Leevon / PPK vs Rēzekne FA Prediction, Tips & Odds

Leevon / PPK vs Rēzekne FA

1. LigaRegular Season - 15
Leevon / PPK
#3 · 1. Liga
WWLLL
VS
Rēzekne FA
#14 · 1. Liga
LLDLL

Match Preview

The model favours Leevon / PPK to win against Rēzekne FA, projecting a scoreline of 2-0. Leevon / PPK currently sits in 4th place in the league standings, having played 13 matches with a record of 8 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses. They have scored 22 goals while conceding 16, resulting in a goal difference of +6. Despite a mixed recent form, with two wins in their last five, their overall performance this season has positioned them as strong contenders for a playoff spot. In contrast, Rēzekne FA is struggling significantly, positioned 13th with only 1 win from 12 matches, alongside 2 draws and 9 losses. They have found the net just 10 times while conceding 36 goals, leading to a dismal goal difference of -26. Their recent form, with just one win and three losses in their last five matches, highlights their difficulties in both attack and defense, making them vulnerable opponents. According to the model output, Leevon / PPK has a high probability of winning this match, supported by their superior standings and overall performance in the season. However, a potential caveat could be their inconsistent recent form, which might allow Rēzekne FA to exploit any lapses. For a detailed overview of the prediction methodology, refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, where The Daily Punt Analysis Team employs an in-house model focused on expected goals and actual results across the season.

Head to Head

Last 5 Meetings (Leevon / PPK leads 5-0)
5 Leevon / PPK0 Draw0 Rēzekne FA
28 Mar
Rēzekne FA
0-2
Leevon / PPK
1. Liga
Oct 25
Rēzekne FA
1-2
Leevon / PPK
1. Liga
Jun 25
Leevon / PPK
6-2
Rēzekne FA
1. Liga
Oct 24
Rēzekne FA
0-7
Leevon / PPK
1. Liga
Jun 24
Leevon / PPK
4-1
Rēzekne FA
1. Liga

Leevon / PPK hold the edge in this fixture, winning 5 of the last 5 meetings with 0 draws and 0 Rēzekne FA wins. The record points to a tie Leevon / PPK have controlled for years, though the draws show Rēzekne FA have at times kept it tight.

1. Liga Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1
Metta / LU
13111146113534
WWWWD
2
Valmiera / BSS
13102135122332
WWWWD
3
Leevon / PPK
149322417730
WWLLD
4
Riga Mariners
1485127131429
DLWWW
5
JDFS Alberts
147342922724
DWLWD
6
Mārupe
147162420422
WLWLL
12
Tukums II
133281831-1311
WLLLL
13
Smiltene
141491638-227
LWLLL
14
Rēzekne FA
1412111139-285
LLDLL

Venue Record

Current season at home / on the road
Leevon / PPKHome
5W1D1L
7 playedGF 14 · GA 92.29 pts/game
Rēzekne FAAway
0W0D6L
6 playedGF 1 · GA 170.00 pts/game

Key Statistics

2026 Season
Leevon / PPKRēzekne FA
1.78Goals p.g.1.24
1.44Goals conceded p.g.2.56
19%Clean sheets4%
56%Win rate20%
3.22Avg goals in match3.8
Leevon / PPK
Recent Form

Leevon / PPK have won 8 of their last 14 matches at home, drawing 2 and losing 4. Their recent home fixtures include beat Skanste 2-1 and beat Riga Mariners 2-1.

Overall, the wider run reads 15W 6D 6L from the last 27 games (56% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.

Match Results: Leevon / PPKAll competitions
25 Jul
Leevon / PPK
2-1
Skanste
1. Liga
18 Jul
Leevon / PPK
2-1
Riga Mariners
1. Liga
10 Jul
Leevon / PPK
2-3
Riga
Cup
05 Jul
Valmiera / BSS
4-1
Leevon / PPK
1. Liga
28 Jun
Leevon / PPK
1-3
Metta / LU
1. Liga
20 Jun
JFK Ventspils
1-3
Leevon / PPK
Cup
15
Win
56%
6
Draw
22%
6
Lost
22%
Rēzekne FA
Recent Form

Rēzekne FA have won 2 of their last 12 matches on the road, drawing 1 and losing 9. Their recent away fixtures include lost to Smiltene 1-0 and lost to Rīgas FS II 3-0.

Overall, the wider run reads 5W 3D 17L from the last 25 games (20% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.

Match Results: Rēzekne FAAll competitions
25 Jul
Rēzekne FA
1-2
Mārupe
1. Liga
19 Jul
Smiltene
1-0
Rēzekne FA
1. Liga
04 Jul
Rēzekne FA
1-1
JFK Ventspils
1. Liga
27 Jun
Rēzekne FA
2-4
JDFS Alberts
1. Liga
14 Jun
Rīgas FS II
3-0
Rēzekne FA
1. Liga
30 May
Ķekava / Auda
2-1
Rēzekne FA
Cup
5
Win
20%
3
Draw
12%
17
Lost
68%

Lineups

📋

Lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.

Unavailable Players

0 players

Leevon / PPK

No reported absences

Rēzekne FA

No reported absences

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The Daily Punt Analysis Team

Data-driven football predictions and betting tips

This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.

Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.