Beşiktaş vs Çorum FK Prediction, Tips & Odds
Beşiktaş vs Çorum FK
Match Preview
The model favours Beşiktaş to win, projecting a scoreline of 2-1 against Çorum FK. Beşiktaş currently sits in 4th place in the league standings, having won their opening match of the season. Their season form has been impressive, with five consecutive victories leading into this match. A key statistic for Beşiktaş is their strong goal difference of +1, attributed to a solid defence that has yet to concede a goal this season. On the other hand, Çorum FK is positioned 9th in the standings after drawing their first match. They have scored two goals but also conceded two, resulting in a goal difference of 0. While their recent form shows three wins in their last five matches, they will need to tighten their defence if they hope to challenge Beşiktaş effectively. The model indicates a win probability of 65% for Beşiktaş, with a projected score of 2-1. A potential caveat for Beşiktaş could be complacency, given their strong recent form and league position. For a detailed breakdown of how we reached this prediction, please refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section. This analysis is brought to you by The Daily Punt Analysis Team, using an in-house model that evaluates fixtures through expected goals and actual results across the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (3.0 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 15.4% probability.
Beşiktaş have been the stronger side, winning 53% of their matches.
Our model projects a 2-0 Beşiktaş win as the most likely scoreline at 15.4% probability. 3 of the top six outcomes feature Beşiktaş clean sheets, in line with their 35% clean-sheet rate this season.
Lines averaged across 3 bookmakers. Beşiktaş are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Beşiktaş vs Çorum FK| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 1.38 | 4.65 | 7.70 | 1.70 | 2.10 | 1.95 | 1.77 | |
| 1.39 | 4.80 | 6.90 | 1.61 | 2.27 | 1.80 | 1.88 | |
| 1.36 | 4.60 | 7.00 | 1.57 | 2.25 | 1.75 | 1.95 | |
| 1.41 | 5.00 | 7.66 | 1.63 | 2.37 | — | — | |
| 1.37 | 4.35 | 6.86 | 1.70 | 2.16 | — | — | |
| 1.40 | 4.40 | 6.50 | — | — | 1.80 | 1.91 | |
| 1.40 | 5.00 | 7.00 | 1.70 | 2.10 | 2.00 | 1.73 | |
| 1.44 | 5.03 | 7.23 | 1.66 | 2.34 | 1.80 | 1.90 | |
| 1.38 | 4.70 | 7.50 | 1.66 | 2.06 | 1.92 | 1.76 | |
Betano | 1.47 | 4.85 | 7.30 | 1.70 | 2.22 | 1.85 | 1.88 |
Superbet | 1.42 | 4.75 | 6.70 | 1.67 | 2.22 | 1.85 | 1.88 |
BetVictor | 1.36 | 4.75 | 7.50 | 1.58 | 2.18 | 1.78 | 1.93 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 1 Meetings (Beşiktaş leads 1-0)In their only previous encounter, Beşiktaş has won against Çorum FK with a decisive score of 6-2. This match indicates a one-sided affair, showcasing Beşiktaş's offensive strength and ability to dominate. The heavy scoreline suggests that Çorum FK struggled defensively and has not yet found success against Beşiktaş. Given that this was their sole fixture, it is too early to establish any patterns, but the lopsided result highlights a significant gap in competitiveness between the two teams in this instance.
Süper Lig Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Galatasaray | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 10 | WWWD |
| 2 | Beşiktaş | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 9 | WWLW |
| 3 |  Kocaelispor | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 9 | WWWL |
| 4 |  Trabzonspor | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 7 | WLWD |
| 5 |  Amed | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 7 | DWLW |
| 6 |  Gençlerbirliği S.K. | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 7 | LDWW |
| 14 | Çorum FK | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 9 | -2 | 4 | WLLD |
| 16 |  Eyüpspor | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 6 | -4 | 3 | LWLL |
| 17 |  Göztepe | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 1 | LLD |
| 18 |  Konyaspor | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 8 | -5 | 0 | LLLL |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonBeşiktaş have won 11 of their last 16 matches at home, drawing 2 and losing 3. Their recent home fixtures include beat Beşiktaş 6-2 and beat Beşiktaş 3-0.
Overall, the wider run reads 18W 7D 9L from the last 34 games (53% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Çorum FK have won 2 of their last 5 matches on the road, drawing 1 and losing 2. Their recent away fixtures include lost to Çorum FK 6-2 and beat Esenler Erokspor 0-2.
Overall, the wider run reads 5W 3D 4L from the last 12 games (42% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
ConfirmedBeşiktaş4-1-4-1Confirmed
Çorum FK4-2-3-1Confirmed
Unavailable Players
1 playerBeşiktaş
No reported absences
Çorum FK1
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
C. Altay has averaged 3.0 yellow cards per match across 2 recent fixtures we have data for. Our pick is under 3.5 yellow cards at 1.95.
Corner Prediction
Beşiktaş have averaged 6.8 corners per match at home; Çorum FK 6.8 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 7.8 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Beşiktaş have generated 1.73 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 53% of them. They put 5.5 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Beşiktaş player to score or assist at 1.55 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
