 | 2.38 | 1.47 | 2.50 | |
| 2.85 | 3.55 | 2.28 | 1.56 | 2.25 | 1.49 | 2.38 | |
| 2.63 | 3.40 | 2.40 | 1.62 | 2.15 | 1.53 | 2.40 | |
Betano | 2.85 | 3.65 | 2.20 | 1.55 | 2.35 | 1.50 | 2.42 |
Superbet | 2.62 | 3.50 | 2.40 | 1.61 | 2.20 | 1.52 | 2.37 |
BetVictor | 2.80 | 3.60 | 2.20 | 1.53 | 2.29 | 1.44 | 2.55 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 9 Meetings (Wuhan Three Towns leads 5-2)In their last nine encounters, Wuhan Three Towns have won 5 matches, drawn 2, and lost 2 to Henan Jianye. The scorelines indicate a mix of tight contests and some more decisive victories, with three matches ending in a draw and several matches featuring narrow margins. Notably, Wuhan Three Towns has secured three wins by a margin of three goals, while Henan Jianye's victories have typically been less dominant. The last win for Henan Jianye came over a year ago, highlighting a challenging recent history against Wuhan Three Towns.
Super League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Chengdu Better City | 25 | 15 | 6 | 4 | 51 | 30 | 21 | 51 | WLWLD |
| 2 |  Beijing Guoan | 25 | 11 | 9 | 5 | 49 | 33 | 16 | 37 | DDWWW |
| 3 |  Qingdao Youth Island | 25 | 8 | 13 | 4 | 29 | 30 | -1 | 37 | DWDDW |
| 4 |  Dalian Zhixing | 25 | 11 | 4 | 10 | 36 | 41 | -5 | 37 | DWDLW |
| 5 |  Shandong Luneng | 25 | 13 | 3 | 9 | 45 | 42 | 3 | 36 | WLWWW |
| 6 |  Yunnan Yukun | 25 | 10 | 5 | 10 | 49 | 51 | -2 | 35 | LDWWL |
| 12 | Henan Jianye | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 32 | 34 | -2 | 25 | DDLDD |
| 14 |  Tianjin Teda | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 33 | 31 | 2 | 19 | DDLLW |
| 15 | Wuhan Three Towns | 23 | 5 | 9 | 9 | 35 | 39 | -4 | 19 | WDLDW |
| 16 |  Qingdao Jonoon | 25 | 6 | 3 | 16 | 33 | 51 | -18 | 14 | LLLLL |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonWuhan Three Towns have won 5 of their last 15 matches at home, drawing 4 and losing 6. Their recent home fixtures include drew with Wuhan Three Towns 0-0 and beat Wuhan Three Towns 1-0.
Overall, the wider run reads 6W 12D 14L from the last 32 games (19% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Henan Jianye have won 7 of their last 17 matches on the road, drawing 4 and losing 6. Their recent away fixtures include drew with Shenyang Urban 4-4 and beat Shandong Luneng 1-2.
Overall, the wider run reads 13W 10D 10L from the last 33 games (39% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersWuhan Three Towns
No reported absences
Henan Jianye
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
Zhang Yangfan has been appointed as the referee for this fixture. We don't yet have enough recent fixtures officiated by Zhang Yangfan to give a confident card-market projection. Our default lean is under 3.5 yellow cards at 1.95.
Corner Prediction
Wuhan Three Towns have averaged 5.3 corners per match at home; Henan Jianye 4.9 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 6.1 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Henan Jianye have generated 1.21 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 39% of them. They put 5.1 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Henan Jianye player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.