Start vs Viking Prediction, Tips & Odds
Start vs Viking
Match Preview
The model favours Viking to win against Start, with a projected scoreline of 3-0. Viking currently sits in a strong second position in the league, having amassed 30 points from 12 matches with an impressive record of 10 wins and only 2 losses. Their attacking prowess is evident, as they have scored 31 goals while conceding just 12, resulting in a goal difference of +19. This form has been consistent, with three wins in their last five matches. In contrast, Start is struggling at the bottom of the table in 16th place with only 7 points from 14 matches. Their season has been challenging, with just one victory and a dismal goal difference of -19, having scored only 14 goals while conceding 33. Their recent form shows a concerning trend, with four losses in their last five matches. The model gives Viking a high win probability, reflecting their strong season performance and Start's ongoing difficulties. One key market percentage to note is Viking's odds, which reflect their status as clear favourites. However, a caveat exists; if Viking underestimates Start or fails to convert their chances, the match could become more competitive than expected. The full method used for this prediction is detailed in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section. This analysis is brought to you by The Daily Punt Analysis Team, using an in-house model that evaluates expected goals and actual results throughout the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (3.8 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 13.4% probability.
Viking have been the stronger side, winning 77% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-2 Viking win as the most likely scoreline at 13.4% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.
Lines averaged across 2 bookmakers. Viking are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Start vs Viking| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 7.75 | 4.80 | 1.36 | 1.45 | 2.70 | 1.60 | 2.15 | |
| 7.10 | 4.95 | 1.37 | 1.40 | 2.57 | 1.63 | 2.11 | |
| 7.00 | 5.00 | 1.33 | — | — | — | — | |
| 7.27 | 5.07 | 1.40 | 1.40 | 2.57 | 1.63 | 2.14 | |
| 7.00 | 4.80 | 1.37 | 1.41 | 2.63 | 1.60 | 2.14 | |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 7 Meetings (Viking leads 4-1)Viking hold the edge in this fixture, winning 4 of the last 7 meetings with 2 draws and 1 Start win. The record points to a tie Viking have controlled for years, though the draws show Start have at times kept it tight.
Eliteserien Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Bodo/Glimt | 15 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 37 | 11 | 26 | 35 | WWWWD |
| 2 | Viking | 14 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 34 | 14 | 20 | 34 | DWWLW |
| 3 |  Tromso | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 26 | 15 | 11 | 31 | WWDDL |
| 4 |  Lillestrom | 14 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 22 | 14 | 8 | 25 | LWWLL |
| 5 |  Molde | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 25 | 19 | 6 | 23 | WLDWL |
| 6 |  Sarpsborg 08 FF | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 21 | WDWWW |
| 14 |  KFUM Oslo | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 12 | LLLDW |
| 15 |  Kristiansund BK | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 12 | 23 | -11 | 12 | LDLLL |
| 16 | Start | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 16 | 34 | -18 | 10 | WLLLW |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonStart have won 4 of their last 9 matches at home, drawing 3 and losing 2. Their recent home fixtures include lost to Start 0-3 and beat Start 2-0.
Overall, the wider run reads 7W 6D 14L from the last 27 games (26% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Viking have won 9 of their last 14 matches on the road, drawing 3 and losing 2. Their recent away fixtures include beat Viking 1-2 and lost to Sarpsborg 08 FF 1-0.
Overall, the wider run reads 20W 3D 3L from the last 26 games (77% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersStart
No reported absences
Viking
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.
Corner Prediction
Start have averaged 2.7 corners per match at home; Viking 5.9 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 5.3 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Viking have generated 1.93 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 77% of them. They put 5.6 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Viking player to score or assist at 1.55 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
