Atletico Tucuman vs Belgrano Cordoba Prediction, Tips & Odds
Atletico Tucuman vs Belgrano Cordoba
Match Preview
The model favours Belgrano Cordoba to win this match, projecting a scoreline of 2-1 against Atletico Tucuman. Belgrano currently sits in a strong fifth position in the league standings, having accumulated 26 points from 16 matches. Their season has been marked by a solid offensive and defensive balance, scoring 17 goals while conceding only 13, resulting in a positive goal difference of 4. Recently, they have shown good form with three wins in their last five matches, highlighting their competitiveness. Atletico Tucuman, on the other hand, is positioned 13th with just 14 points. Their campaign has been challenging, as they have only managed three wins and have a negative goal difference of -5, having conceded 20 goals while scoring 15. Their recent form includes two wins, two draws, and one loss in their last five games, which suggests some potential for improvement but overall reflects a struggle to maintain consistency throughout the season. The model output indicates a win probability of around 60% for Belgrano Cordoba, reflecting their stronger season performance. However, a potential caveat is that if Atletico Tucuman can leverage home advantage effectively, they could disrupt Belgrano's rhythm. For a detailed breakdown of how we arrived at this prediction, please refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section. The Daily Punt Analysis Team employs an in-house model that evaluates fixtures through expected goals and actual results across the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Atletico Tucuman have kept a clean sheet in 46% of matches. Belgrano Cordoba average 1.2 goals per game.
Atletico Tucuman manage games at home, conceding just 0.92 goals per match. Belgrano Cordoba score 1.20 on the road.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 17.8% probability.
Atletico Tucuman have been the stronger side, winning 35% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 17.8% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.
Lines averaged across 4 bookmakers. Atletico Tucuman are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Atletico Tucuman vs Belgrano Cordoba| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 2.79 | 2.93 | 2.68 | 2.54 | 1.41 | 2.11 | 1.63 | |
| 2.75 | 3.00 | 2.63 | — | — | — | — | |
| 2.70 | 2.88 | 2.80 | 2.88 | 1.40 | 2.20 | 1.62 | |
| 2.84 | 2.99 | 2.73 | 2.54 | 1.41 | 2.11 | 1.65 | |
| 2.85 | 2.95 | 2.70 | 2.70 | 1.44 | 2.12 | 1.64 | |
Betano | 2.80 | 2.92 | 2.85 | 2.75 | 1.47 | 2.12 | 1.67 |
BetVictor | 2.80 | 2.90 | 2.80 | 2.56 | 1.43 | 2.15 | 1.62 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 6 Meetings (Belgrano Cordoba leads 3-1)Belgrano Cordoba hold the edge in this fixture, winning 3 of the last 6 meetings with 2 draws and 1 Atletico Tucuman win. The record points to a tie Belgrano Cordoba have controlled for years, though the draws show Atletico Tucuman have at times kept it tight.
Liga Profesional Argentina Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Independ. Rivadavia | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 29 | 15 | 14 | 34 | DLWLW |
| 1 |  Estudiantes L.P. | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 31 | LWLLW |
| 2 |  River Plate | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 12 | 10 | 29 | WLLLL |
| 2 |  Boca Juniors | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 22 | 9 | 13 | 30 | DDWDL |
| 3 |  Argentinos JRS | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 17 | 13 | 4 | 29 | LWWWW |
| 3 |  Velez Sarsfield | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 18 | 12 | 6 | 28 | DDWWW |
| 5 | Belgrano Cordoba | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 17 | 13 | 4 | 26 | LWWDL |
| 13 | Atletico Tucuman | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 14 | DWLDW |
| 14 |  Aldosivi | 16 | 0 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 19 | -13 | 8 | LDLLL |
| 15 |  Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto | 16 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 5 | 24 | -19 | 5 | DLLDL |
| 15 |  Deportivo Riestra | 16 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 12 | -7 | 11 | DLWLL |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonAtletico Tucuman have won 4 of their last 13 matches at home, drawing 7 and losing 2. Their recent home fixtures include drew with Instituto Cordoba 0-0 and beat Independiente 4-0.
Overall, the wider run reads 9W 8D 9L from the last 26 games (35% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Belgrano Cordoba have won 6 of their last 15 matches on the road, drawing 6 and losing 3. Their recent away fixtures include lost to Racing Club 1-0 and beat Banfield 0-2.
Overall, the wider run reads 14W 9D 7L from the last 30 games (47% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersAtletico Tucuman
No reported absences
Belgrano Cordoba
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.
Corner Prediction
Atletico Tucuman have averaged 5.2 corners per match at home; Belgrano Cordoba 3.3 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 5.3 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Atletico Tucuman have generated 0.67 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 35% of them. They put 3.2 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Atletico Tucuman player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
