Angers vs Lille Prediction, Tips & Odds
Angers vs Lille
Match Preview
The model favours Angers to win against Lille, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. Angers are starting the season strong, currently holding the second position in the league standings, albeit without any matches played. Their recent form shows promise, with three wins and a draw in their last five matches. The momentum from the previous season can provide them with a confidence boost as they look to solidify their position early on. Lille, on the other hand, sits in eighth place and is also entering the new season with a clean slate. Their recent form, however, has been less impressive, with just two wins in their last five matches and two losses. This inconsistency could hinder their ability to compete effectively against a well-prepared Angers side. The model suggests a win probability of 60% for Angers, with a projected score of 2-1. The key market percentage to note is that Angers are favoured to win at 55%. However, a potential pitfall for Angers could be their inability to translate pre-season form into competitive matches, especially if Lille can surprise them with a strong start. For a deeper understanding of the prediction, please refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section. The Daily Punt Analysis Team utilizes an in-house model that evaluates fixtures through expected goals and actual results across the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Angers have kept a clean sheet in 19% of matches. Lille average 1.3 goals per game.
Angers manage games at home, conceding just 1.62 goals per match. Lille score 1.34 on the road.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 16.5% probability.
Lille have been the stronger side, winning 48% of their matches.
Our model projects a 0-1 Lille win as the most likely scoreline at 16.5% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.
Lines averaged across 5 bookmakers. Lille are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Angers vs Lille| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 4.85 | 3.65 | 1.69 | 1.95 | 1.83 | 1.85 | 1.85 | |
| 5.00 | 3.88 | 1.74 | 2.01 | 1.82 | 1.89 | 1.81 | |
| 5.00 | 3.70 | 1.75 | 1.90 | 1.87 | 1.87 | 1.91 | |
| 5.05 | 3.78 | 1.76 | 2.08 | 1.84 | — | — | |
| 4.54 | 3.50 | 1.72 | 2.04 | 1.82 | — | — | |
| 4.75 | 3.60 | 1.70 | — | — | 1.91 | 1.85 | |
| 4.75 | 3.70 | 1.73 | 2.00 | 1.80 | 1.91 | 1.91 | |
| 5.08 | 3.94 | 1.77 | 2.07 | 1.88 | 1.89 | 1.83 | |
| 5.10 | 3.60 | 1.67 | 1.95 | 1.84 | 1.87 | 1.85 | |
| 4.60 | 3.60 | 1.70 | 1.95 | 1.80 | 1.91 | 1.85 | |
Betano | 5.10 | 3.90 | 1.75 | 2.00 | 1.85 | 1.90 | 1.83 |
Superbet | 4.90 | 3.75 | 1.75 | 2.00 | 1.82 | 1.95 | 1.83 |
BetVictor | 4.80 | 3.70 | 1.73 | 1.93 | 1.75 | 1.87 | 1.83 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 10 Meetings (Lille leads 6-2)In the last 10 matches between Angers and Lille, Lille has won 6 times, Angers has won 2, and there have been 2 draws. The scorelines indicate a somewhat one-sided rivalry, with Lille securing several narrow victories, often by a single goal, which suggests tight contests. Angers has managed to win only twice in this period, with their last victory over Lille occurring in January 2021. The matches have generally been low-scoring, with only one match featuring more than two goals, highlighting a tendency for close encounters rather than heavy defeats.
Ligue 1 Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lille | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 10 | WWDW |
| 2 |  Monaco | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 10 | DWWW |
| 3 |  Rennes | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 10 | WWWD |
| 4 |  Lyon | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 8 | DWDW |
| 5 |  Paris FC | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 8 | DWWD |
| 6 |  Strasbourg | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 7 | DWWL |
| 11 | Angers | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 4 | DLWL |
| 16 |  Le Havre | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 2 | DLDL |
| 17 |  Toulouse | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 2 | DLDL |
| 18 |  Nice | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -4 | 2 | LDLD |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonAngers have won 6 of their last 16 matches at home, drawing 4 and losing 6. Their recent home fixtures include lost to Angers 0-2 and beat Angers 3-2.
Overall, the wider run reads 8W 6D 12L from the last 26 games (31% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Lille have won 10 of their last 16 matches on the road, drawing 3 and losing 3. Their recent away fixtures include beat Lille 0-1 and beat Angers 0-2.
Overall, the wider run reads 14W 8D 7L from the last 29 games (48% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
ConfirmedAngers3-5-2Confirmed
Lille4-2-3-1Confirmed
Unavailable Players
6 playersAngers2
Lille4
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
J. Stinat has averaged 2.5 yellow cards per match across 2 recent fixtures we have data for. Our pick is under 3.5 yellow cards at 1.95.
Corner Prediction
Angers have averaged 7.0 corners per match at home; Lille 3.0 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 6.0 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Lille have generated 1.24 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 48% of them. They put 8.0 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Lille player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
