Amed vs Başakşehir Prediction, Tips & Odds
Amed vs Başakşehir
Match Preview
The model favours Başakşehir to win this match against Amed, with a projected scoreline of 2-1. Başakşehir currently sits in 7th place in the league standings, having played three matches this season. They have secured one win, one draw, and one loss, scoring four goals while conceding three. Their early-season form includes a recent win, which may serve as a confidence booster. Amed, on the other hand, is positioned 12th with a mixed record of one win and one loss from their two matches played. They have scored three goals and conceded two, showcasing a positive goal difference. Their form in the last five matches indicates some stability, with two wins, two draws, and one loss, which suggests they can be competitive in this fixture. The model output indicates a win probability favouring Başakşehir, although the specifics are not provided. Given their stronger league position and form, they are seen as the more likely victors. However, Amed's home advantage and recent form could pose challenges for Başakşehir. For a deeper understanding of how we reached this prediction, please refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section. The Daily Punt Analysis Team employs an in-house model that evaluates fixtures through expected goals and actual results across the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (3.9 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 15.8% probability.
Amed have been the stronger side, winning 46% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 15.8% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.
Lines averaged across 6 bookmakers. Amed are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Amed vs Başakşehir| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 2.62 | 3.50 | 2.50 | 1.80 | 2.00 | 1.62 | 2.15 | |
| 2.47 | 3.44 | 2.66 | 1.74 | 2.05 | 1.57 | 2.22 | |
| 2.45 | 3.40 | 2.70 | 1.73 | 2.10 | 1.57 | 2.38 | |
| 2.52 | 3.56 | 2.81 | 1.76 | 2.15 | — | — | |
| 2.38 | 3.05 | 2.48 | 1.82 | 2.00 | — | — | |
| 2.45 | 3.30 | 2.62 | — | — | 1.62 | 2.15 | |
| 2.40 | 3.40 | 2.62 | 1.73 | 2.08 | 1.62 | 2.20 | |
| 2.57 | 3.58 | 2.76 | 1.79 | 2.11 | 1.57 | 2.26 | |
Betano | 2.45 | 3.45 | 2.70 | 1.78 | 2.10 | 1.60 | 2.25 |
BetVictor | 2.45 | 3.50 | 2.63 | 1.68 | 2.02 | 1.55 | 2.25 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 2 Meetings (evenly matched 0-0)The head-to-head record between Amed and Başakşehir shows that both teams have drawn twice, with neither side securing a win. The scorelines of 2-2 in both encounters indicate a competitive balance, suggesting that the matches have been closely contested. There have been no narrow victories or heavy wins, and the absence of a winning side highlights a lack of decisive outcomes in their meetings. With both matches occurring in the Türkiye Kupası, the historical fixtures reflect a stalemate, with each team having opportunities to claim victory but ultimately settling for draws.
Süper Lig Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Galatasaray | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 10 | WWWD |
| 2 |  Beşiktaş | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 9 | WWLW |
| 3 |  Kocaelispor | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 9 | WWWL |
| 4 |  Trabzonspor | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 7 | WLWD |
| 5 | Amed | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 7 | DWLW |
| 6 |  Gençlerbirliği S.K. | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 7 | LDWW |
| 10 | Başakşehir | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 4 | LDLW |
| 16 |  Eyüpspor | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 6 | -4 | 3 | LWLL |
| 17 |  Göztepe | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 1 | LLD |
| 18 |  Konyaspor | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 8 | -5 | 0 | LLLL |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonAmed have won 4 of their last 6 matches at home, drawing 2 and losing 0. Their recent home fixtures include beat Amed 2-1 and beat Amed 2-0.
Overall, the wider run reads 6W 5D 2L from the last 13 games (46% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Başakşehir have won 7 of their last 15 matches on the road, drawing 3 and losing 5. Their recent away fixtures include lost to Trabzonspor 2-1 and lost to Inter Turku 2-0.
Overall, the wider run reads 13W 7D 8L from the last 28 games (46% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
ConfirmedAmed3-4-2-1Confirmed
Başakşehir4-2-3-1Confirmed
Unavailable Players
0 playersAmed
No reported absences
Başakşehir
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
C. Aydin has been appointed as the referee for this fixture. We don't yet have enough recent fixtures officiated by C. Aydin to give a confident card-market projection. Our default lean is under 3.5 yellow cards at 1.95.
Corner Prediction
Amed have averaged 8.4 corners per match at home; Başakşehir 4.8 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 7.6 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Amed have generated 1.79 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 46% of them. They put 5.7 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Amed player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
