Super Nova 2 vs Riga Mariners Prediction, Tips & Odds
Super Nova 2 vs Riga Mariners


Match Preview
The model favours Riga Mariners to win this match, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. Currently sitting in third place, the Mariners have been in excellent form this season, remaining unbeaten with eight wins and four draws from twelve matches. Their goal difference of +15, with 25 goals scored and only 10 conceded, highlights their strong defensive capabilities, which will be crucial in this fixture. On the other hand, Super Nova 2 finds themselves in seventh position with a record of five wins, four draws, and three losses. While they have managed to score 19 goals, their defensive record is less impressive, with 17 goals conceded, resulting in a modest goal difference of +2. Their recent form includes two wins, two draws, and one loss in the last five matches, suggesting some inconsistency that could be problematic against a formidable opponent like the Mariners. The model indicates a win probability of approximately 65% for Riga Mariners, with a projected score of 2-1. However, one caveat to consider is that if Super Nova 2 can exploit any defensive lapses from the Mariners, it could lead to a more competitive match than anticipated. For a complete understanding of the prediction, please refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section. This analysis is brought to you by The Daily Punt Analysis Team, using an in-house model that evaluates fixtures through expected goals and actual results throughout the season.
Head to Head
Last 1 Meetings (evenly matched 0-0)

Super Nova 2 and Riga Mariners have been evenly matched in this fixture, with 0 wins each and 1 draws across the last 1 meetings. The record offers no clear edge to either side, and the scorelines have stayed mostly tight rather than one-sided.
1. Liga Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 46 | 11 | 35 | 34 | WWWWD | |
| 2 | 13 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 35 | 12 | 23 | 32 | WWWWD | |
| 3 | 14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 24 | 17 | 7 | 30 | WWLLD | |
| 4 | 14 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 27 | 13 | 14 | 29 | DLWWW | |
| 5 | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 29 | 22 | 7 | 24 | DWLWD | |
| 6 | 14 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 24 | 20 | 4 | 22 | WLWLL | |
| 7 | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 21 | 20 | 1 | 20 | DLDWL | |
| 12 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 18 | 31 | -13 | 11 | WLLLL | |
| 13 | 14 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 16 | 38 | -22 | 7 | LWLLL | |
| 14 | 14 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 11 | 39 | -28 | 5 | LLDLL |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 Season
Super Nova 2 have won 4 of their last 7 matches at home, drawing 1 and losing 2. Their recent home fixtures include beat Super Nova 2 3-1 and drew with Super Nova 2 0-0.
Overall, the wider run reads 5W 5D 4L from the last 14 games (36% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.













Riga Mariners have won 9 of their last 14 matches on the road, drawing 2 and losing 3. Their recent away fixtures include lost to Riga Mariners 2-1 and beat JDFS Alberts 0-4.
Overall, the wider run reads 15W 8D 3L from the last 26 games (58% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.












Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 players
Super Nova 2
No reported absences
Riga Mariners
No reported absences
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
