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Auda vs FCSB Prediction, Tips & Odds

Auda vs FCSB

UEFA Europa Conference League2nd Qualifying Round
Auda
WDLDW
4 - 1
Skonto stadions, Riga
Referee: T. Owen
FCSB
WLWWL
★ OUR PICK
Both Teams to Score
Both attacks have been productive and both defences leaky — both teams to score carries the edge.
BTTS
1.80
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.72 (implied 58.3%) for Both Teams to Score. Our experts calculate a 60.8% probability (an expert ratio of 1.65). We chose this bet because our experts rate it more likely than the bookmaker price implies (60.8% vs 58.3%), driven by both attacks scoring freely while both defences look leaky. That edge makes it our most confident selection for this match.

Match Preview

The model favours Auda to win against FCSB, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. Auda's recent form shows two wins, two draws, and one loss in their last five matches. This indicates a level of consistency that may give them an edge, especially when playing at home. Their ability to secure points in tight situations could be crucial in this matchup. FCSB, on the other hand, has struggled recently, managing only two wins in their last five matches, alongside one draw and two losses. This inconsistency could impact their confidence going into this fixture. Their recent performances suggest that they may be vulnerable, particularly against a side like Auda that is gaining momentum. The model outputs a win probability favouring Auda, reflecting their stronger recent form. However, one key caveat is that FCSB has the potential to surprise if they can find their rhythm and capitalize on any defensive lapses from Auda. The full method used for this prediction is detailed in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, where our in-house model evaluates expected goals and actual results throughout the season.

Betting Predictions

How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.

Match Result
Auda Win30%4.83
Draw21%4.05
FCSB Win49%1.58
BTTS
Both Teams to Score: Yes
1.7254.2%

Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.

Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 Goals
1.6853.5%

Combined goal output is high (2.9 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.

Correct Score
Auda 0-1 FCSB
6.7614.9%

The most likely scoreline per our model at 14.9% probability.

Asian Handicap
FCSB -0.0
1.2243%

FCSB have been the stronger side, winning 55% of their matches.

CORRECT SCOREMost likely outcomes
0-1
6.76
14.9%
1-2
7.17
14.1%
1-1
7.22
14.0%
0-2
7.32
13.9%
1-3
10.93
9.4%
0-3
11.20
9.1%

Our model projects a 0-1 FCSB win as the most likely scoreline at 14.9% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.

ASIAN HANDICAPLines & prices
Auda
-0.0
3.70
FCSB
+0.0
1.22
Auda
-0.5
4.30
FCSB
+0.5
1.59
Auda
-1.5
10.50
FCSB
+1.5
2.50

Lines averaged across 5 bookmakers. FCSB are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.

Best Betting Odds

Auda vs FCSB
Bookmaker1X2O/U 2.5BTTS
1X2OverUnderYesNo
10Bet
4.703.901.621.702.101.672.00
Marathonbet
5.054.251.551.672.141.702.01
Betfair
5.004.001.501.652.101.801.95
Pinnacle
4.574.291.561.662.16
SBO
4.523.601.551.702.08
William Hill
4.804.001.571.732.05
Bet365
4.504.001.571.702.101.732.00
1xBet
5.224.401.601.712.191.702.04
Unibet
5.003.901.601.612.121.652.07
Betano
4.754.101.621.702.101.751.98
Superbet
4.604.151.621.682.051.732.00
BetVictor
5.254.001.571.672.041.702.00

Goals Probability

Avg. bookmaker odds
Over 0.5 Goals
91.1%
Over 1.5 Goals
77.2%
Over 2.5 Goals
53.5%
Over 3.5 Goals
34.6%

Double Chance

Bet covers two outcomes
1XAuda or Draw
51%2.24
12Auda or FCSB
80%1.19
X2Draw or FCSB
70%1.15

Head to Head

Last 1 Meetings (Auda leads 1-0)
1 Auda0 Draw0 FCSB
23 Jul
FCSB
2-3
Auda
UEFA Europa Conference League

Auda has a head-to-head record of 1 win and 0 draws against FCSB, with FCSB yet to secure a victory. The only match between the two teams ended in a close 3-2 win for Auda, indicating a competitive encounter. This narrow scoreline suggests that while Auda emerged victorious, the match was tightly contested, with both teams capable of scoring. Since this was the only fixture recorded, FCSB has not had the opportunity to respond or improve upon their record against Auda.

Key Statistics

2026 Season
AudaFCSB
1.09Goals p.g.1.82
0.91Goals conceded p.g.1.55
45%Clean sheets27%
45%Win rate55%
2Avg goals in match3.36
xG per game2.09
Possession %55%
Shots on target / game5.6
Corners per game6.4
Auda
Recent Form

Auda have won 3 of their last 6 matches at home, drawing 1 and losing 2. Their recent home fixtures include beat FK Liepaja 1-0 and lost to Riga 0-2.

Overall, the wider run reads 5W 3D 3L from the last 11 games (45% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.

Match Results: AudaAll competitions
11 Jul
Auda
1-0
FK Liepaja
Cup
04 Jul
Rīgas FS
1-1
Auda
Virsliga
29 Jun
Auda
0-2
Riga
Virsliga
25 Jun
Grobiņa
0-0
Auda
Virsliga
21 Jun
Super Nova
0-2
Auda
Virsliga
17 Jun
Tukums
2-1
Auda
Virsliga
5
Win
45%
3
Draw
27%
3
Lost
27%
FCSB
Recent Form

FCSB have won 2 of their last 6 matches on the road, drawing 0 and losing 4. Their recent away fixtures include lost to Union St. Gilloise 4-0 and beat Dinamo Bucuresti 1-2.

Overall, the wider run reads 6W 1D 4L from the last 11 games (55% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.

Match Results: FCSBAll competitions
17 Jul
FCSB
2-0
Arges Pitesti
Liga I
05 Jul
Union St. Gilloise
4-0
FCSB
Friendlies Clubs
29 May
Dinamo Bucuresti
1-2
FCSB
Liga I
24 May
FCSB
4-3
FC Botosani
Liga I
18 May
AFC Hermannstadt
2-0
FCSB
Liga I
11 May
FCSB
0-0
Unirea Slobozia
Liga I
6
Win
55%
1
Draw
9%
4
Lost
36%

Lineups

Confirmed

Auda4-3-3Confirmed

71Oskars RubenisDEF
2Tin HrvojDEF
4Moussa OuedraogoDEF
47Kader KoneFWD
98Nils PurinsGK
25Barthelemy DiedhiouMID
18Ariel ArroyoMID
17Eduards DaskevicsMID
10Wally FofanaMID
20Youba TraoreMID
8Edvin BongembaMID
6Ralfs KragliksDEF
80Sebastian ArandaDEF
23Mohamoud FofanaFWD
7Andrews AppiahFWD
26Hénoc LuswekiFWD
12Niks Daniels AleksandrovsGK
1Raivo SturinsGK
46Jayen GeroldMID
77Jevgenijs MininsMID
14Hussaini IbrahimMID

FCSB4-3-3Confirmed

4Ricardo PădurariuDEF
5Joyskim DawaDEF
2Valentin CrețuDEF
33Risto RadunovićDEF
3André DuarteDEF
9Daniel BîrligeaFWD
32Ștefan TârnovanuGK
28Aymen BoutoutaouMID
10Florin TănaseMID
31Juri CisottiMID
7Octavian PopescuMID
97Ronny LabonneDEF
77Luca StancuDEF
21Dylan BatubinsikaDEF
20Dennis PoliticFWD
90Alexandru StoianFWD
98David PopaFWD
34Mihai UdreaGK
13Matei PopaGK
8Eddy GnahoréMID
22Mihai TomaMID
18João PauloMID

Unavailable Players

0 players

Auda

No reported absences

FCSB

No reported absences

Betting Strategy

High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.

Value Bets
Auda Win4.83 (30.3%)
FCSB Win1.58 (49.2%)
Over 2.5 Goals1.68 (53.5%)
Under 2.5 Goals2.11 (46.5%)
Both Teams Score1.72 (54.2%)
BTTS No2.01 (45.8%)
Speculative
Draw4.05 (20.5%)

Yellow Card Prediction

T. Owen has been appointed as the referee for this fixture. We don't yet have enough recent fixtures officiated by T. Owen to give a confident card-market projection. Our default lean is under 3.5 yellow cards at 1.95.

Corner Prediction

Auda average 1.1 goals per match at home; FCSB 1.8 on the road. Open, attack-leaning sides tend to produce more corners; tight, low-event games tend to produce fewer. Our pick is over 9.5 corners at 1.72.

Player Stats Bet

FCSB have generated 2.09 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 55% of them. They put 5.6 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. FCSB player to score or assist at 1.55 looks well supported by the data.

What's Your Prediction?

Pick the result you expect

OUR PREDICTION
Both Teams to Score Yes

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The Daily Punt Analysis Team

Data-driven football predictions and betting tips

This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.

Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.