Alanyaspor vs Göztepe Prediction, Tips & Odds
Alanyaspor vs Göztepe
Match Preview
The model favours Alanyaspor to win against Göztepe, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. Alanyaspor currently sits in 10th position in the Süper Lig with 4 points from their three matches. Their goal difference is neutral, indicating a balanced performance so far, with three goals scored and three conceded. The team's form has been mixed, with one win, two draws, and one loss in their last five matches, but they have shown potential to improve as the season progresses. In contrast, Göztepe finds themselves in a precarious 16th position, having earned just 1 point from their opening three games. With a goal difference of -2, their defensive vulnerabilities are evident, having conceded 7 goals while only scoring 5. Their recent form includes one win, two draws, and two losses, which highlights their struggles to secure victories. Göztepe will need to tighten their defence and improve their attacking efficiency to turn their fortunes around. The model gives Alanyaspor a win probability of approximately 60%, suggesting a solid chance of victory. However, a key concern for Alanyaspor could be their inconsistency in form, which may allow Göztepe to exploit any defensive lapses. For a detailed explanation of how we reached this prediction, please refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section. The Daily Punt Analysis Team employs an in-house model that evaluates fixtures through expected goals and actual results across the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Alanyaspor manage games at home, conceding just 1.52 goals per match. Göztepe score 1.41 on the road.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 17.0% probability.
Alanyaspor have been the stronger side, winning 22% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 17.0% probability. 3 of the top six outcomes feature Alanyaspor clean sheets, in line with their 22% clean-sheet rate this season.
Lines averaged across 6 bookmakers. Alanyaspor are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Alanyaspor vs Göztepe| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 2.40 | 3.25 | 2.90 | 2.10 | 1.70 | 1.80 | 1.90 | |
| 2.18 | 3.26 | 3.26 | 1.97 | 1.81 | 1.74 | 1.95 | |
| 2.15 | 3.20 | 3.30 | 1.90 | 1.87 | 1.67 | 2.15 | |
| 2.26 | 3.34 | 3.41 | 2.05 | 1.85 | — | — | |
| 2.16 | 3.12 | 3.05 | 2.04 | 1.80 | — | — | |
| 2.15 | 3.10 | 3.25 | — | — | 1.73 | 2.05 | |
| 2.15 | 3.40 | 3.10 | 2.00 | 1.80 | 1.73 | 2.00 | |
| 2.27 | 3.39 | 3.39 | 2.03 | 1.86 | 1.74 | 1.98 | |
| 2.50 | 3.10 | 2.90 | 2.30 | 1.54 | 1.92 | 1.76 | |
Betano | 2.18 | 3.30 | 3.25 | 2.02 | 1.85 | 1.75 | 2.00 |
BetVictor | 2.15 | 3.25 | 3.13 | 1.92 | 1.76 | 1.75 | 1.95 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 10 Meetings (Alanyaspor leads 4-1)In the last 10 matches between Alanyaspor and Göztepe, Alanyaspor has won 4 times, drawn 5, and Göztepe has won once. The scorelines indicate a competitive rivalry, with five matches ending in draws and several closely contested games, such as the 2-2 and 3-3 results. Alanyaspor has managed to secure narrow victories, including a 1-0 win on two occasions, while Göztepe's lone win came in a tight 1-0 match. Göztepe has not won against Alanyaspor since December 2020, highlighting Alanyaspor's recent upper hand in this fixture.
Süper Lig Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Galatasaray | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 10 | WWWD |
| 2 |  Beşiktaş | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 9 | WWLW |
| 3 |  Kocaelispor | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 9 | WWWL |
| 4 |  Trabzonspor | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 7 | WLWD |
| 5 |  Amed | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 7 | DWLW |
| 6 |  Gençlerbirliği S.K. | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 7 | LDWW |
| 12 | Alanyaspor | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 4 | LWD |
| 16 |  Eyüpspor | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 6 | -4 | 3 | LWLL |
| 17 | Göztepe | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 1 | LLD |
| 18 |  Konyaspor | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 8 | -5 | 0 | LLLL |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonAlanyaspor have won 4 of their last 12 matches at home, drawing 3 and losing 5. Their recent home fixtures include beat Alanyaspor 1-0 and drew with Alanyaspor 2-2.
Overall, the wider run reads 5W 8D 10L from the last 23 games (22% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Göztepe have won 5 of their last 13 matches on the road, drawing 4 and losing 4. Their recent away fixtures include lost to Göztepe 3-2 and beat Zorya Luhansk 1-2.
Overall, the wider run reads 12W 9D 6L from the last 27 games (44% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
ConfirmedAlanyaspor3-4-3Confirmed
Göztepe3-4-1-2Confirmed
Unavailable Players
0 playersAlanyaspor
No reported absences
Göztepe
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
O. Ergun has been appointed as the referee for this fixture. We don't yet have enough recent fixtures officiated by O. Ergun to give a confident card-market projection. Our default lean is under 3.5 yellow cards at 1.95.
Corner Prediction
Alanyaspor have averaged 4.7 corners per match at home; Göztepe 4.5 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 5.6 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Alanyaspor have generated 0.96 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 22% of them. They put 3.7 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Alanyaspor player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
