Riga FC II vs Metta / LU Prediction, Tips & Odds

Riga FC II vs Metta / LU

1. LigaRegular Season - 15
Riga FC II
#8 · 1. Liga
WWWWL
VS
Metta / LU
#1 · 1. Liga
WWWWW

Match Preview

The model favours Metta / LU to win against Riga FC II, projecting a scoreline of 3-1. Metta / LU currently sits at the top of the league table with an impressive record of 11 wins, 1 draw, and just 1 loss from 13 matches. Their attacking prowess is evident, having scored 46 goals while conceding only 11, resulting in a remarkable goal difference of +35. This strong form has been consistent throughout the season, with five consecutive wins in their last five matches. On the other hand, Riga FC II finds itself in 8th place with a record of 5 wins, 1 draw, and 6 losses from 12 matches. They have struggled defensively, allowing 22 goals, which has contributed to a negative goal difference of -3. While Riga FC II has shown some resilience with three wins in their last five matches, their overall season form has been inconsistent, making it challenging to keep pace with the league leaders. Based on the data, the model gives Metta / LU a high win probability, reflecting their dominant season thus far. However, a potential caveat is that if Riga FC II can exploit any defensive lapses from Metta / LU, they could find the back of the net and create an upset. For a detailed breakdown of how we reached this prediction, please refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section. The Daily Punt Analysis Team employs an in-house model that evaluates fixtures through expected goals and actual results across the season.

Head to Head

Last 1 Meetings (Metta / LU leads 1-0)
0 Riga FC II0 Draw1 Metta / LU
06 Apr
Metta / LU
2-0
Riga FC II
1. Liga

Metta / LU hold the edge in this fixture, winning 1 of the last 1 meetings with 0 draws and 0 Riga FC II wins. The record points to a tie Metta / LU have controlled for years, though the draws show Riga FC II have at times kept it tight.

1. Liga Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1
Metta / LU
13111146113534
WWWWD
2
Valmiera / BSS
13102135122332
WWWWD
3
Leevon / PPK
149322417730
WWLLD
4
Riga Mariners
1485127131429
DLWWW
5
JDFS Alberts
147342922724
DWLWD
6
Mārupe
147162420422
WLWLL
8
Riga FC II
136162123-219
WWWWL
12
Tukums II
133281831-1311
WLLLL
13
Smiltene
141491638-227
LWLLL
14
Rēzekne FA
1412111139-285
LLDLL

Venue Record

Current season at home / on the road
Riga FC IIHome
5W0D2L
7 playedGF 13 · GA 112.14 pts/game
Metta / LUAway
5W1D0L
6 playedGF 16 · GA 42.67 pts/game

Key Statistics

2026 Season
Riga FC IIMetta / LU
1.91Goals p.g.3.19
1.61Goals conceded p.g.1
22%Clean sheets38%
48%Win rate73%
3.52Avg goals in match4.19
Riga FC II
Recent Form

Riga FC II have won 9 of their last 12 matches at home, drawing 0 and losing 3. Their recent home fixtures include beat Super Nova 2 2-1 and beat Tukums II 2-0.

Overall, the wider run reads 11W 2D 10L from the last 23 games (48% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.

Match Results: Riga FC IIAll competitions
19 Jul
Riga FC II
2-1
Super Nova 2
1. Liga
04 Jul
Riga FC II
2-0
Tukums II
1. Liga
27 Jun
Rīgas FS II
1-3
Riga FC II
1. Liga
14 Jun
Riga FC II
2-0
Smiltene
1. Liga
23 May
Rēzekne FA
2-1
Riga FC II
1. Liga
17 May
Riga FC II
0-4
Mārupe
1. Liga
11
Win
48%
2
Draw
9%
10
Lost
43%
Metta / LU
Recent Form

Metta / LU have won 8 of their last 12 matches on the road, drawing 2 and losing 2. Their recent away fixtures include beat Metta / LU 0-4 and beat Leevon / PPK 1-3.

Overall, the wider run reads 19W 2D 5L from the last 26 games (73% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.

Match Results: Metta / LUAll competitions
18 Jul
Mārupe
0-4
Metta / LU
1. Liga
10 Jul
Metta / LU
3-1
Spēks
Cup
04 Jul
Metta / LU
3-1
Skanste
1. Liga
28 Jun
Leevon / PPK
1-3
Metta / LU
1. Liga
20 Jun
Metta / LU
5-0
Ķekava / Auda
Cup
13 Jun
Metta / LU
7-3
Super Nova 2
1. Liga
19
Win
73%
2
Draw
8%
5
Lost
19%

Lineups

📋

Lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.

Unavailable Players

0 players

Riga FC II

No reported absences

Metta / LU

No reported absences

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The Daily Punt Analysis Team

Data-driven football predictions and betting tips

This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.

Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.