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Amed vs Trabzonspor Prediction, Tips & Odds

Amed vs Trabzonspor

Süper LigRegular Season - 3
Amed
#5 · Süper Lig
DWLWD
2 - 1
Diyarbakir Stadium
Referee: A. Karaoglan
Trabzonspor
#4 · Süper Lig
LLWLL
★ OUR PICK
Both Teams to Score
Both attacks have been productive and both defences leaky — both teams to score carries the edge.
BTTS
1.62
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.56 (implied 63.9%) for Both Teams to Score. Our experts calculate a 66.4% probability (an expert ratio of 1.51). We chose this bet because our experts rate it more likely than the bookmaker price implies (66.4% vs 63.9%), driven by both attacks scoring freely while both defences look leaky. That edge makes it our most confident selection for this match.

Match Preview

The model favours Amed to win against Trabzonspor, projecting a scoreline of 2-0. Amed currently sits at the top of the Süper Lig standings after one match, having secured a convincing victory with three goals scored and none conceded. Their strong start is underpinned by a positive goal difference of three, which reflects their attacking prowess and solid defensive performance. In contrast, Trabzonspor finds themselves in 13th position, having played one match that ended in a draw. With one goal scored and one conceded, their early season form suggests a struggle to find consistency, as evidenced by their recent trend of just one win in their last five matches. This lack of form could be a concern as they face a confident Amed side. The model output indicates a win probability of 65% for Amed, with a projected score of 2-0. However, one caveat to consider is that early-season matches can often yield unpredictable results, and Trabzonspor may yet find their rhythm. For a detailed understanding of how we reached this prediction, please refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section. This analysis is brought to you by The Daily Punt Analysis Team, which employs an in-house model that evaluates fixtures through expected goals and actual results across the season.

Betting Predictions

How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.

Match Result
Amed Win41%3.27
Draw22%3.59
Trabzonspor Win37%2.07
BTTS
Both Teams to Score: Yes
1.5659.3%

Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.

Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 Goals
1.6756.9%

Combined goal output is high (3.6 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.

Correct Score
Amed 1-1 Trabzonspor
6.5915.3%

The most likely scoreline per our model at 15.3% probability.

Asian Handicap
Amed -0.5
3.1335%

Amed have been the stronger side, winning 46% of their matches.

CORRECT SCOREMost likely outcomes
1-1
6.59
15.3%
1-2
7.88
12.8%
0-1
8.54
11.8%
0-2
10.36
9.8%
2-1
10.48
9.7%
2-2
11.38
8.9%

Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 15.3% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.

ASIAN HANDICAPLines & prices
Amed
-0.0
2.45
Trabzonspor
+0.0
1.54
Amed
-0.3
3.00
Trabzonspor
+0.3
1.78
Amed
-0.5
3.13
Trabzonspor
+0.5
1.97
Amed
-1.5
6.50
Trabzonspor
+1.5
3.75

Lines averaged across 6 bookmakers. Amed are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.

Best Betting Odds

Amed vs Trabzonspor
Bookmaker1X2O/U 2.5BTTS
1X2OverUnderYesNo
10Bet
3.353.652.001.652.201.552.30
Marathonbet
3.243.562.071.682.141.552.26
Betfair
3.203.502.101.602.201.502.40
Pinnacle
3.343.662.171.722.21
SBO
3.293.401.961.662.21
William Hill
3.103.402.101.572.25
Bet365
3.103.752.101.672.151.622.20
1xBet
3.373.702.151.732.201.552.30
Unibet
3.553.601.981.652.081.572.20
Betano
3.353.652.001.722.181.622.22
Superbet
3.203.602.121.682.201.592.27
BetVictor
3.133.602.101.652.071.532.30

Goals Probability

Avg. bookmaker odds
Over 0.5 Goals
92.2%
Over 1.5 Goals
78.2%
Over 2.5 Goals
56.9%
Over 3.5 Goals
35.1%

Double Chance

Bet covers two outcomes
1XAmed or Draw
63%1.75
12Amed or Trabzonspor
78%1.26
X2Draw or Trabzonspor
59%1.30

Head to Head

Last 1 Meetings (Amed leads 1-0)
1 Amed0 Draw0 Trabzonspor
31 Aug
Amed
2-1
Trabzonspor
Süper Lig

In their only recent encounter, Amed has a head-to-head record of 1 win and 0 draws against Trabzonspor. The match ended with a scoreline of 2-1 in favor of Amed, indicating a competitive contest. This narrow victory suggests that the two teams are closely matched, with Amed managing to secure a win without experiencing any draws in their limited history against Trabzonspor. Trabzonspor has yet to record a victory against Amed, which could add psychological pressure in future matchups.

Süper Lig Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1
Galatasaray
4310126610
WWWD
2
Beşiktaş
43019459
WWLW
3
Kocaelispor
43015329
WWWL
4
Trabzonspor
42119457
WLWD
5
Amed
42117527
DWLW
6
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
421147-37
LDWW
16
Eyüpspor
410326-43
LWLL
17
Göztepe
301257-21
LLD
18
Konyaspor
400438-50
LLLL

Venue Record

Current season at home / on the road
AmedHome
2W0D0L
2 playedGF 5 · GA 13.00 pts/game
TrabzonsporAway
0W1D1L
2 playedGF 2 · GA 30.50 pts/game

Key Statistics

2026 Season
AmedTrabzonspor
2.15Goals p.g.1.47
1.15Goals conceded p.g.1.23
31%Clean sheets20%
46%Win rate53%
3.31Avg goals in match2.7
1.79xG per game1.33
-1.20xGA per game-0.11
55%Possession %56%
5.7Shots on target / game4.4
8.4Corners per game5.7
Amed
Recent Form

Amed have won 4 of their last 6 matches at home, drawing 2 and losing 0. Their recent home fixtures include beat Amed 2-1 and beat Amed 2-0.

Overall, the wider run reads 6W 5D 2L from the last 13 games (46% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.

Match Results: AmedAll competitions
06 Sept
Kasımpaşa
2-2
Amed
Süper Lig
31 Aug
Amed
2-1
Trabzonspor
Süper Lig
24 Aug
Kocaelispor
2-0
Amed
Süper Lig
16 Jul
Amed
2-0
Dinamo Batumi
Friendlies Clubs
02 May
Iğdır FK
3-3
Amed
1. Lig
26 Apr
Amed
1-1
Bodrum FK
1. Lig
6
Win
46%
5
Draw
38%
2
Lost
15%
Trabzonspor
Recent Form

Trabzonspor have won 8 of their last 15 matches on the road, drawing 3 and losing 4. Their recent away fixtures include lost to Trabzonspor 2-1 and lost to Ferencvarosi TC 4-0.

Overall, the wider run reads 16W 5D 9L from the last 30 games (53% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.

Match Results: TrabzonsporAll competitions
31 Aug
Amed
2-1
Trabzonspor
Süper Lig
27 Aug
Ferencvarosi TC
4-0
Trabzonspor
UEFA Europa League
23 Aug
Trabzonspor
2-1
Başakşehir
Süper Lig
20 Aug
Trabzonspor
0-1
Ferencvarosi TC
UEFA Europa League
08 Aug
Göztepe
2-1
Trabzonspor
Friendlies Clubs
02 Aug
Trabzonspor
1-0
Udinese
Friendlies Clubs
16
Win
53%
5
Draw
17%
9
Lost
30%

Lineups

📋

Lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.

Unavailable Players

6 players

Amed1

M. Yildirim
Missing FixtureInactive

Trabzonspor5

A. Batagov
Missing FixtureKnee Injury
B. Bouchouari
Missing FixtureInactive
O. Yokuslu
Missing FixtureLacking Match Fitness
R. Malinovskyi
Missing FixtureInactive
T. Jabol-Folcarelli
Missing FixtureKnee Injury

Betting Strategy

High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.

High Probability
Over 2.5 Goals1.67 (56.9%)
Both Teams Score1.56 (59.3%)
Value Bets
Amed Win3.27 (40.9%)
Trabzonspor Win2.07 (36.9%)
Under 2.5 Goals2.17 (43.1%)
BTTS No2.27 (40.7%)
Speculative
Draw3.59 (22.2%)

Yellow Card Prediction

A. Karaoglan has averaged 5.0 yellow cards per match across 2 recent fixtures we have data for. Our pick is over 4.5 yellow cards at 1.85.

Corner Prediction

Amed have averaged 8.4 corners per match at home; Trabzonspor 5.7 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 8.1 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.

Player Stats Bet

Amed have generated 1.79 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 46% of them. They put 5.7 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Amed player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.

What's Your Prediction?

Pick the result you expect

OUR PREDICTION
Both Teams to Score Yes

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The Daily Punt Analysis Team

Data-driven football predictions and betting tips

This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.

Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.