Valmiera / BSS vs Riga FC II Prediction, Tips & Odds
Valmiera / BSS vs Riga FC II


Match Preview
The model favours Valmiera / BSS to win against Riga FC II, projecting a scoreline of 3-1. Valmiera / BSS currently holds the second position in the league, having played 12 matches with an impressive record of 9 wins, 2 draws, and just 1 loss. They have scored 32 goals while conceding only 12, resulting in a strong goal difference of +20. Their recent form is particularly noteworthy, with four wins in their last five matches, showcasing their attacking prowess and solid defence. On the other hand, Riga FC II sits in eighth place with 16 points from 12 matches, marked by 5 wins, 1 draw, and 6 losses. They have scored 19 goals but have conceded 22, leading to a negative goal difference of -3. While they have shown some fighting spirit with three wins in their last five matches, their inconsistency could pose a challenge against the stronger Valmiera side. The model gives Valmiera / BSS a win probability of approximately 65%, reflecting confidence in their strong season performance. However, a potential pitfall for Valmiera could be complacency, as they face a side that has the ability to surprise on their day. For full details on how this prediction was reached, refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section. The Daily Punt Analysis Team employs an in-house model that evaluates fixtures through expected goals and actual results across the season.
Head to Head
Last 1 Meetings (Valmiera / BSS leads 1-0)

In their only head-to-head meeting, Valmiera / BSS has won 1 match, while Riga FC II has not secured any wins or draws. The scoreline from that encounter was 3-1 in favor of Valmiera / BSS, indicating a decisive victory. This result suggests a one-sided affair, with Valmiera / BSS demonstrating a clear advantage. Given the single match, it is difficult to draw broader conclusions, but the lack of draws and the margin of victory highlight Valmiera / BSS's dominance in this specific fixture.
1. Liga Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 46 | 11 | 35 | 34 | WWWWD | |
| 2 | 13 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 35 | 12 | 23 | 32 | WWWWD | |
| 3 | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 28 | LWWWD | |
| 4 | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 22 | 16 | 6 | 27 | WLLDW | |
| 5 | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 28 | 21 | 7 | 23 | WLWDW | |
| 6 | 13 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 22 | 19 | 3 | 19 | LWLLL | |
| 7 | 13 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 21 | 23 | -2 | 19 | WWWWL | |
| 12 | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 28 | -13 | 9 | LDLWW | |
| 13 | 13 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 13 | 33 | -20 | 7 | WLLLD | |
| 14 | 13 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 10 | 37 | -27 | 5 | LDLLW |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 Season
Valmiera / BSS have won 7 of their last 9 matches at home, drawing 1 and losing 1. Their recent home fixtures include lost to Valmiera / BSS 2-4 and beat Valmiera / BSS 4-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 16W 2D 7L from the last 25 games (64% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.













Riga FC II have won 2 of their last 11 matches on the road, drawing 2 and losing 7. Their recent away fixtures include beat Rīgas FS II 1-3 and lost to Rēzekne FA 2-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 11W 2D 10L from the last 23 games (48% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.












Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 players
Valmiera / BSS
No reported absences
Riga FC II
No reported absences
What's Your Prediction?
Pick the result you expect
The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.

