Super Nova 2 vs Riga Mariners Prediction, Tips & Odds

Super Nova 2 vs Riga Mariners

1. LigaRegular Season - 15
Super Nova 2
#7 · 1. Liga
DLDWL
VS
Sporta centrs Krasts
Riga Mariners
#4 · 1. Liga
LDWWW

Match Preview

The model favours Riga Mariners to win this match, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. Currently sitting in third place, the Mariners have been in excellent form this season, remaining unbeaten with eight wins and four draws from twelve matches. Their goal difference of +15, with 25 goals scored and only 10 conceded, highlights their strong defensive capabilities, which will be crucial in this fixture. On the other hand, Super Nova 2 finds themselves in seventh position with a record of five wins, four draws, and three losses. While they have managed to score 19 goals, their defensive record is less impressive, with 17 goals conceded, resulting in a modest goal difference of +2. Their recent form includes two wins, two draws, and one loss in the last five matches, suggesting some inconsistency that could be problematic against a formidable opponent like the Mariners. The model indicates a win probability of approximately 65% for Riga Mariners, with a projected score of 2-1. However, one caveat to consider is that if Super Nova 2 can exploit any defensive lapses from the Mariners, it could lead to a more competitive match than anticipated. For a complete understanding of the prediction, please refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section. This analysis is brought to you by The Daily Punt Analysis Team, using an in-house model that evaluates fixtures through expected goals and actual results throughout the season.

Head to Head

Last 1 Meetings (evenly matched 0-0)
0 Super Nova 21 Draw0 Riga Mariners
04 Apr
Riga Mariners
1-1
Super Nova 2
1. Liga

Super Nova 2 and Riga Mariners have been evenly matched in this fixture, with 0 wins each and 1 draws across the last 1 meetings. The record offers no clear edge to either side, and the scorelines have stayed mostly tight rather than one-sided.

1. Liga Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1
Metta / LU
13111146113534
WWWWD
2
Valmiera / BSS
13102135122332
WWWWD
3
Leevon / PPK
149322417730
WWLLD
4
Riga Mariners
1485127131429
DLWWW
5
JDFS Alberts
147342922724
DWLWD
6
Mārupe
147162420422
WLWLL
7
Super Nova 2
145542120120
DLDWL
12
Tukums II
133281831-1311
WLLLL
13
Smiltene
141491638-227
LWLLL
14
Rēzekne FA
1412111139-285
LLDLL

Venue Record

Current season at home / on the road
Super Nova 2Home
4W1D2L
7 playedGF 11 · GA 71.86 pts/game
Riga MarinersAway
5W1D1L
7 playedGF 15 · GA 62.29 pts/game

Key Statistics

2026 Season
Super Nova 2Riga Mariners
1.5Goals p.g.2.58
1.43Goals conceded p.g.1.23
21%Clean sheets35%
36%Win rate58%
2.93Avg goals in match3.81
Super Nova 2
Recent Form

Super Nova 2 have won 4 of their last 7 matches at home, drawing 1 and losing 2. Their recent home fixtures include beat Super Nova 2 3-1 and drew with Super Nova 2 0-0.

Overall, the wider run reads 5W 5D 4L from the last 14 games (36% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.

Match Results: Super Nova 2All competitions
25 Jul
JDFS Alberts
1-1
Super Nova 2
1. Liga
19 Jul
Riga FC II
2-1
Super Nova 2
1. Liga
05 Jul
Rīgas FS II
1-1
Super Nova 2
1. Liga
27 Jun
Super Nova 2
3-1
Tukums II
1. Liga
13 Jun
Metta / LU
7-3
Super Nova 2
1. Liga
26 May
Super Nova 2
0-0
Valmiera / BSS
1. Liga
5
Win
36%
5
Draw
36%
4
Lost
29%
Riga Mariners
Recent Form

Riga Mariners have won 9 of their last 14 matches on the road, drawing 2 and losing 3. Their recent away fixtures include lost to Riga Mariners 2-1 and beat JDFS Alberts 0-4.

Overall, the wider run reads 15W 8D 3L from the last 26 games (58% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.

Match Results: Riga MarinersAll competitions
18 Jul
Leevon / PPK
2-1
Riga Mariners
1. Liga
11 Jul
Riga Mariners
3-3
BFC Daugavpils
Cup
04 Jul
JDFS Alberts
0-4
Riga Mariners
1. Liga
27 Jun
Riga Mariners
2-0
Mārupe
1. Liga
20 Jun
Riga Mariners
1-0
JDFS Alberts
Cup
14 Jun
Skanste
0-2
Riga Mariners
1. Liga
15
Win
58%
8
Draw
31%
3
Lost
12%

Lineups

📋

Lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.

Unavailable Players

0 players

Super Nova 2

No reported absences

Riga Mariners

No reported absences

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The Daily Punt Analysis Team

Data-driven football predictions and betting tips

This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.

Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.