Leevon / PPK vs Rēzekne FA Prediction, Tips & Odds
Leevon / PPK vs Rēzekne FA
Match Preview
The model favours Leevon / PPK to win against Rēzekne FA, projecting a scoreline of 2-0. Leevon / PPK currently sits in 4th place in the league standings, having played 13 matches with a record of 8 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses. They have scored 22 goals while conceding 16, resulting in a goal difference of +6. Despite a mixed recent form, with two wins in their last five, their overall performance this season has positioned them as strong contenders for a playoff spot. In contrast, Rēzekne FA is struggling significantly, positioned 13th with only 1 win from 12 matches, alongside 2 draws and 9 losses. They have found the net just 10 times while conceding 36 goals, leading to a dismal goal difference of -26. Their recent form, with just one win and three losses in their last five matches, highlights their difficulties in both attack and defense, making them vulnerable opponents. According to the model output, Leevon / PPK has a high probability of winning this match, supported by their superior standings and overall performance in the season. However, a potential caveat could be their inconsistent recent form, which might allow Rēzekne FA to exploit any lapses. For a detailed overview of the prediction methodology, refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, where The Daily Punt Analysis Team employs an in-house model focused on expected goals and actual results across the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (3.0 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 12.1% probability.
Leevon / PPK have been the stronger side, winning 59% of their matches.
Our model projects a 3-0 Leevon / PPK win as the most likely scoreline at 12.1% probability. 3 of the top six outcomes feature Leevon / PPK clean sheets, in line with their 21% clean-sheet rate this season.
Lines averaged across 2 bookmakers. Leevon / PPK are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Leevon / PPK vs Rēzekne FA| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 1.13 | 6.50 | 12.00 | — | — | — | — | |
| 1.15 | 6.95 | 9.80 | 1.19 | 3.80 | 1.63 | 2.06 | |
| 1.12 | 7.50 | 13.00 | 1.20 | 4.00 | 1.65 | 2.10 | |
| 1.15 | 6.79 | 9.03 | — | — | — | — | |
| 1.20 | 6.00 | 9.50 | — | — | 1.50 | 2.30 | |
| 1.20 | 7.00 | 7.00 | 1.28 | 3.50 | — | — | |
| 1.16 | 6.95 | 10.20 | 1.19 | 3.80 | 1.63 | 2.10 | |
Betano | 1.20 | 6.20 | 8.75 | — | — | — | — |
Superbet | 1.19 | 6.30 | 8.20 | 1.21 | 3.55 | 1.57 | 2.25 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 5 Meetings (Leevon / PPK leads 5-0)In the last five matches between Leevon / PPK and Rēzekne FA, Leevon / PPK has won all five encounters, with Rēzekne FA failing to secure any points. The scorelines reveal a lopsided rivalry, highlighted by a notable 7-0 victory for Leevon / PPK and an average of 3.2 goals per match in their favor. Rēzekne FA has struggled to keep the score close, with only one match decided by a single goal. This dominance suggests a significant advantage for Leevon / PPK in their historical fixtures against Rēzekne FA.
1. Liga Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Metta / LU | 16 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 69 | 14 | 55 | 41 | WDWWW |
| 2 |  Valmiera / BSS | 16 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 44 | 14 | 30 | 41 | WWWWW |
| 3 | Leevon / PPK | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 27 | 18 | 9 | 36 | WWWWL |
| 4 |  Riga Mariners | 16 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 34 | 15 | 19 | 35 | WWDLW |
| 5 |  JDFS Alberts | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 32 | 23 | 9 | 28 | WDDWL |
| 6 |  Super Nova 2 | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 23 | WLDLD |
| 12 |  JFK Ventspils | 16 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 11 | LLDLW |
| 13 |  Smiltene | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 19 | 43 | -24 | 10 | LWLWL |
| 14 | Rēzekne FA | 16 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 13 | 46 | -33 | 5 | LLLLD |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonLeevon / PPK have won 9 of their last 15 matches at home, drawing 2 and losing 4. Their recent home fixtures include beat Leevon / PPK 2-1 and beat Leevon / PPK 2-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 17W 6D 6L from the last 29 games (59% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Rēzekne FA have won 2 of their last 14 matches on the road, drawing 1 and losing 11. Their recent away fixtures include lost to Rēzekne FA 5-1 and lost to Leevon / PPK 2-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 5W 3D 19L from the last 27 games (19% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersLeevon / PPK
No reported absences
Rēzekne FA
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.
Corner Prediction
Leevon / PPK average 1.8 goals per match at home; Rēzekne FA 1.2 on the road. Open, attack-leaning sides tend to produce more corners; tight, low-event games tend to produce fewer. Our pick is over 9.5 corners at 1.72.
Player Stats Bet
Leevon / PPK have been the stronger side on attack across the season, winning 59% of their matches and averaging 1.8 goals per game. Leevon / PPK player to score or assist at 1.55 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
