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Austria Lustenau vs Lask Linz Prediction, Tips & Odds

Austria Lustenau vs Lask Linz

BundesligaRegular Season - 9
Austria Lustenau
#8 · Bundesliga
LWWWL
VS
Planet Pure Stadion, Lustenau
Referee: Emil Ristoskov
Lask Linz
#3 · Bundesliga
LWDLW
★ OUR PICK
Over 2.5 Goals
Both sides average plenty of goals and trend toward open games — the over is the value pick here.
Totals
1.47
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.42 (implied 70.3%) for Over 2.5 Goals. Our experts calculate a 72.8% probability (an expert ratio of 1.37). We chose this bet because our experts rate it more likely than the bookmaker price implies (72.8% vs 70.3%), driven by both sides' high goal output and tendency toward open games. That edge makes it our most confident selection for this match.

Match Preview

The model favours Lask Linz to win this match with a projected scoreline of 2-1. Lask Linz currently sits in third place in the league standings, having secured five wins, one draw, and only one loss from their seven matches. Their attack has been prolific, scoring 19 goals while conceding just seven, resulting in a strong goal difference of +12. This offensive capability, combined with their solid defensive record, makes them a formidable opponent for any team in the league. In contrast, Austria Lustenau is positioned eighth with a record of two wins, two draws, and three losses. They have struggled to find consistency, with a goal difference of -3 after scoring eight and conceding eleven goals. While they have shown some promise in their recent form with three wins in their last five matches, they will need to elevate their performance level significantly to compete against a top-tier team like Lask Linz. The model indicates a win probability of approximately 65% for Lask Linz, highlighting their strong position and form. However, Austria Lustenau's recent victories could pose a risk if they manage to build momentum. The full methodology is detailed in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, and it relies on expected goals and actual results across the season, as analyzed by The Daily Punt Analysis Team.

Betting Predictions

How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.

Match Result
Austria Lustenau Win26%7.34
Draw18%4.99
Lask Linz Win56%1.35
BTTS
Both Teams to Score: Yes
1.6657.8%

Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.

Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 Goals
1.4263.1%

Combined goal output is high (3.9 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.

Correct Score
Austria Lustenau 0-2 Lask Linz
8.0212.5%

The most likely scoreline per our model at 12.5% probability.

Asian Handicap
Lask Linz -0.0
1.0950%

Lask Linz have been the stronger side, winning 63% of their matches.

CORRECT SCOREMost likely outcomes
0-2
8.02
12.5%
1-2
8.31
12.1%
0-1
9.41
10.6%
0-3
9.72
10.3%
1-1
9.92
10.1%
1-3
10.11
9.9%

Our model projects a 0-2 Lask Linz win as the most likely scoreline at 12.5% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.

ASIAN HANDICAPLines & prices
Austria Lustenau
-0.0
5.75
Lask Linz
+0.0
1.09
Austria Lustenau
-1.5
13.00
Lask Linz
+1.5
1.83

Lines averaged across 3 bookmakers. Lask Linz are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.

Best Betting Odds

Austria Lustenau vs Lask Linz
Bookmaker1X2O/U 2.5BTTS
1X2OverUnderYesNo
Marathonbet
7.504.851.361.402.561.632.11
Betfair
8.505.501.301.402.881.672.15
Pinnacle
7.884.921.401.472.73——
SBO
6.184.801.33————
William Hill
7.004.501.36——1.672.10
Bet365
7.005.251.381.442.701.672.10
1xBet
7.494.851.371.402.561.632.14
Betano
7.005.201.361.452.651.702.05
BetVictor
7.505.001.331.402.751.622.15

Goals Probability

Avg. bookmaker odds
Over 0.5 Goals
93.8%
Over 1.5 Goals
83.8%
Over 2.5 Goals
63.1%
Over 3.5 Goals
44.7%

Double Chance

Bet covers two outcomes
1XAustria Lustenau or Draw
44%3.04
12Austria Lustenau or Lask Linz
82%1.14
X2Draw or Lask Linz
74%1.08

Head to Head

Last 10 Meetings (Lask Linz leads 7-1)
1 Austria Lustenau2 Draw7 Lask Linz
Dec 23
Austria Lustenau
1-3
Lask Linz
Bundesliga
Sept 23
Lask Linz
2-0
Austria Lustenau
Bundesliga
Feb 23
Lask Linz
1-0
Austria Lustenau
Bundesliga
Sept 22
Austria Lustenau
1-1
Lask Linz
Bundesliga
Apr 17
Lask Linz
2-0
Austria Lustenau
2. Liga
Nov 16
Austria Lustenau
2-4
Lask Linz
2. Liga
Sept 16
Lask Linz
3-1
Austria Lustenau
2. Liga
Jul 16
Austria Lustenau
1-1
Lask Linz
2. Liga
May 16
Lask Linz
0-2
Austria Lustenau
2. Liga
Mar 16
Austria Lustenau
0-2
Lask Linz
2. Liga

In the last 10 encounters between Austria Lustenau and Lask Linz, Lask Linz has won 7 times, with Austria Lustenau securing just 1 victory and the teams drawing 2 matches. The scorelines indicate a noticeable advantage for Lask Linz, with several matches featuring multi-goal margins, such as a 4-2 win and a 3-1 win. Austria Lustenau's only win in this period came in 2016, while Lask Linz has consistently been able to limit their opponents' scoring, often winning by narrow margins, suggesting a dominant historical performance by Lask Linz in this matchup.

Bundesliga Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1
Rapid Vienna
87012371621
WWWLW
2
Red Bull Salzburg
85301841418
DWDWW
3
Lask Linz
85121991016
LDLWW
4
Sturm Graz
8422109114
WLWLD
5
Ried
83231313011
WWDLW
6
TSV Hartberg
83231416-211
WDDWW
8
Austria Lustenau
82241115-48
LWLLD
10
Austria Vienna
8215715-87
LDWLL
11
SCR Altach
8206812-46
WLLLL
12
Wolfsberger AC
8125716-95
LLLLD

Venue Record

Current season at home / on the road
Austria LustenauHome
2W1D1L
4 playedGF 5 · GA 61.75 pts/game
Lask LinzAway
2W1D1L
4 playedGF 9 · GA 61.75 pts/game

Key Statistics

2026 Season
Austria LustenauLask Linz
1.35Goals p.g.2.51
1.1Goals conceded p.g.1.22
30%Clean sheets27%
45%Win rate63%
2.45Avg goals in match3.73
1.69xG per game2.25
0.24xGA per game-0.58
42%Possession %53%
4.7Shots on target / game6.5
7.3Corners per game7.2
Austria Lustenau
Recent Form

Austria Lustenau have won 7 of their last 11 matches at home, drawing 2 and losing 2. Their recent home fixtures include lost to FC Schalke 04 0-1 and beat Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz 3-1.

Overall, the wider run reads 9W 5D 6L from the last 20 games (45% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.

Match Results: Austria LustenauAll competitions
03 Oct
Austria Lustenau
0-1
FC Schalke 04
Friendlies Clubs
24 Sept
Austria Lustenau
3-1
Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz
Friendlies Clubs
19 Sept
Austria Lustenau
2-0
SCR Altach
Bundesliga
05 Sept
SV Lafnitz
2-6
Austria Lustenau
Cup
28 Aug
Austria Lustenau
0-4
WSG Wattens
Bundesliga
22 Aug
Sturm Graz
1-1
Austria Lustenau
Bundesliga
9
Win
45%
5
Draw
25%
6
Lost
30%
Lask Linz
Recent Form

Lask Linz have won 11 of their last 20 matches on the road, drawing 4 and losing 5. Their recent away fixtures include drew with TSV Hartberg 3-3 and lost to AEK Athens FC 1-0.

Overall, the wider run reads 26W 6D 9L from the last 41 games (63% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.

Match Results: Lask LinzAll competitions
11 Oct
Lask Linz
0-2
Rapid Vienna
Bundesliga
02 Oct
Lask Linz
2-1
First Vienna
Friendlies Clubs
20 Sept
TSV Hartberg
3-3
Lask Linz
Bundesliga
08 Sept
AEK Athens FC
1-0
Lask Linz
UEFA Champions League
05 Sept
Deutschlandsberger SC
1-6
Lask Linz
Cup
01 Sept
Wolfsberger AC
1-3
Lask Linz
Bundesliga
26
Win
63%
6
Draw
15%
9
Lost
22%

Lineups

📋

Lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.

Unavailable Players

0 players

Austria Lustenau

No reported absences

Lask Linz

No reported absences

Betting Strategy

High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.

High Probability
Lask Linz Win1.35 (56.2%)
Over 2.5 Goals1.42 (63.1%)
Both Teams Score1.66 (57.8%)
Value Bets
Austria Lustenau Win7.34 (26.1%)
Under 2.5 Goals2.69 (36.9%)
BTTS No2.11 (42.2%)
Speculative
Draw4.99 (17.7%)

Yellow Card Prediction

Emil Ristoskov has been appointed as the referee for this fixture. We don't yet have enough recent fixtures officiated by Emil Ristoskov to give a confident card-market projection. Our default lean is under 3.5 yellow cards at 1.95.

Corner Prediction

Austria Lustenau have averaged 7.3 corners per match at home; Lask Linz 7.2 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 8.3 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.

Player Stats Bet

Lask Linz have generated 2.25 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 63% of them. They put 6.5 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Lask Linz player to score or assist at 1.55 looks well supported by the data.

What's Your Prediction?

Pick the result you expect

OUR PREDICTION
2.5 Goals Over

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The Daily Punt Analysis Team

Data-driven football predictions and betting tips

This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.

Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.