Angers vs Rennes Prediction, Tips & Odds
Angers vs Rennes
Match Preview
The model favours Rennes to win against Angers, projecting a scoreline of 2-0. Rennes currently sits in 8th place in the league standings, having played just one match this season. Their opening game resulted in a draw, where they scored two goals but also conceded two, indicating a balanced attack and defense. Despite their poor recent form, with no wins in their last five matches, they have shown the ability to find the back of the net. On the other hand, Angers is positioned 16th after their first match of the season, which ended in a loss. They have yet to score a goal, and their goal difference stands at -2. Angers’ recent form shows a mixed bag, with three wins in their last five matches, but they will need to translate that form into this season to improve their standing. Their lack of scoring in the opening match raises concerns about their attacking capabilities. According to the model, Rennes has a win probability of around 55%, suggesting a solid chance of taking all three points. However, it is important to note that if Angers can capitalize on any defensive lapses from Rennes, it could lead to a surprising outcome. The full methodology of our predictions can be found in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, where the analysis is based on expected goals and actual results across the season, conducted by The Daily Punt Analysis Team.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (2.9 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 14.5% probability.
Rennes have been the stronger side, winning 50% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 14.5% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.
Lines averaged across 6 bookmakers. Rennes are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Angers vs Rennes| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 3.80 | 3.75 | 1.85 | 1.67 | 2.15 | 1.60 | 2.20 | |
| 4.05 | 4.00 | 1.87 | 1.60 | 2.38 | 1.53 | 2.34 | |
| 3.90 | 3.90 | 1.87 | 1.62 | 2.25 | 1.57 | 2.30 | |
| 4.07 | 3.99 | 1.88 | 1.61 | 2.44 | — | — | |
| 3.41 | 3.36 | 1.86 | 1.61 | 2.29 | — | — | |
| 3.75 | 3.70 | 1.83 | — | — | 1.60 | 2.30 | |
| 4.00 | 3.75 | 1.83 | 1.62 | 2.30 | 1.57 | 2.25 | |
| 4.12 | 4.07 | 1.90 | 1.65 | 2.45 | 1.53 | 2.37 | |
| 3.75 | 3.65 | 1.88 | 1.73 | 2.08 | 1.62 | 2.20 | |
Betano | 3.90 | 3.80 | 1.88 | 1.67 | 2.25 | 1.60 | 2.27 |
Superbet | 3.90 | 3.80 | 1.92 | 1.66 | 2.22 | 1.61 | 2.30 |
BetVictor | 3.90 | 3.90 | 1.83 | 1.55 | 2.25 | 1.50 | 2.40 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 10 Meetings (Rennes leads 7-1)In the last 10 matches between Angers and Rennes, Rennes has won 7 times, Angers has won once, and there has been 1 draw. This record indicates a strong advantage for Rennes, particularly highlighted by their consistent ability to secure victories. The scorelines reflect a mix of tight contests and more decisive victories, with several matches ending in Rennes winning by two or more goals. Angers' sole win came in August 2021, and they have struggled to find success against Rennes since, which underscores a lopsided trend in this fixture.
Ligue 1 Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Lille | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 10 | WWDW |
| 2 |  Monaco | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 10 | DWWW |
| 3 | Rennes | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 10 | WWWD |
| 4 |  Lyon | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 8 | DWDW |
| 5 |  Paris FC | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 8 | DWWD |
| 6 |  Strasbourg | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 7 | DWWL |
| 11 | Angers | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 4 | DLWL |
| 16 |  Le Havre | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 2 | DLDL |
| 17 |  Toulouse | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 2 | DLDL |
| 18 |  Nice | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -4 | 2 | LDLD |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonAngers have won 6 of their last 16 matches at home, drawing 4 and losing 6. Their recent home fixtures include lost to Angers 0-2 and beat Angers 3-2.
Overall, the wider run reads 8W 6D 12L from the last 26 games (31% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Rennes have won 6 of their last 13 matches on the road, drawing 1 and losing 6. Their recent away fixtures include beat Angers 1-2 and lost to Sunderland 2-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 15W 4D 11L from the last 30 games (50% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
ConfirmedAngers4-2-3-1Confirmed
Rennes4-3-3Confirmed
Unavailable Players
4 playersAngers2
Rennes2
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
G. Kubler has been appointed as the referee for this fixture. We don't yet have enough recent fixtures officiated by G. Kubler to give a confident card-market projection. Our default lean is under 3.5 yellow cards at 1.95.
Corner Prediction
Angers have averaged 7.0 corners per match at home; Rennes 8.0 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 8.5 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Rennes have generated 1.66 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 50% of them. They put 5.5 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Rennes player to score or assist at 1.55 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
