Alanyaspor vs Beşiktaş Prediction, Tips & Odds
Alanyaspor vs Beşiktaş
Match Preview
The model favours Beşiktaş to win against Alanyaspor, with a projected scoreline of 2-1. Beşiktaş enters this match positioned fifth in the league, indicating a strong competitive standing. Their recent form is promising, with three wins and a draw in their last five matches, suggesting they are capable of capitalising on their momentum. Key stats include their ability to score goals, which has been evident in their previous performances. On the other hand, Alanyaspor finds themselves in a mid-table position and has struggled recently, managing only one win in their last five matches. Their form shows inconsistency, with two draws and two losses, which could hinder their ability to secure points early in the season. The lack of a solid start might impact their confidence as they face a more formidable opponent. According to the model, Beşiktaş has a higher win probability, which is reflected in the projected score and their overall standing. However, a potential caveat is that early-season matches can be unpredictable, and any slip in performance could lead to an upset. For a deeper understanding of the prediction, the full methodology can be found in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section. This analysis is brought to you by The Daily Punt Analysis Team, who utilise an in-house model that assesses fixtures through expected goals and actual results.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (3.1 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 15.6% probability.
Beşiktaş have been the stronger side, winning 52% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 15.6% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.
Lines averaged across 6 bookmakers. Beşiktaş are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Alanyaspor vs Beşiktaş| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 3.65 | 3.70 | 1.90 | 1.70 | 2.10 | 1.62 | 2.15 | |
| 4.55 | 3.58 | 1.75 | 1.92 | 1.85 | 1.82 | 1.86 | |
| 4.75 | 3.50 | 1.73 | 1.90 | 1.87 | 1.80 | 2.00 | |
| 4.82 | 3.72 | 1.79 | 2.00 | 1.89 | — | — | |
| 4.17 | 3.39 | 1.75 | 1.98 | 1.86 | — | — | |
| 4.33 | 3.40 | 1.75 | — | — | 1.80 | 1.91 | |
| 4.75 | 3.60 | 1.73 | 1.95 | 1.85 | 1.80 | 1.91 | |
| 4.72 | 3.72 | 1.82 | 1.98 | 1.90 | 1.82 | 1.88 | |
| 4.20 | 3.55 | 1.76 | 1.73 | 1.96 | 1.67 | 2.04 | |
| 3.60 | 3.40 | 1.91 | 1.75 | 2.00 | 1.65 | 2.15 | |
Betano | 4.90 | 3.75 | 1.80 | 1.98 | 1.87 | 1.85 | 1.90 |
Superbet | 4.50 | 3.65 | 1.77 | 1.97 | 1.85 | 1.87 | 1.87 |
BetVictor | 4.60 | 3.60 | 1.73 | 1.90 | 1.78 | 1.83 | 1.85 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 10 Meetings (Beşiktaş leads 3-2)The head-to-head record between Alanyaspor and Beşiktaş shows Alanyaspor winning 2 matches, Beşiktaş winning 3, and 5 matches ending in a draw over the last 10 encounters. The scorelines indicate a competitive rivalry, with several tight matches, including four draws and multiple one-goal margins. Notably, Beşiktaş has recorded two significant wins with scores of 3-0 and 4-1, showcasing their ability to dominate at times. Alanyaspor's last victory in this matchup occurred in December 2023, suggesting that while they can win, consistency has been a challenge against Beşiktaş.
Süper Lig Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Galatasaray | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 10 | WWWD |
| 2 | Beşiktaş | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 9 | WWLW |
| 3 |  Kocaelispor | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 9 | WWWL |
| 4 |  Trabzonspor | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 7 | WLWD |
| 5 |  Amed | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 7 | DWLW |
| 6 |  Gençlerbirliği S.K. | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 7 | LDWW |
| 12 | Alanyaspor | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 4 | LWD |
| 16 |  Eyüpspor | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 6 | -4 | 3 | LWLL |
| 17 |  Göztepe | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 1 | LLD |
| 18 |  Konyaspor | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 8 | -5 | 0 | LLLL |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonAlanyaspor have won 4 of their last 12 matches at home, drawing 3 and losing 5. Their recent home fixtures include beat Alanyaspor 1-0 and drew with Alanyaspor 2-2.
Overall, the wider run reads 5W 8D 10L from the last 23 games (22% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Beşiktaş have won 7 of their last 18 matches on the road, drawing 5 and losing 6. Their recent away fixtures include beat Beşiktaş 1-2 and lost to Kauno Žalgiris 1-0.
Overall, the wider run reads 17W 7D 9L from the last 33 games (52% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
ConfirmedAlanyaspor3-4-3Confirmed
Beşiktaş4-1-4-1Confirmed
Unavailable Players
1 playerAlanyaspor
No reported absences
Beşiktaş1
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
A. D. Kayatepe has been appointed as the referee for this fixture. We don't yet have enough recent fixtures officiated by A. D. Kayatepe to give a confident card-market projection. Our default lean is under 3.5 yellow cards at 1.95.
Corner Prediction
Alanyaspor have averaged 4.7 corners per match at home; Beşiktaş 5.5 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 6.1 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Beşiktaş have generated 1.57 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 52% of them. They put 5.0 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Beşiktaş player to score or assist at 1.55 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
