Antwerp vs St. Truiden Prediction, Tips & Odds
Antwerp vs St. Truiden
Match Preview
The model favours Antwerp to win against St. Truiden, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. Antwerp currently sits in second place in the league, having won both of their opening matches this season, scoring five goals and conceding only one. Their strong goal difference of plus four reflects a solid attacking performance combined with a robust defence, making them one of the teams to watch early in the season. On the other hand, St. Truiden is positioned 12th, having yet to secure a victory after two matches, with two draws and four goals scored against them. While they have managed to find the net, their inability to convert draws into wins suggests a struggle to close out matches, which could prove detrimental as they seek to climb the standings. According to our model, Antwerp has a win probability of approximately 60%, with a projected score of 2-1. However, one caveat is that if St. Truiden can improve their finishing and tighten their defence, they could potentially upset the balance. Our predictions are based on an in-house model that analyses expected goals and actual results throughout the season, providing a data-driven insight into upcoming matches.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (2.8 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 16.3% probability.
Antwerp have been the stronger side, winning 34% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 16.3% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.
Lines averaged across 4 bookmakers. Antwerp are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Antwerp vs St. Truiden| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 2.45 | 3.60 | 2.62 | 1.80 | 2.00 | 1.62 | 2.10 | |
| 2.48 | 3.35 | 2.70 | 1.80 | 1.98 | 1.61 | 2.15 | |
| 2.38 | 3.50 | 2.55 | — | — | — | — | |
| 2.53 | 3.43 | 2.76 | 1.83 | 2.02 | — | — | |
| 2.45 | 3.30 | 2.62 | — | — | 1.62 | 2.15 | |
| 2.54 | 3.43 | 2.76 | 1.82 | 2.00 | 1.61 | 2.18 | |
Betano | 2.55 | 3.35 | 2.77 | 1.83 | 2.02 | 1.62 | 2.22 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 10 Meetings (Antwerp leads 5-1)In the last ten matches between Antwerp and St. Truiden, Antwerp has won 5 times, there have been 4 draws, and St. Truiden has won just once. The scorelines indicate a competitive rivalry, with several matches ending in draws and a mix of narrow and more decisive victories for Antwerp, highlighted by a 6-1 win in August 2024. St. Truiden's only victory came in November 2025, showcasing their struggle against Antwerp, as they have not won in their last eight encounters. Overall, the head-to-head record leans in favor of Antwerp, but the presence of draws suggests that St. Truiden can challenge effectively.
Jupiler Pro League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Club Brugge KV | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 7 | 9 | WWW |
| 2 |  Charleroi | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 9 | WWW |
| 3 |  Zulte Waregem | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 7 | WDW |
| 4 | Antwerp | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 7 | DWW |
| 5 |  Gent | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 6 | WW |
| 6 |  Standard Liege | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 5 | WDD |
| 12 | St. Truiden | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | DD |
| 16 |  OH Leuven | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | -5 | 0 | LL |
| 17 |  Kortrijk | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 | -6 | 0 | LL |
| 18 |  KVC Westerlo | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 12 | -9 | 0 | LLL |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonAntwerp have won 5 of their last 14 matches at home, drawing 3 and losing 6. Their recent home fixtures include drew with Genk 4-4 and beat SK Beveren 2-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 11W 6D 15L from the last 32 games (34% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
St. Truiden have won 10 of their last 20 matches on the road, drawing 3 and losing 7. Their recent away fixtures include drew with Cercle Brugge 3-3 and lost to AEK Athens FC 3-0.
Overall, the wider run reads 18W 5D 10L from the last 33 games (55% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersAntwerp
No reported absences
St. Truiden
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.
Corner Prediction
Antwerp have averaged 3.0 corners per match at home; St. Truiden 6.2 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 5.6 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Antwerp have generated 1.45 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 34% of them. They put 4.5 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Antwerp player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.
What's Your Prediction?
Pick the result you expect
Do you agree with this prediction?
The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
