Valmiera / BSS vs Rīgas FS II Prediction, Tips & Odds

Valmiera / BSS vs Rīgas FS II

1. LigaRegular Season - 15
Valmiera / BSS
#2 · 1. Liga
WLWWW
VS
Rīgas FS II
#10 · 1. Liga
WLDLW

Match Preview

The model favours Valmiera / BSS to win against Rīgas FS II, with a projected scoreline of 3-1. Valmiera / BSS currently sit in second place in the league, boasting an impressive record of 10 wins, 2 draws, and just 1 loss from 13 matches. Their goal-scoring prowess is evident, having netted 35 goals while conceding only 12, resulting in a strong goal difference of 23. Their recent form, with four wins in their last five matches, further reinforces their status as title contenders. In contrast, Rīgas FS II finds themselves in 11th place, struggling with a record of just 2 wins, 3 draws, and 7 losses from 12 matches. They have scored only 15 goals while conceding 26, leading to a negative goal difference of 11. Their recent form has shown some signs of improvement with two wins in their last five matches, but consistency remains an issue for the team as they look to climb the standings. The model suggests a high win probability for Valmiera / BSS, reflecting their strong season performance. However, potential pitfalls could arise if they underestimate their opponents or fail to convert chances. For a detailed breakdown of our prediction methodology, which relies on expected goals and actual results throughout the season, please refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section. This analysis is brought to you by The Daily Punt Analysis Team.

Head to Head

Last 1 Meetings (Valmiera / BSS leads 1-0)
1 Valmiera / BSS0 Draw0 Rīgas FS II
29 Mar
Rīgas FS II
1-5
Valmiera / BSS
1. Liga

Valmiera / BSS hold the edge in this fixture, winning 1 of the last 1 meetings with 0 draws and 0 Rīgas FS II wins. The record points to a tie Valmiera / BSS have controlled for years, though the draws show Rīgas FS II have at times kept it tight.

1. Liga Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1
Metta / LU
13111146113534
WWWWD
2
Valmiera / BSS
13102135122332
WWWWD
3
Leevon / PPK
149322417730
WWLLD
4
Riga Mariners
1485127131429
DLWWW
5
JDFS Alberts
147342922724
DWLWD
6
Mārupe
147162420422
WLWLL
10
Rīgas FS II
143382031-1112
WLDLW
12
Tukums II
133281831-1311
WLLLL
13
Smiltene
141491638-227
LWLLL
14
Rēzekne FA
1412111139-285
LLDLL

Venue Record

Current season at home / on the road
Valmiera / BSSHome
3W1D0L
4 playedGF 12 · GA 32.50 pts/game
Rīgas FS IIAway
2W1D3L
6 playedGF 9 · GA 121.17 pts/game

Key Statistics

2026 Season
Valmiera / BSSRīgas FS II
2.68Goals p.g.1.62
1.44Goals conceded p.g.1.79
32%Clean sheets25%
64%Win rate29%
4.12Avg goals in match3.42
Valmiera / BSS
Recent Form

Valmiera / BSS have won 7 of their last 9 matches at home, drawing 1 and losing 1. Their recent home fixtures include lost to Valmiera / BSS 2-4 and beat Valmiera / BSS 4-1.

Overall, the wider run reads 16W 2D 7L from the last 25 games (64% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.

Match Results: Valmiera / BSSAll competitions
18 Jul
Skanste
0-3
Valmiera / BSS
1. Liga
12 Jul
Valmiera / BSS
2-4
Ogre United
Cup
05 Jul
Valmiera / BSS
4-1
Leevon / PPK
1. Liga
28 Jun
JFK Ventspils
0-2
Valmiera / BSS
1. Liga
22 Jun
Smiltene
1-4
Valmiera / BSS
Cup
14 Jun
Tukums II
1-4
Valmiera / BSS
1. Liga
16
Win
64%
2
Draw
8%
7
Lost
28%
Rīgas FS II
Recent Form

Rīgas FS II have won 4 of their last 13 matches on the road, drawing 4 and losing 5. Their recent away fixtures include beat Rīgas FS II 3-5 and lost to Tukums II 2-0.

Overall, the wider run reads 7W 6D 11L from the last 24 games (29% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.

Match Results: Rīgas FS IIAll competitions
25 Jul
Smiltene
3-5
Rīgas FS II
1. Liga
20 Jul
Tukums II
2-0
Rīgas FS II
1. Liga
05 Jul
Rīgas FS II
1-1
Super Nova 2
1. Liga
27 Jun
Rīgas FS II
1-3
Riga FC II
1. Liga
14 Jun
Rīgas FS II
3-0
Rēzekne FA
1. Liga
23 May
Mārupe
1-4
Rīgas FS II
1. Liga
7
Win
29%
6
Draw
25%
11
Lost
46%

Lineups

📋

Lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.

Unavailable Players

0 players

Valmiera / BSS

No reported absences

Rīgas FS II

No reported absences

What's Your Prediction?

Pick the result you expect

The Daily Punt Analysis Team

Data-driven football predictions and betting tips

This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.

Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.