Bodo/Glimt vs Lillestrom Prediction, Tips & Odds
Bodo/Glimt vs Lillestrom
Match Preview
The model favours Bodo/Glimt to win against Lillestrom, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. Bodo/Glimt currently sits at the top of the Eliteserien table, having played 13 matches this season. With 9 wins, 2 draws, and only 2 losses, they have accumulated 29 points, scoring 31 goals while conceding just 11. Their impressive goal difference of +20 highlights their offensive strength and defensive solidity, particularly evident in their recent form of four wins and one draw in their last five matches. On the other hand, Lillestrom is positioned fourth in the standings with 22 points from 12 matches. Their record includes 7 wins, 1 draw, and 4 losses, with a total of 19 goals scored and 11 conceded. However, their recent form has been concerning, with two wins followed by three consecutive losses in their last five matches. This dip in performance could impact their confidence heading into this match. The model output indicates a strong likelihood of victory for Bodo/Glimt, with a significant win probability based on their current form and standings. However, Lillestrom could pose a threat if they manage to break their losing streak and find their scoring touch. As always, the full methodology, which relies on expected goals and actual results, is detailed in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section. The Daily Punt Analysis Team has worked diligently to provide these insights.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (4.5 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 12.7% probability.
Bodo/Glimt have been the stronger side, winning 74% of their matches.
Our model projects a 2-1 Bodo/Glimt win as the most likely scoreline at 12.7% probability. 3 of the top six outcomes feature Bodo/Glimt clean sheets, in line with their 42% clean-sheet rate this season.
Lines averaged across 2 bookmakers. Bodo/Glimt are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Bodo/Glimt vs Lillestrom| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 1.33 | 5.75 | 7.25 | 1.30 | 3.35 | 1.53 | 2.30 | |
| 1.30 | 5.55 | 8.10 | 1.30 | 2.99 | 1.56 | 2.24 | |
| 1.29 | 5.50 | 8.00 | — | — | — | — | |
| 1.33 | 5.70 | 8.30 | 1.30 | 2.99 | 1.56 | 2.28 | |
| 1.33 | 5.25 | 7.50 | 1.33 | 2.95 | 1.56 | 2.23 | |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 10 Meetings (Bodo/Glimt leads 7-2)Bodo/Glimt hold the edge in this fixture, winning 7 of the last 10 meetings with 1 draws and 2 Lillestrom wins. The record points to a tie Bodo/Glimt have controlled for years, though the draws show Lillestrom have at times kept it tight.
Eliteserien Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bodo/Glimt | 15 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 37 | 11 | 26 | 35 | WWWWD |
| 2 |  Viking | 14 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 34 | 14 | 20 | 34 | DWWLW |
| 3 |  Tromso | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 26 | 15 | 11 | 31 | WWDDL |
| 4 | Lillestrom | 14 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 22 | 14 | 8 | 25 | LWWLL |
| 5 |  Molde | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 25 | 19 | 6 | 23 | WLDWL |
| 6 |  Sarpsborg 08 FF | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 21 | WDWWW |
| 14 |  KFUM Oslo | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 12 | LLLDW |
| 15 |  Kristiansund BK | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 12 | 23 | -11 | 12 | LDLLL |
| 16 |  Start | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 16 | 34 | -18 | 10 | WLLLW |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonBodo/Glimt have won 14 of their last 17 matches at home, drawing 1 and losing 2. Their recent home fixtures include beat Ham-Kam 3-0 and beat Fredrikstad 1-0.
Overall, the wider run reads 23W 4D 4L from the last 31 games (74% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lillestrom have won 5 of their last 12 matches on the road, drawing 2 and losing 5. Their recent away fixtures include beat Fredrikstad 0-2 and lost to FC Midtjylland 1-0.
Overall, the wider run reads 13W 4D 12L from the last 29 games (45% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersBodo/Glimt
No reported absences
Lillestrom
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.
Corner Prediction
Bodo/Glimt have averaged 6.7 corners per match at home; Lillestrom 5.4 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 7.1 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Bodo/Glimt have generated 2.33 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 74% of them. They put 6.5 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Bodo/Glimt player to score or assist at 1.55 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
