Valmiera / BSS vs Rīgas FS II Prediction, Tips & Odds
Valmiera / BSS vs Rīgas FS II


Match Preview
The model favours Valmiera / BSS to win against Rīgas FS II, with a projected scoreline of 3-1. Valmiera / BSS currently sit in second place in the league, boasting an impressive record of 10 wins, 2 draws, and just 1 loss from 13 matches. Their goal-scoring prowess is evident, having netted 35 goals while conceding only 12, resulting in a strong goal difference of 23. Their recent form, with four wins in their last five matches, further reinforces their status as title contenders. In contrast, Rīgas FS II finds themselves in 11th place, struggling with a record of just 2 wins, 3 draws, and 7 losses from 12 matches. They have scored only 15 goals while conceding 26, leading to a negative goal difference of 11. Their recent form has shown some signs of improvement with two wins in their last five matches, but consistency remains an issue for the team as they look to climb the standings. The model suggests a high win probability for Valmiera / BSS, reflecting their strong season performance. However, potential pitfalls could arise if they underestimate their opponents or fail to convert chances. For a detailed breakdown of our prediction methodology, which relies on expected goals and actual results throughout the season, please refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section. This analysis is brought to you by The Daily Punt Analysis Team.
Head to Head
Last 1 Meetings (Valmiera / BSS leads 1-0)

Valmiera / BSS hold the edge in this fixture, winning 1 of the last 1 meetings with 0 draws and 0 Rīgas FS II wins. The record points to a tie Valmiera / BSS have controlled for years, though the draws show Rīgas FS II have at times kept it tight.
1. Liga Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 46 | 11 | 35 | 34 | WWWWD | |
| 2 | 13 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 35 | 12 | 23 | 32 | WWWWD | |
| 3 | 14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 24 | 17 | 7 | 30 | WWLLD | |
| 4 | 14 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 27 | 13 | 14 | 29 | DLWWW | |
| 5 | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 29 | 22 | 7 | 24 | DWLWD | |
| 6 | 14 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 24 | 20 | 4 | 22 | WLWLL | |
| 10 | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 20 | 31 | -11 | 12 | WLDLW | |
| 12 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 18 | 31 | -13 | 11 | WLLLL | |
| 13 | 14 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 16 | 38 | -22 | 7 | LWLLL | |
| 14 | 14 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 11 | 39 | -28 | 5 | LLDLL |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 Season
Valmiera / BSS have won 7 of their last 9 matches at home, drawing 1 and losing 1. Their recent home fixtures include lost to Valmiera / BSS 2-4 and beat Valmiera / BSS 4-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 16W 2D 7L from the last 25 games (64% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.













Rīgas FS II have won 4 of their last 13 matches on the road, drawing 4 and losing 5. Their recent away fixtures include beat Rīgas FS II 3-5 and lost to Tukums II 2-0.
Overall, the wider run reads 7W 6D 11L from the last 24 games (29% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.












Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 players
Valmiera / BSS
No reported absences
Rīgas FS II
No reported absences
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.

