Argentinos JRS vs Aldosivi Prediction, Tips & Odds
Argentinos JRS vs Aldosivi
Match Preview
The model favours Argentinos JRS to win against Aldosivi, projecting a scoreline of 2-0. Argentinos JRS currently sits in 3rd place in the Liga Profesional Argentina standings, having accumulated 29 points from 16 matches with a record of 8 wins, 5 draws, and 3 losses. Their goal difference of +4 is bolstered by scoring 17 goals while conceding 13. They have shown strong recent form, winning four of their last five matches, indicating a solid attack and a resilient defence. In contrast, Aldosivi finds themselves struggling in 14th place, with no wins to their name this season (0 wins, 8 draws, and 8 losses). Their performance has been particularly concerning, as they have managed to score only 6 goals while conceding 19, resulting in a goal difference of -13. Their recent form is troubling as well, with five matches yielding just two draws and three losses, highlighting their difficulties in both attack and defence. The model output indicates a win probability of Argentinos JRS at approximately 70%, with a projected score of 2-0. However, a potential caveat is the possibility of complacency from Argentinos JRS, which could allow Aldosivi to capitalize on any defensive lapses. The full method used for this prediction is detailed in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, developed by The Daily Punt Analysis Team through an in-house model that evaluates expected goals and actual results throughout the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Argentinos JRS have kept a clean sheet in 48% of matches. Aldosivi average 0.8 goals per game.
Argentinos JRS manage games at home, conceding just 0.78 goals per match. Aldosivi score 0.80 on the road.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 21.1% probability.
Argentinos JRS have been the stronger side, winning 56% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-0 Argentinos JRS win as the most likely scoreline at 21.1% probability. 4 of the top six outcomes feature Argentinos JRS clean sheets, in line with their 48% clean-sheet rate this season.
Lines averaged across 2 bookmakers. Argentinos JRS are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Argentinos JRS vs Aldosivi| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 1.39 | 4.05 | 9.40 | 2.19 | 1.65 | 2.51 | 1.45 | |
| 1.40 | 4.10 | 9.00 | — | — | — | — | |
| 1.40 | 3.75 | 8.50 | — | — | 2.50 | 1.44 | |
| 1.36 | 4.20 | 9.50 | 2.20 | 1.65 | 2.62 | 1.44 | |
| 1.42 | 4.12 | 9.55 | 2.21 | 1.67 | 2.51 | 1.46 | |
| 1.38 | 4.20 | 9.00 | 2.08 | 1.71 | 2.30 | 1.55 | |
Betano | 1.40 | 4.20 | 10.25 | 2.30 | 1.65 | 2.65 | 1.44 |
BetVictor | 1.36 | 4.40 | 10.00 | 2.12 | 1.62 | 2.55 | 1.44 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 10 Meetings (Argentinos JRS leads 6-3)In the last 10 matches between Argentinos JRS and Aldosivi, Argentinos JRS has won 6 times, while Aldosivi has secured 3 victories, with no draws recorded. The scorelines indicate a tendency for Argentinos JRS to achieve narrow wins, with four matches decided by a single goal. However, they have also delivered some heavier defeats to Aldosivi, including a 4-1 victory. Aldosivi's last win against Argentinos JRS came in March 2021, suggesting a recent trend in favor of Argentinos JRS in this matchup. Overall, the record reflects a competitive rivalry, but Argentinos JRS holds the upper hand historically.
Liga Profesional Argentina Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Estudiantes L.P. | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 31 | LWLLW |
| 1 |  Independ. Rivadavia | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 29 | 15 | 14 | 34 | DLWLW |
| 2 |  Boca Juniors | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 22 | 9 | 13 | 30 | DDWDL |
| 2 |  River Plate | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 12 | 10 | 29 | WLLLL |
| 3 | Argentinos JRS | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 17 | 13 | 4 | 29 | LWWWW |
| 3 |  Velez Sarsfield | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 18 | 12 | 6 | 28 | DDWWW |
| 14 | Aldosivi | 16 | 0 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 19 | -13 | 8 | LDLLL |
| 15 |  Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto | 16 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 5 | 24 | -19 | 5 | DLLDL |
| 15 |  Deportivo Riestra | 16 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 12 | -7 | 11 | DLWLL |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonArgentinos JRS have won 10 of their last 16 matches at home, drawing 5 and losing 1. Their recent home fixtures include beat Argentinos JRS 2-1 and beat Argentinos JRS 3-0.
Overall, the wider run reads 15W 7D 5L from the last 27 games (56% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Aldosivi have won 1 of their last 12 matches on the road, drawing 2 and losing 9. Their recent away fixtures include lost to Rosario Central 2-1 and lost to Barracas Central 1-0.
Overall, the wider run reads 3W 10D 12L from the last 25 games (12% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersArgentinos JRS
No reported absences
Aldosivi
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.
Corner Prediction
Argentinos JRS have averaged 5.6 corners per match at home; Aldosivi 3.7 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 5.7 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Argentinos JRS have generated 1.52 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 56% of them. They put 5.3 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Argentinos JRS player to score or assist at 1.55 looks well supported by the data.
What's Your Prediction?
Pick the result you expect
Do you agree with this prediction?
The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
