Sonderjyske vs AC Horsens Prediction, Tips & Odds
Sonderjyske vs AC Horsens
Match Preview
The model favours AC Horsens to win the match against Sonderjyske, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. AC Horsens currently sits in 6th place in the Superliga with a total of 7 points from 5 matches, boasting 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses. Although their goal difference stands at -1, they have managed to score 6 goals while conceding 7, indicating a competitive edge in their offensive play compared to their opponents. On the other hand, Sonderjyske is struggling at the bottom of the table in 12th place, having yet to secure a victory this season. With 1 draw and 4 losses, they have only accumulated 1 point from their 5 matches. Their goal-scoring has been limited, with just 4 goals, while they have conceded 10, resulting in a goal difference of -6. This stark contrast in form and standings highlights the challenges Sonderjyske faces as they seek to turn their season around. The model indicates a win probability of around 65% for AC Horsens. However, a potential caveat for this prediction lies in Sonderjyske's ability to capitalize on home advantage, which can sometimes lead to unexpected performances. The full methodology behind this prediction is detailed in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, where our in-house model analyzes expected goals and actual results throughout the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (3.2 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 16.0% probability.
Sonderjyske have been the stronger side, winning 28% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 16.0% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.
Lines averaged across 6 bookmakers. Sonderjyske are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Sonderjyske vs AC Horsens| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 2.15 | 3.25 | 3.30 | 1.83 | 1.95 | 1.60 | 2.15 | |
| 2.18 | 3.38 | 3.15 | 1.82 | 1.95 | 1.63 | 2.11 | |
| 2.10 | 3.50 | 3.20 | 1.87 | 1.90 | 1.73 | 2.10 | |
| 2.25 | 3.57 | 3.24 | 1.87 | 2.03 | — | — | |
| 2.09 | 3.04 | 2.91 | 1.84 | 1.98 | — | — | |
| 2.20 | 3.25 | 3.10 | — | — | 1.67 | 2.10 | |
| 2.20 | 3.40 | 3.10 | 1.85 | 1.95 | 1.70 | 2.05 | |
| 2.21 | 3.36 | 3.14 | 1.82 | 1.95 | 1.63 | 2.14 | |
| 2.04 | 3.55 | 3.30 | 1.71 | 2.08 | 1.58 | 2.18 | |
Betano | 2.25 | 3.45 | 3.20 | 1.85 | 2.00 | 1.65 | 2.15 |
Superbet | 2.22 | 3.45 | 3.25 | 1.85 | 1.97 | 1.68 | 2.12 |
BetVictor | 2.15 | 3.40 | 3.00 | 1.78 | 1.90 | 1.62 | 2.15 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 10 Meetings (Sonderjyske leads 7-2)In the last 10 matches between Sonderjyske and AC Horsens, Sonderjyske has won 7 times, AC Horsens has won 2 times, and there has been 1 draw. The scorelines indicate a notable dominance by Sonderjyske, with several heavy wins including a 5-0 and a 4-1 victory. The matches have generally been competitive, but Sonderjyske's ability to secure decisive victories suggests a one-sided trend in recent encounters. AC Horsens last won against Sonderjyske in December 2019, highlighting their struggle to overcome this opponent in the past few years.
Superliga Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  FC Copenhagen | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 8 | 12 | 18 | WWWLW |
| 2 |  FC Midtjylland | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 14 | WDWDW |
| 3 |  FC Nordsjaelland | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 13 | LWWWW |
| 4 |  Viborg | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 13 | LWWWD |
| 5 |  Brondby | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 13 | LLWWW |
| 6 | AC Horsens | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 10 | WLWWL |
| 10 |  Odense | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 12 | -7 | 5 | LDDLL |
| 11 |  Aarhus | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 4 | DLLDL |
| 12 | Sonderjyske | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 18 | -11 | 1 | LLLLD |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonSonderjyske have won 5 of their last 17 matches at home, drawing 5 and losing 7. Their recent home fixtures include lost to AC Horsens 2-5 and lost to FC Nordsjaelland 0-3.
Overall, the wider run reads 9W 7D 16L from the last 32 games (28% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
AC Horsens have won 5 of their last 11 matches on the road, drawing 2 and losing 4. Their recent away fixtures include beat AC Horsens 2-5 and beat Lyseng 0-4.
Overall, the wider run reads 10W 4D 5L from the last 19 games (53% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
ConfirmedSonderjyske4-2-3-1Confirmed
AC Horsens4-2-3-1Confirmed
Unavailable Players
3 playersSonderjyske2
AC Horsens1
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.
Corner Prediction
Sonderjyske have averaged 4.0 corners per match at home; AC Horsens 3.0 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 4.5 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Sonderjyske have generated 1.09 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 28% of them. They put 4.6 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Sonderjyske player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
