Aarhus vs Silkeborg Prediction, Tips & Odds
Aarhus vs Silkeborg
Match Preview
The model favours Aarhus with a projected scoreline of 2-1 against Silkeborg. Aarhus currently sits in 10th position in the Superliga, having played three matches this season. Their form has been inconsistent, with one win, two draws, and one loss. Notably, they have scored four goals while conceding five, resulting in a goal difference of -1. This indicates that while their attack has shown some potential, their defensive vulnerabilities remain a concern. Silkeborg, on the other hand, is positioned 7th after four matches, with one win, one draw, and two losses. They have netted three goals and conceded five, leading to a goal difference of -2. Their recent form shows a mix of results, including two wins in their last five matches. However, their overall performance has yet to establish a solid rhythm this season, which could be a factor in their upcoming match against Aarhus. The model outputs a win probability of 55% for Aarhus, with a projected score of 2-1. One key market percentage to consider is the likelihood of both teams scoring, which stands at around 60%. A caveat to this prediction is Aarhus's susceptibility to defensive lapses, which could allow Silkeborg to capitalize on any mistakes. The full method used for this prediction is detailed in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, employing an in-house model that analyzes expected goals and actual results throughout the season, as provided by The Daily Punt Analysis Team.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (3.6 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 13.0% probability.
Aarhus have been the stronger side, winning 44% of their matches.
Our model projects a 2-1 Aarhus win as the most likely scoreline at 13.0% probability. 3 of the top six outcomes feature Aarhus clean sheets, in line with their 21% clean-sheet rate this season.
Lines averaged across 3 bookmakers. Aarhus are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Aarhus vs Silkeborg| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 1.57 | 4.40 | 4.80 | 1.44 | 2.70 | 1.48 | 2.40 | |
| 1.53 | 4.45 | 5.15 | 1.38 | 2.64 | 1.49 | 2.40 | |
| 1.50 | 4.50 | 5.00 | — | — | — | — | |
| 1.55 | 4.00 | 5.00 | — | — | 1.55 | 2.38 | |
| 1.57 | 4.33 | 4.75 | 1.48 | 2.60 | 1.53 | 2.38 | |
| 1.55 | 4.45 | 5.05 | 1.38 | 2.64 | 1.49 | 2.44 | |
| 1.46 | 4.75 | 5.60 | 1.35 | 3.05 | 1.45 | 2.50 | |
Betano | 1.60 | 4.45 | 4.90 | 1.47 | 2.77 | 1.52 | 2.45 |
BetVictor | 1.53 | 4.20 | 4.80 | 1.44 | 2.63 | 1.47 | 2.45 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 10 Meetings (Aarhus leads 3-2)In the last 10 matches between Aarhus and Silkeborg, Aarhus has won 3 times, Silkeborg has won 2 times, and there have been 5 draws. This record indicates a relatively balanced rivalry, with a notable frequency of draws. The scorelines suggest a mix of narrow victories and tightly contested matches, as evidenced by several draws and a majority of matches finishing with a single goal difference. The last win for Silkeborg came in May 2024, indicating a slight gap since their last success against Aarhus. Overall, the head-to-head record demonstrates competitive encounters between the two teams.
Superliga Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  FC Nordsjaelland | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 2 | 7 | 13 | WWWWD |
| 2 |  Viborg | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 13 | WWWDL |
| 3 |  Brondby | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 13 | LWWWW |
| 4 |  FC Copenhagen | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 8 | 5 | 12 | WLWWW |
| 5 |  FC Midtjylland | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 11 | DWDWW |
| 6 |  AC Horsens | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 7 | LWWLL |
| 9 | Silkeborg | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 9 | -4 | 5 | DLLWL |
| 10 | Aarhus | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 9 | -2 | 3 | LDLDD |
| 11 |  Lyngby | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 3 | DLDLD |
| 12 |  Sonderjyske | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 13 | -8 | 1 | LLLDL |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonAarhus have won 9 of their last 18 matches at home, drawing 6 and losing 3. Their recent home fixtures include lost to Aarhus 1-3 and drew with Aarhus 2-2.
Overall, the wider run reads 15W 10D 9L from the last 34 games (44% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Silkeborg have won 5 of their last 18 matches on the road, drawing 1 and losing 12. Their recent away fixtures include lost to Vejle 3-0 and lost to Brondby 3-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 11W 4D 17L from the last 32 games (34% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersAarhus
No reported absences
Silkeborg
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.
Corner Prediction
Aarhus have averaged 5.9 corners per match at home; Silkeborg 3.6 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 5.8 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Aarhus have generated 1.74 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 44% of them. They put 4.7 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Aarhus player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.