Metta / LU vs Tukums II Prediction, Tips & Odds
Metta / LU vs Tukums II


Match Preview
The model favours Metta / LU with a projected scoreline of 3-0 against Tukums II. Metta / LU is currently at the top of the league, having played 12 matches with an impressive record of 10 wins, 1 draw, and just 1 loss. Their goal difference of +31 highlights their dominance in both attack and defence, scoring 42 goals while conceding only 11. Their recent form is also stellar, with five consecutive victories, indicating they are in excellent shape as they head into this match. On the other hand, Tukums II finds themselves at the bottom of the standings in 12th place, with only 2 wins from their 12 matches. Their goal-scoring has been a significant issue, managing just 16 goals while conceding 31, resulting in a goal difference of -15. Their recent form shows no wins in the last five matches, and they have struggled to find a way to secure points, which could make this clash particularly challenging for them. The model gives Metta / LU a high win probability, reflecting their strong season performance and current form. However, one caveat is that if Tukums II can somehow galvanise their squad and improve their performance on the day, they could pose a threat. For a detailed breakdown of how we reached this prediction, please refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section. The Daily Punt Analysis Team employs an in-house model that evaluates fixtures using expected goals and actual results across the season.
Head to Head
Last 1 Meetings (Metta / LU leads 1-0)

Metta / LU hold the edge in this fixture, winning 1 of the last 1 meetings with 0 draws and 0 Tukums II wins. The record points to a tie Metta / LU have controlled for years, though the draws show Tukums II have at times kept it tight.
1. Liga Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 46 | 11 | 35 | 34 | WWWWD | |
| 2 | 13 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 35 | 12 | 23 | 32 | WWWWD | |
| 3 | 14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 24 | 17 | 7 | 30 | WWLLD | |
| 4 | 14 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 27 | 13 | 14 | 29 | DLWWW | |
| 5 | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 29 | 22 | 7 | 24 | DWLWD | |
| 6 | 14 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 24 | 20 | 4 | 22 | WLWLL | |
| 12 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 18 | 31 | -13 | 11 | WLLLL | |
| 13 | 14 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 16 | 38 | -22 | 7 | LWLLL | |
| 14 | 14 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 11 | 39 | -28 | 5 | LLDLL |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 Season
Metta / LU have won 11 of their last 14 matches at home, drawing 0 and losing 3. Their recent home fixtures include beat Metta / LU 3-1 and beat Metta / LU 3-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 19W 2D 5L from the last 26 games (73% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.













Tukums II have won 3 of their last 11 matches on the road, drawing 1 and losing 7. Their recent away fixtures include lost to Riga FC II 2-0 and lost to Super Nova 2 3-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 6W 3D 14L from the last 23 games (26% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.












Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 players
Metta / LU
No reported absences
Tukums II
No reported absences
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.

