Valerenga vs Ham-Kam Prediction, Tips & Odds
Valerenga vs Ham-Kam


Match Preview
The model favours a narrow victory for Ham-Kam, projecting a scoreline of 2-1 against Valerenga. Currently sitting in sixth place, Ham-Kam has demonstrated solid form, remaining unbeaten in their last five matches with two wins and three draws. This consistency has been key to their season, allowing them to accumulate 18 points from 11 games, with a positive goal difference of 1. Valerenga, on the other hand, finds themselves in eighth position with 17 points from 13 matches. Their recent form has been mixed, with two wins, one draw, and two losses in their last five games. Despite scoring 19 goals this season, their defensive record has been a concern, as they have conceded 22, leading to a negative goal difference of -3. This suggests that while they can score, they struggle to keep the opposition at bay. The model indicates a win probability of approximately 55% for Ham-Kam, with a projected score of 2-1. However, a potential caveat is that if Valerenga can leverage their home advantage effectively, they may pose a greater challenge than anticipated. For a detailed explanation of our prediction methodology, please refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section. This analysis is brought to you by The Daily Punt Analysis Team, employing an in-house model that evaluates fixtures through expected goals and actual results across the season.
Head to Head
Last 8 Meetings (evenly matched 2-2)















Valerenga and Ham-Kam have been evenly matched in this fixture, with 2 wins each and 4 draws across the last 8 meetings. The record offers no clear edge to either side, and the scorelines have stayed mostly tight rather than one-sided.
Eliteserien Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 15 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 37 | 11 | 26 | 35 | WWWWD | |
| 2 | 14 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 34 | 14 | 20 | 34 | DWWLW | |
| 3 | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 26 | 15 | 11 | 31 | WWDDL | |
| 4 | 14 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 22 | 14 | 8 | 25 | LWWLL | |
| 5 | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 25 | 19 | 6 | 23 | WLDWL | |
| 6 | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 21 | WDWWW | |
| 7 | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 20 | WWLWL | |
| 9 | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 20 | 26 | -6 | 18 | LLLDD | |
| 14 | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 12 | LLLDW | |
| 15 | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 12 | 23 | -11 | 12 | LDLLL | |
| 16 | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 16 | 34 | -18 | 10 | WLLLW |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 Season
Valerenga have won 11 of their last 16 matches at home, drawing 2 and losing 3. Their recent home fixtures include beat Aalesund 6-1 and beat Fredrikstad 3-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 13W 4D 10L from the last 27 games (48% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.













Ham-Kam have won 2 of their last 16 matches on the road, drawing 5 and losing 9. Their recent away fixtures include lost to Ham-Kam 1-0 and lost to Bodo/Glimt 3-0.
Overall, the wider run reads 10W 5D 12L from the last 27 games (37% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.












Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 players
Valerenga
No reported absences
Ham-Kam
No reported absences
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.



