Ried vs Austria Vienna Prediction, Tips & Odds
Ried vs Austria Vienna
Match Preview
The model favours Ried to win this match against Austria Vienna, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. Currently positioned 5th in the league, Ried has accumulated 8 points from their 7 matches, with a record of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses. Despite a negative goal difference of -1, their recent form shows promise, having secured 2 wins and 2 draws in their last five matches. Ried's scoring ability has been moderate, with 11 goals scored, but they have been slightly more resilient defensively compared to their opponents. Austria Vienna, on the other hand, sits in 10th place with 7 points from their 7 games, recording 2 wins, 1 draw, and 4 losses. Their goal difference of -6 reflects a struggle at both ends of the pitch, having conceded 13 goals while scoring only 7. However, Austria Vienna has shown some improvement recently, with 3 wins and 1 draw in their last five matches, indicating they are capable of competing, albeit inconsistently. The model output suggests a win probability of around 55% for Ried, with the projected score being 2-1. One key market percentage to consider is the likelihood of over 2.5 goals in the match. A potential caveat for Ried could be their defensive vulnerabilities, which might be exploited if Austria Vienna finds their rhythm. The full methodology used to reach this prediction is detailed in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, developed by The Daily Punt Analysis Team using an in-house model focused on expected goals and actual results across the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (3.5 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 15.2% probability.
Ried have been the stronger side, winning 40% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 15.2% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.
Lines averaged across 5 bookmakers. Ried are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Ried vs Austria Vienna| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 2.31 | 3.60 | 2.75 | 1.76 | 1.99 | 1.61 | 2.15 | |
| 2.38 | 3.60 | 2.70 | 1.75 | 2.05 | 1.65 | 2.20 | |
| 2.41 | 3.76 | 2.79 | 1.78 | 2.10 | — | — | |
| 2.28 | 3.15 | 2.67 | 1.79 | 2.03 | — | — | |
| 2.30 | 3.40 | 2.70 | — | — | 1.62 | 2.20 | |
| 2.40 | 3.50 | 2.80 | 1.75 | 2.05 | 1.62 | 2.20 | |
| 2.33 | 3.60 | 2.76 | 1.76 | 1.99 | 1.61 | 2.18 | |
Betano | 2.35 | 3.55 | 2.75 | 1.78 | 2.02 | 1.62 | 2.15 |
BetVictor | 2.38 | 3.40 | 2.75 | 1.72 | 1.96 | 1.60 | 2.20 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 10 Meetings (Austria Vienna leads 7-2)In the last 10 matches between Ried and Austria Vienna, Austria Vienna has won 7 times, Ried has won 2, and there has been 1 draw. The scorelines indicate a tendency for Austria Vienna to dominate, with several matches ending in heavy victories, including a 4-1 win and two 3-0 wins. Ried's victories have been narrower, with a 2-1 and a 3-2 win, suggesting that while Ried can compete, they have struggled to secure points against Austria Vienna. The last time Ried won was in July 2021, highlighting a significant gap in their recent success against this opponent.
Bundesliga Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Rapid Vienna | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 7 | 16 | 21 | WWWLW |
| 2 |  Red Bull Salzburg | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 18 | 4 | 14 | 18 | DWDWW |
| 3 |  Lask Linz | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 16 | LDLWW |
| 4 |  Sturm Graz | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 14 | WLWLD |
| 5 | Ried | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 11 | WWDLW |
| 6 |  TSV Hartberg | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 11 | WDDWW |
| 10 | Austria Vienna | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 15 | -8 | 7 | LDWLL |
| 11 |  SCR Altach | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 6 | WLLLL |
| 12 |  Wolfsberger AC | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 16 | -9 | 5 | LLLLD |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonRied have won 13 of their last 23 matches at home, drawing 5 and losing 5. Their recent home fixtures include drew with Ried 3-3 and beat Ried 4-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 16W 9D 15L from the last 40 games (40% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Austria Vienna have won 11 of their last 19 matches on the road, drawing 2 and losing 6. Their recent away fixtures include beat Austria Vienna 1-6 and drew with Grazer AK 2-2.
Overall, the wider run reads 17W 8D 13L from the last 38 games (45% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersRied
No reported absences
Austria Vienna
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
Manuel Baumann has been appointed as the referee for this fixture. We don't yet have enough recent fixtures officiated by Manuel Baumann to give a confident card-market projection. Our default lean is under 3.5 yellow cards at 1.95.
Corner Prediction
Ried have averaged 2.7 corners per match at home; Austria Vienna 3.3 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 4.0 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Ried have generated 0.88 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 40% of them. They put 4.0 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Ried player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
