Leevon / PPK vs Rēzekne FA Prediction, Tips & Odds
Leevon / PPK vs Rēzekne FA


Match Preview
The model favours Leevon / PPK to win against Rēzekne FA, projecting a scoreline of 2-0. Leevon / PPK currently sits in 4th place in the league standings, having played 13 matches with a record of 8 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses. They have scored 22 goals while conceding 16, resulting in a goal difference of +6. Despite a mixed recent form, with two wins in their last five, their overall performance this season has positioned them as strong contenders for a playoff spot. In contrast, Rēzekne FA is struggling significantly, positioned 13th with only 1 win from 12 matches, alongside 2 draws and 9 losses. They have found the net just 10 times while conceding 36 goals, leading to a dismal goal difference of -26. Their recent form, with just one win and three losses in their last five matches, highlights their difficulties in both attack and defense, making them vulnerable opponents. According to the model output, Leevon / PPK has a high probability of winning this match, supported by their superior standings and overall performance in the season. However, a potential caveat could be their inconsistent recent form, which might allow Rēzekne FA to exploit any lapses. For a detailed overview of the prediction methodology, refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, where The Daily Punt Analysis Team employs an in-house model focused on expected goals and actual results across the season.
Head to Head
Last 5 Meetings (Leevon / PPK leads 5-0)









Leevon / PPK hold the edge in this fixture, winning 5 of the last 5 meetings with 0 draws and 0 Rēzekne FA wins. The record points to a tie Leevon / PPK have controlled for years, though the draws show Rēzekne FA have at times kept it tight.
1. Liga Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 46 | 11 | 35 | 34 | WWWWD | |
| 2 | 13 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 35 | 12 | 23 | 32 | WWWWD | |
| 3 | 14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 24 | 17 | 7 | 30 | WWLLD | |
| 4 | 14 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 27 | 13 | 14 | 29 | DLWWW | |
| 5 | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 29 | 22 | 7 | 24 | DWLWD | |
| 6 | 14 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 24 | 20 | 4 | 22 | WLWLL | |
| 12 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 18 | 31 | -13 | 11 | WLLLL | |
| 13 | 14 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 16 | 38 | -22 | 7 | LWLLL | |
| 14 | 14 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 11 | 39 | -28 | 5 | LLDLL |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 Season
Leevon / PPK have won 8 of their last 14 matches at home, drawing 2 and losing 4. Their recent home fixtures include beat Skanste 2-1 and beat Riga Mariners 2-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 15W 6D 6L from the last 27 games (56% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.













Rēzekne FA have won 2 of their last 12 matches on the road, drawing 1 and losing 9. Their recent away fixtures include lost to Smiltene 1-0 and lost to Rīgas FS II 3-0.
Overall, the wider run reads 5W 3D 17L from the last 25 games (20% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.












Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 players
Leevon / PPK
No reported absences
Rēzekne FA
No reported absences
What's Your Prediction?
Pick the result you expect
The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.


